777  
FNUS75 KRIW 150056  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR MTN...USFS BTF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
556 PM MST SUN DEC 14 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON DECEMBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH PRESSURE WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL  
DOMINATE MONDAY MORNING OVER THE BURN AREA. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE  
FROM THE WNW MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A DISTURBANCE APPROACHING.  
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE TO BRING SHOWERS  
TO THE SURROUNDING HIGHER TERRAIN MONDAY EVENING. AS WINDS  
INCREASE SLIGHTLY FROM THE SOUTH, THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
AT THE BURN SITE WILL BE BETWEEN 0300 AND 1800 TUESDAY. AS THE  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DECREASES TUESDAY AFTERNOON, SOUTHWEST  
WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE  
MORE ON WEDNESDAY WITH WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTS 20 TO 25  
MPH. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL ALSO BE A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION BEFORE DECREASING LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
 
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THROUGH 1200, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 30 50 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............19 19 19 21 27 35 40 42 45 43 43 39  
RH..............63 63 65 63 62 58 47 44 45 43 46 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 7 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE SE S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 10 9 10 10 12 12 10 10 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 10 9 7 7 9 13 17 16 13 9 8  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE  
OF SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BEST CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION IS AFTER 0300.  
CWR.................10-20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......15-20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING, THEN 30-40 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-28.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH THROUGH 2200, THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST  
6 TO 8 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH  
AFTER 000.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 60 55 50 50 55 55 60 65 70 75 85  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW RS  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 10 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 33 31 31 30 28 27 27 28 28 28 29  
RH..............52 60 64 67 70 72 74 76 78 81 84 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 5 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 8 9 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 9 9  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THROUGH 1500,  
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN AND  
SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH 1200-1400.  
CWR.................10-15 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT, DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT AROUND 1200,  
THEN 15 PERCENT AFTER 1500.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0-5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS AROUND 12 MPH  
THROUGH 1200, THEN SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS  
OVER 15 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 1200, THEN SOUTHWEST  
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
13 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR, POSSIBLY FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 75 75 70  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS RS RS RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 29 30 33 36 39 41 43 44 44 43 42  
RH..............89 89 88 86 82 78 74 71 68 67 67 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 11 12 13 14 14 14 14  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 12 13 14 15 16 15 13 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 9 9 14 19 26 30 34 38 30 21 16  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...MCDONALD  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK TENNEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527507.0/RIW  
.DELDT 12/14/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PATRICK.TENNEY@USDA.GOV  
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