907
FXUS61 KBTV 011826
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
226 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AS OF 225 PM EDT MONDAY...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 225 PM EDT MONDAY...
1. OTHER THAN A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK, ALONG WITH
A WARMING TREND.
2. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK, WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 225 PM EDT MONDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1: ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THERE'S A BIT MORE ROBUST ACTIVITY IN QUEBEC
THAT MAY MAKE IT ACROSS THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER A BIT LATER THIS
EVENING, BUT OVERALL, EXPECT SHOWERS TO WANE ONCE THE SUN SETS. THIS
WILL SET US UP FOR CLEARING SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND FAIRLY DECENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS
SHOULD ALLOW VALLEY FOG TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING, ESPECIALLY IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND RIVER VALLEYS IN EASTERN
VT. LOWS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S, BUT SOME OF
THE SHELTERED COLD LOCATIONS IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST
KINGDOM COULD DROP INTO THE MID 30S. HENCE SOME PATCHY FROST WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS, THOUGH AREAL COVERAGE IS NOT ENOUGH TO
WARRANT ANY SORT OF FROST HEADLINES.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION THEREAFTER, LEADING TO A
STINT OF DRIER WEATHER FOR A GOOD PART OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES
WILL EXHIBIT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND; WHILE TUESDAY'S HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S WITH A BIT OF A NORTH BREEZE, THURSDAY
WILL FEATURE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S WITH WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS. CAN'T TOTALLY RULE OUT A FEW SPOTS HIT 90F ON
THURSDAY, PARTICULARLY ON THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE ADIRONDACKS DUE
TO DOWNSLOPING OF THE SW WINDS. LUCKILY DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN
COMFORTABLE IN THE 40S AND 50S, SO NIGHTS WILL BE PLEASANTLY COOL
AND THE AFTERNOONS WON'T BE OPPRESSIVELY HUMID.
KEY MESSAGE 2: UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN OVER THE
REGION TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK, CONTINUING TO BRING WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S ON FRIDAY. TOWARDS THE WEEKEND, CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
LOOK TO INCREASE AS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES LOOK TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION, BUT THERE IS PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING AND
THE OVERALL PATTERN THIS FAR OUT. DESPITE THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES,
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND LOOK TO REMAIN SEASONABLY WARM WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD
INTO THE REGION, WITH SCATTERED CLOUD COVER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS AROUND 5000 FT AGL OR SO. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION TO VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT LEADING TO LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS, WITH KSLK
AND KMPV THE TERMINALS MOST LIKELY TO SEE REDUCED FLIGHT CONDITIONS.
NORTHERLY WINDS, WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE, WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TRENDING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE SHRA.
FRIDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. SLIGHT CHANCE
SHRA, SLIGHT CHANCE TSRA.
SATURDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. CHANCE SHRA,
SLIGHT CHANCE TSRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...HASTINGS
DISCUSSION...KREMER/HASTINGS
AVIATION...KREMER
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