511  
FXUS61 KBTV 221408  
AFDBTV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
1008 AM EDT THU APR 22 2021  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
COLD AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL LOW  
PUSHES ACROSS OUR AREA, SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH  
OF THE DAY, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. DRIER WEATHER  
WILL THEN RETURN FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. WILL HAVE SOME  
RAIN ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE AREA, THEN MORE DRY WEATHER FOR SUNDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
 
 
AS OF 956 AM EDT THURSDAY...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS  
CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING AS WE  
REMAIN UNDER STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW. SOME OF THESE HAVE BEEN  
BRIEFLY HEAVY, DROPPING VISIBILITY TO A MILE OR LESS IN PLACES.  
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME MORE FOCUSED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN  
BY THIS AFTERNOON ONCE THE MAIN AREA OF UPPER LOW PRESSURE  
STARTS TO MOVE EAST OF OUR REGION. OTHERWISE, IT'LL COLD TODAY  
WITH BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FORECAST HAS THIS ALL  
PRETTY MUCH COVERED, SO OTHER THAN SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO POPS, NO  
CHANGES WERE NEEDED.  
 
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH  
OF THE DAY TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL LOW PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.  
WILL ALSO HAVE STRONG GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS DUE TO INCREASED  
PRESSURE GRADIENT AS LOW WHICH BROUGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO THE  
REGION YESTERDAY CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY NORTHEASTWARD FROM  
NORTHERN MAINE INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. A LARGE RIDGE OF  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. TODAY  
WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COLD WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS  
ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND  
NORTHERN GREENS. WINDS WILL GUST TO ABOUT 35 KNOTS, AND HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S, WHICH IS AT  
LEAST 15 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THIS DATE.  
 
QUIETER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SURFACE  
AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO OUR AREA. AFOREMENTIONED  
LOW REMAINS CUT OFF OVER CANADIAN MARITIMES, AND SHUNTS CENTER  
OF SURFACE HIGH WELL OFF TO OUR SOUTH. WITH LOW STILL ANCHORED  
TO THE NORTHEAST, WILL STILL SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS ACROSS OUR  
AREA ON FRIDAY AS WELL, THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS TODAY.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD AGAIN TONIGHT, THOUGH CLOUDS WILL KEEP  
TEMPERATURES FROM PLUMMETING TOO FAR, LOWS MAINLY IN THE UPPER  
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE CLOSER TO  
NORMAL AND WILL SEE INCREASING SUNSHINE TOWARDS THE AFTERNOON.  
DESPITE THE GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS, WE'LL STILL SEE HIGHS REACH  
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
AS OF 416 AM EDT THURSDAY...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY  
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE  
REGION. WARMER AIR MOVES IN AS WELL AS OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN  
THE 30S TO LOW 40S. SATURDAY WILL SEE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND  
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
 
 
AS OF 413 AM EDT THURSDAY...ON SUNDAY, WILL SEE A TROUGH ACROSS  
THE SOUTHERN US INTERACT WITH AN INTENSIFYING VORT MAX MOVING  
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THAT WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE ACROSS OUR  
REGION. MODELS ARE STILL IN SOME DISAGREEMENT ON HOW THE SYSTEM  
WILL PLAY OUT, WITH SOME KEEPING THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN  
SYSTEMS FROM INTERACTING AND OTHERS PHASING THE LOWS TO SOME  
DEGREE, LEADING TO US SEEING RAINY DAY ON SUNDAY. THE ONE THING  
THEY ALL AGREE UPON IS THAT THE TEMPERATURES ALOFT LOOK TO BE  
WARM ENOUGH THAT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY A RAIN EVENT  
WITH SNOW RELEGATED TO THE HIGHEST PEAKS.  
 
NEXT WEEK LOOKS START RATHER QUIET WITH SOME POSSIBLE MOUNTAIN  
SNOW SHOWERS ON MONDAY BEFORE A BROAD RIDGE MOVES IN AND WE  
TEMPS EVENTUALLY REACH 70S BY MID WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY IMPACTING SOME OF  
OUR TERMINALS, AND BRINGING CONDITIONS BRIEFLY DOWN TO IFR,  
CURRENTLY MSS AND SLK. AS THE DAY WEARS ON, SNOW SHOWERS WILL  
BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WE MAY HAVE IFR  
CONDITIONS BRIEFLY IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS THAT OCCUR. OTHERWISE,  
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED AT ALL SITES. HAVE  
TRIED TO INCLUDE VCSH TO TIME THE SNOW SHOWERS THE BEST THAT I  
COULD AT THIS TIME. THERE ARE ALSO SOME TEMPO GROUPS FOR THIS  
MORNING WHERE SNOW SHOWERS ARE ONGOING.  
 
OUTLOOK...  
 
FRIDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
FRIDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
SATURDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
SATURDAY NIGHT: VFR. CHANCE RA, SLIGHT CHANCE SHRA.  
SUNDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. LIKELY RA.  
SUNDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. SLIGHT CHANCE  
SHRA.  
MONDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.  
 

 
   
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
VT...NONE.  
NY...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...NEILES  
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NEILES  
SHORT TERM...VERASAMY  
LONG TERM...VERASAMY  
AVIATION...NEILES  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab VT Page
The Nexlab NY Page Main Text Page