899
FNUS73 KUNR 041022
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORT CREEK FIRE...CC EM & HS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
422 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION IS BRINGING
COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE
MID 70S. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...PERHAPS BECOMING
EASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DIPPING TO
20%, ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS STILL EXPECTED TODAY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT, BUT WETTING RAINS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK, ALONG WITH ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE
MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING SHIFTING
TO THE EAST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 TO 8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 17 14 14 16 21 23 25 20 14 12 12
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 50 55 60 63 66 68 69 72 74 74 75
RH..............75 65 55 46 38 33 28 26 23 21 20 20
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW W NW N NE E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 10 9 9 10 13 14 14 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 1.3 2.7 4.0 5.0 6.1 6.8 7.4 8.3 8.0 8.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW W W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........13 9 15 13 33 35 47 49 17 10 11 15
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 71 68 64 62 60 59 57 56 55 53 52
RH..............20 23 25 31 35 37 42 47 51 55 59 63
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 16 16 17 16 15 15 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.8 6.2 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 13 13 12 12
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 18
MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 TO 9800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 TO
10900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15 13 7 6 8 5 11 14 14 8 7 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 56 61 66 71 74 77 79 81 83 83 83
RH..............61 62 51 45 36 32 25 21 18 15 15 14
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 15 15 14 15 16 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.0 1.6 2.1 4.0 5.8 7.6 8.7 9.8 11 11 10
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 14 13 12 12 13 14 15 15 15
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...J MITCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618774.4/UNR
.DELDT 08/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JIMM@CAMPBELLCOFIREWY.GOV
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