897  
FNUS75 KRIW 081219  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
519 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON FEBRUARY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ANTICIPATE TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO SATURDAY AND WEST TO WEST-  
SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH 1200L. BETWEEN  
1200L AND 1300L, WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND  
45 MPH BY 1400L. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THESE GUSTY WINDS  
PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED  
MUCH OF THE MORNING WITH CLOUDS SCATTERING OUT BETWEEN 1100L AND  
1300L. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BE  
IN THE MID 30S, HOWEVER, THESE VALUES COULD BE A BIT TOO HIGH GIVEN  
HOW GUSTY THE WINDS WILL BE. FAIR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY  
OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES TODAY ARE LESS THAN 5 PERCENT BUT  
INCREASE TO AROUND 70% BETWEEN 0300L AND 0500L MONDAY AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MONDAY WILL BE COOLER, WITH LIGHT SNOW  
CHANCES THROUGH THE DAY AND GUSTY 30 TO 35 MPH WEST TO NORTHWEST  
WINDS.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN AROUND 25  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200, THEN 4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 28 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN 31 TO 38 MPH  
UNTIL 1400, THEN 41 TO 44 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN  
AROUND 32 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN INCREASING TO GOOD TO  
VERY GOOD BY 1200 AND REMAINING THAT WAY THE  
REST OF THE DAY.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 75 65 60 60 50 50 40 35 40 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 39 39 41 43 45 47 48 49 49 47 45  
RH..............39 40 43 41 38 35 35 35 35 35 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 9 11 12 11 15 16 17 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 14 17 18 17 22 26 29 30 30 30  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 20 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 21 21 28 31 36 38 43 44 41 32  
SDSPL KT-FT/100022 22 19 28 51 69 96 114 149 140 117 77  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT INCREASING TO 13 PERCENT EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH UNTIL 0100, THEN 30 TO  
35 MPH UNTIL 0400, THEN WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29 TO 36 MPH UNTIL 2300. AROUND 30 MPH  
AFTER 0500.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THROUGH 0300 MONDAY AND BECOMES POOR  
AFTER 0500 MONDAY MORNING.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........30 40 35 35 20 20 20 15 15 15 20 30  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 42 42 41 41 41 41 42 43 42 41 40  
RH..............40 40 40 41 42 45 44 46 47 49 51 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W SW SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 18 20 21 22 22 22 23 22 20 17 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.31 31 31 33 33 34 34 34 33 32 29 28  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W SW SW SW W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 30 30 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 29 35 36 36 39 41 43 44 40 36 30  
SDSPL KT-FT/100066 62 65 63 64 83 74 71 48 38 33 27  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS  
CHANCES THROUGH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................13 PERCENT INCREASING TO 27 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 6 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30  
MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 3500 FT AGL UNTIL  
1200, THEN 5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1600, THEN 3000 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 32 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN INCREASES TO GOOD TO  
VERY GOOD THROUGH 1700.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 45 40 45 55 65 65 60 60 60 60 65  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 37 36 37 38 40 41 41 40 38 36 34  
RH..............52 55 54 53 48 42 39 37 37 38 39 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 26 25 26 28 30 30 29 28 26 25 23  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 3.0 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 28 26 30 31 31 31 32 32 29 26 23  
SDSPL KT-FT/100027 25 38 68 82 91 128 128 124 95 73 51  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 30S. WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...GERHARDT  
REQUESTED BY...ANNA CRESSLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601909.1/RIW  
.DELDT 02/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANNA.CRESSLER@USDA.GOV,ANNA.CRESSLER@OUTLOOK.COM  
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