043  
FNUS75 KRIW 161523  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRON MOUNTAIN PILE RX...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
823 AM MST TUE DEC 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON DECEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS WEDNESDAY START FROM THE SOUTH, BUT WILL BE SOUTHWEST BY  
MIDDAY AS AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN. WINDS WILL BE WEST  
BY EARLY AFTERNOON, WITH SPEEDS QUICKLY INCREASING TO BE 25 TO 35  
MPH, WITH GUSTS 40 TO 55 MPH. THESE STRONG WEST WINDS WINDS WILL BE  
STRONGEST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE AFTERNOON, BUT GUSTS 40 TO 45  
MPH CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AS WINDS SHIFT TO BE SLIGHTLY WEST-  
NORTHWEST. GUSTS UNDER 40 MPH OCCUR AFTER 0100L, WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30  
MPH INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL BRING GOOD TO  
EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL, BEST EARLY AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONGEST  
WINDS.  
 
FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES, THE BEST CHANCES (ABOUT 60 PERCENT) OCCUR  
WEDNESDAY 1100L THROUGH ABOUT 1700L. PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE IN  
THE FORM OF RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX, WITH PERHAPS ALL SNOW IF IT DOES  
PRECIPITATE LATE IN THE DAY. TOTAL LIQUID EQUIVALENT ACCUMULATIONS  
WOULD MOST LIKELY (70%) BE AROUND 0.05 INCHES, WITH THE HIGHER END  
POSSIBILITY AROUND 0.1 INCHES.  
 
LOOKING AHEAD, THURSDAY WINDS WILL BE GUSTING AROUND 20 MPH, WITH  
POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL ALL DAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST, WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
 
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW  
MIX SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................22 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS TURNING WEST 25 TO 35 MPH  
WITH GUSTS 40 TO 55 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 1300, THEN WEST 35 TO  
40 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1300, THEN NORTHWEST  
35 TO 45 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600,  
THEN GOOD UNTIL 1800, THEN BECOMING POOR.  
 
TIME (MST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 50 50 55 65 75  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RS RS RS  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 10  
TEMP............43 43 44 41 39 36  
RH..............51 49 47 56 64 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..S W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 23 28 29 27 23  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 35 42 42 39 35  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 35 40 40 40 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 38 47 43 39 35  
SDSPL KT-FT/100064 114 173 134 102 72  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (40-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH  
UNTIL 0100, THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH  
WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 30 TO 35 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN NORTHWEST  
AROUND 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH UNTIL 0400, THEN 20 TO  
25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900 DECREASING TO FAIR UNTIL AROUND  
2400, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........65 55 45 40 30 25 30 35 45 45 45 45  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 33 32 31 30 29 29 28 28 27 26 26  
RH..............69 61 53 49 47 45 43 41 40 39 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..23 24 24 24 23 22 21 20 19 17 17 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.34 35 35 35 34 32 30 29 26 25 24 22  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.35 35 35 35 33 32 31 30 29 26 25 23  
SDSPL KT-FT/100060 49 38 47 55 62 45 30 16 13 11 8  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH  
UNTIL 1000, THEN SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS  
AROUND 20 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN SOUTHWEST.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 2500 FT AGL UNTIL  
1700, THEN 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 25 MPH UNTIL 1100. SOUTH AROUND 15  
MPH AFTER 1700.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 60 65 70 80 85 80 75 70 70 75 80  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............25 25 25 27 30 33 35 36 37 37 36 35  
RH..............39 41 42 40 37 35 35 35 38 43 49 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 17 14 14 14 16 16 16 14 14 13 13  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W W W SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 15 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 7 6 17 27 37 35 33 32 21 13 5  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...WITTMANN  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS STURDEVANT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527726.0/RIW  
.DELDT 12/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROMAN@BLM.GOV,CSTURDEVANT@BLM.GOV  
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