630
FNUS73 KUNR 011114
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR QURY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
514 AM MDT WED APR 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE FIRST STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME RAIN AND
SNOW TO THE FIRE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SECOND STORM SYSTEM
WILL BRING GOOD CHANCES FOR RAIN THURSDAY AND THEN LOOKING AHEAD,
SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
THE CHANCE OF WETTING PRECIPITATION (0.10") IS 35-50% THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH BETTER CHANCES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WHEN
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED (1-3") WITH POTENTIAL LIQUID
EQUIVALENTS FROM 0.15-0.35".
HIGHS TODAY WILL BE AROUND 42F WITH A MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AROUND 60%. SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 10-15 MPH BECOME EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE AROUND
31F WITH EXCELLENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY NEAR 100%. EXPECT
EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS FROM 15-20 MPH.
THURSDAYS HIGHS WILL BE AROUND 55F WITH A MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AROUND 47%. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BLOW AT 5-10 MPH WITH
GUSTS INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN AND SNOW
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 TO 2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85 86 81 80 77 85 89 85 87 90 84
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............30 34 36 38 40 40 41 42 41 41 40
RH..............79 73 68 64 60 64 62 60 65 62 66
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 18 20 21 21 21 20 22 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 17
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
BECOMING CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS
15-20 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 3 AM
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........95 94 92 85 84 89 87 84 90 94 88 80
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS SN SN SN SN SN SN RS RS RS RS
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............41 38 34 32 32 32 32 31 32 33 32 33
RH..............67 74 89 92 97 96 95 96 94 89 92 89
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 18 18 16 14 13 10 9 8 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E NE NE NE N N N NW NW NW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 15 14 13 12 10 9 9 7 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 TO 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........87 83 78 73 65 56 48 45 43 40 50 59
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............32 32 34 37 40 44 47 50 52 53 53 51
RH..............91 96 92 81 74 65 60 54 48 47 47 51
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 10 13 15 17 20 22 23 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.5 2.8 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S SW S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 8 9 12 15 16 18 20 21 21
FORECASTER...EH
REQUESTED BY...ROB MACDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608193.4/UNR
.DELDT 04/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT.J.MACDONALD@USDA.GOV
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