374  
FNUS73 KUNR 081212  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AUBURN WILDFIRE...SD WILDLAND FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
612 AM MDT FRI OCT 8 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 MDT ON OCTOBER 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR  
SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOW.  
BEHIND A COLD FRONT SATURDAY, GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP.  
A MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE-LADEN STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE  
AREA TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK WITH STRONG WINDS  
POSSIBLE.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 TO 4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH  
THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH.  
CWR.................35 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND  
25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................35 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200, THEN 2.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 TO 5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.  
 

 
FORECASTER...EH  
REQUESTED BY...CASEY WARREN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2119073.7/UNR  
.DELDT 10/08/21  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL CASEY.WARREN@STATE.SD.US  
 
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