305
FNUS73 KUNR 021128
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR BAUMAN FIRE...SD-PRA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
528 AM MDT SAT MAY 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0702 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SUNNY SKIES AND DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TODAY, WITH
HIGHS WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WITH HUMIDITY DROPPING TO JUST
UNDER 20%, ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE BURN SITE
AROUND 5-7PM THIS EVENING, WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY, ALONG
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS. CHANCES OF WETTING
RAINS ARE MINIMAL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 TO 9900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 TO
10500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 6 4 3 4 4 5 11 16 23 34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 51 57 61 64 67 71 73 74 74 74
RH..............53 45 39 34 29 25 20 19 18 19 20
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..15 16 17 17 16 15 15 16 16 17 16
20 FT WIND GUST.23 24 26 26 24 22 22 22 23 24 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.8 4.8 6.6 8.3 9.9 11 9.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 24 24 23 22 22 23 23 24 24
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 15
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15 TO
25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........34 44 55 52 52 49 44 40 42 56 53 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 66 61 57 54 52 50 48 47 45 45 45
RH..............24 33 39 46 51 55 60 63 65 73 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW N N N N N N N NW NW W
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 14 14 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 20 18 16 14 13 12 12 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW N N N N N N N N N NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 21 20 17 16 15 13 12 10 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 17 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 TO 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 76 74 72 68 63 58 51 44 37 35 34
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 45 48 52 55 58 61 63 65 66 67 68
RH..............76 70 64 56 51 44 39 36 34 33 32 31
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.7 5.4 6.1 6.8 6.2 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 16 16
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...IC(T)-BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611817.5/UNR
.DELDT 05/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JUSTIN.BAUER@BIA.GOV
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