960  
FXUS63 KGLD 280500  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
1100 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 148 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD INTO THE FOUR  
CORNERS REGION TONIGHT THEN INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES  
TOMORROW. WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT  
AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. THIS UPSLOPE FLOW IN ADDITION OF  
INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS WILL LEAD TO  
INCREASING CLOUDINESS TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH  
TOMORROW. THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF LOWERED VISIBILITY  
TOMORROW MORNING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS THE  
FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST  
TOMORROW. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE ACROSS  
KANSAS AND DURING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS  
TONIGHT LOOK TO DIP INTO THE LOWER 40S WITH HIGHS TOMORROW ONLY  
REACHING TO AROUND 50 DEGREES DUE TO THE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND  
PRECIPITATION.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 148 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TREK EASTWARD AND INTO THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT THEN INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS THE  
CWA THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. CLOUDY SKIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT DECREASING IN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST  
THURSDAY MORNING. A DRY PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER  
OF THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE  
AREA FRIDAY EVENING INTO THE WEEKEND. AS OF NOW, THIS SYSTEM LOOKS  
TO TAKE THE SAME TRACK AS THIS FIRST ONE. BUT WITH THIS SYSTEM  
BEING OUT MORE THAN 4 DAYS, CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND TRACK IS LOW.  
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM FORECAST LOOK TO ONLY REACH  
INTO THE UPPER 40S WEDNESDAY THEN INTO THE 50S THURSDAY AND  
FRIDAY. THE AREA THEN COOLS DOWN THIS WEEKEND AS THE NEXT STORM  
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S WITH  
THE EXCEPTION OF TUESDAY NIGHT WHERE LOWER 40S WILL BE POSSIBLE  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1100 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
KGLD, VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH ABOUT 08Z  
WITH WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 13KTS. FROM 09Z-15Z STRATUS  
WILL MOVE OVER THE TERMINAL FROM THE WEST WITH VISIBILITIES  
REDUCED INTO VLIFR CATEGORY. SOME LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE ALSO POSSIBLE  
WITH WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST GUSTING AROUND 20KTS. FROM 16Z-23Z  
THE TERMINAL IS EXPECTED TO HAVE LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WHICH  
SHOULD HELP RAISE VIS AND CIGS INTO IFR CATEGORY. WINDS SLOWLY  
BACK TO THE EAST NEAR 20KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FROM 00Z-03Z A MID  
LEVEL DRY SLOT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE TERMINAL WHICH SHOULD  
BRING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION AND RAISE VISIBILITIES. CIGS  
HOWEVER WILL REMAIN IN THE IFR CATEGORY WITH WINDS GUSTING NEAR  
25KTS. AFTER 03Z VLIFR CIGS/VIS EXPECTED WITH WINDS FROM THE  
EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13KTS.  
 
KMCK, VLIFR CIGS EXPECTED AT TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH ABOUT 07Z WITH  
WINDS FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 10KTS. FROM 08Z-16Z THE  
TERMINAL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN VLIFR CIGS AND VIS WITH WINDS FROM  
THE EAST-SOUTHEAST UNDER 10KTS. FROM 17Z-21Z LIGHT RAIN IS  
EXPECTED WITH IMPROVING VIS BUT CIGS REMAINING IFR. FROM 22Z-01Z  
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS  
WITH WINDS FROM THE EAST GUSTING 20-25KTS. FROM 02Z THROUGH THE  
REST OF THE PERIOD WINDS FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 12KTS WITH  
VIS IMPROVING BUT CIGS REMAINING IFR/VLIFR.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...HOVORKA_42  
LONG TERM...HOVORKA_42  
AVIATION...99  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KS Page
The Nexlab CO Page
The Nexlab NE Page Main Text Page