826  
FNUS75 KCYS 171115  
FWSCYS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHADRON CREEK RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY  
515 AM MDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT (307) 772-2227  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH  
SATURDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 TO 15MPH, GUSTING UP TO 25MPH, ARE  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND SLOWLY TURN MORE WESTERLY BY  
8AM THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY, BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY  
AT 20 TO 25MPH, GUSTING TO 40 TO 45MPH, BY NOON TODAY. WINDS FINALLY BEGIN  
TO DECREASE BY 9PM THIS EVENING, BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.  
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL BE POOR, IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL BE DECENT,  
AROUND 60 TO 65 PERCENT. WEDNESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH DRIER, WITH  
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DECREASING TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT WITH WEST-NORTHWESTERLY  
WINDS 10 TO 15MPH GUSTING UP TO 30MPH. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN  
THE EVENING, WITH DECENT OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES INTO THE 60 TO 65  
PERCENT RANGE. VERY DRY CONDITIONS WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED  
FOR THURSDAY ONWARDS. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME WITH WELL  
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE  
IN EFFECT FROM 10AM WEDNESDAY THROUGH 8PM SATURDAY. AN UPGRADE TO RED FLAG  
WARNINGS IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 41  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 36 TO  
43 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (74500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (110900  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (177500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (191100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO VERY GOOD (129400  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 48 42 44 35 29 38 33 36 30 39 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 41 42 46 51 55 57 61 62 63 65 63  
RH..............61 64 67 60 50 43 38 33 30 29 27 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 13 15 17 16 20 21 22 22 21  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 22 23 25 28 32 32 36 40 41 41 39  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.0 5.2 5.9 6.5 5.6 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 22 21 22 24 33 32 39 41 43 39 36  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 7 7 10 29 75 111 178 214 242 191 129  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING  
DUST EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 37 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 16 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........58 65 63 69 63 50 33 24 19 20 14 14  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....BDT BDT BDT  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 59 54 52 51 49 49 47 46 45 43 43  
RH..............32 36 43 46 48 52 54 58 60 63 65 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..21 16 15 13 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.37 32 26 24 21 18 18 16 17 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 22 21 20 17 17 18 18 17 16 16 16  
SDSPL KT-FT/100029 11 11 17 15 12 8 7 6 5 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18  
TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (85700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (112900  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (162100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO FAIR  
(49900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 19 19 22 24 24 25 28 30 32 31 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 42 46 49 57 61 66 68 70 72 71 70  
RH..............65 67 58 54 40 36 30 27 24 23 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 16 17 20 21 23 23 23 21 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.8 4.8 6.8 7.7 5.9 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 15 14 15 16 18 21 23 24 22 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 4 5 15 26 44 86 136 162 113 50  
 
 
FORECASTER...MOSE  
REQUESTED BY...BEN JECH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605170.2/CYS  
.DELDT 03/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.J.JECH@USDA.GOV  
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