196
FXUS63 KARX 082001
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
201 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK. VARIABILITY
IN TEMPERATURES AND WIND GUSTS TO START THE WEEK.6
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94
THROUGH MIDWEEK, BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD THURSDAY AND THIS
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 151 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
WARMER THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD:
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY STICK AROUND THROUGH MUCH
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS LOCAL FORECAST AREA REMAINS BETWEEN
CANADIAN AND CONUS CONTINENTAL AIRMASSES, THE LATTER INFLUENCED
BY GULF AIR ATTEMPTING TO ADVECT NORTH THROUGH THE MID
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER, A
TIGHTENING LOW LEVEL ISOHEIGHT GRADIENT INCREASES SURFACE WINDS,
KEEPING APPARENT TEMPERATURES FROM THE 20S TO MID 30S. STRONGER
WIND GUSTS EXPECTED TO STICK AROUND THROUGH TUESDAY.
LREF DISAGREEMENT IN STRENGTH OF RESPONSIBLE ASSOCIATED
DEEPENING EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE SAGGING SOUTHEAST NORTH OF THE
GREAT LAKES (GEFS) AND STRENGTH OF CENTRAL CONUS RIDGING (GEPS) CAUSES
SOME DISCREPANCIES IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE DEEPEST
SOLUTION IN THE GEFS (08.12Z) KEEPS SURFACE TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES COLDER THAN THE EPS (08.12Z) WITH HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR
SLIGHTLY GUSTIER WINDS. THE COLDEST SOLUTION IN THE GEPS
RESULTANT OF THE WEAKEST CENTRAL CONUS RIDGE. REGARDLESS, NBM
INTERQUARTILE SPREAD REMAINS NEAR 5 DEGREES THROUGH THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK, 30S DURING THE DAYTIME AND 20S OVERNIGHT.
MOSTLY DRY UNTIL THURSDAY & THIS WEEKEND:
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 THROUGH
MIDWEEK. MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPTIATION CHANCES INITIALLY THURSDAY
MORNING AND AGAIN THIS WEEKEND. LARGE INTER AND INTRA ENSEMBLE
SPREAD CAN BE SEEN FOR SATURDAY GIVEN THE LONGER FORECAST HOUR AND
INCONSPICUOUS PATTERN.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
A 3-5K DECK OF CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST OUT OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES MAY BRIEFLY CLEAR WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH OF THE AREA
TONIGHT, MID- AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JAR
AVIATION...BOYNE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page