202  
FXUS64 KSHV 241521  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
1021 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WELL DEFINED SEA BREEZE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR  
20 MPH FROM SE TX/SW LA. LAPSE DATA SHOWING ATMOSPHERE BECOMING  
UNSTABLE UP NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR AND WITH PLENTY OF PRECIPITABLE  
WATER AVAILABLE ON OUR MORNING SOUNDING...SEE NO REASON WHY THIS  
ACTIVITY WILL NOT HOLD TOGETHER AND INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND  
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE HAVE BEEFED POPS UPWARD ACROSS  
MUCH OF OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND  
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HAVING SAID THIS...ALSO LOWERED MAX TEMPS  
A FEW DEGREES ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR OF NE TX BUT ESPECIALLY  
ACROSS THE LOWER TOLEDO BEND AND SAM RAYBURN COUNTRY OF DEEP EAST  
TEXAS. UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.  
 
13  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
LOOKS LIKE VFR WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FLIGHT CATEGORY AT MOST  
TERMINALS THROUGH 25/1800 UTC. SIMILAR TO THE PAST COUPLE OF  
MORNINGS...CIGS/VSBYS WILL LIKELY REDUCE FLIGHT CATEGORIES TO IFR AT  
KLFK AND KMLU AROUND 25/1200 UTC BEFORE MIXING OUT MID-MORNING.  
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD PRIMARILY BE CONFINED  
TO AREAS SW OF KTYR- KLFK. AS SUCH...I WILL ONLY MENTION TSRA  
ACROSS MY E TX TERMINALS FOR THE TIME BEING. /BUTTS/  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
SHV 94 74 97 75 99 / 40 20 10 10 10  
MLU 95 73 96 73 99 / 20 20 20 20 10  
DEQ 95 71 96 71 99 / 20 20 10 10 10  
TXK 95 74 97 74 99 / 30 20 10 10 10  
ELD 95 72 96 73 99 / 20 20 20 10 10  
TYR 92 74 98 74 98 / 50 40 10 10 10  
GGG 92 74 97 74 98 / 50 40 10 10 10  
LFK 88 73 96 73 97 / 60 40 20 10 10  
 
 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
13/21  
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