470
FXUS63 KGLD 041154
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
554 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009
DISCUSSION
253 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009
A RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS IN NORTHWEST FLOW. SHORTWAVES WILL COME THROUGH THE FLOW ON A
DAILY BASIS ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO/NORTHWEST KANSAS. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN COLORADO ON MONDAY.
THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE CONTINUES TO BE POPS.
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD FIRE EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN IN EASTERN COLORADO AND THEN MOVE EAST OF THE STATE LINE
DURING THE EVENING THROUGH MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WAVE APPEARS TO BE
ON SUNDAY AS EVIDENCED BY MUCAPE OF AROUND 1600 J/KG. PLAN TO GO
WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MOST PERIODS WITH EXCEPTION OF SUNDAY
WITH CHANCE POPS.
LATEST METARS INDICATE SOME LIGHT FOG AT MCK. NAM BOUNDARY LAYER RH
IS ALSO SHOWING THIS BUT DOES NOT LAST PAST 12Z. THIS IS THE METAR
TREND AS WELL. FURTHERMORE NORTHWEST WIND ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD
INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT SO WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE GRIDS.
850MB TEMPERATURES STAY COOL THROUGH SUNDAY AND THEN WARM BACK TO
MORE SEASONAL LEVELS ON MONDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY/SUNDAY SHOULD
STAY IN THE LOWER 80S. MONDAYS READINGS SHOULD REACH CLOSE TO 90.
MIN TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE UPPER 50S TONIGHT AND THEN WARM
BACK INTO THE LOW/MID 60S MON NIGHT.
FS
AVIATION
553 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...SOME MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT
KMCK AND KGLD FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING. SATELLITE SHOWING A
STRATUS DECK MOVING QUICKLY SOUTH INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND
NORTHWEST KANSAS. NAM BOUNDARY LAYER RH INDICATES THIS DECK SHOULD
CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS AND NOT LIFT OUT UNTIL
AFTER 15Z. SOME REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH
KMCK DOWN TO 3SM DUE TO FOG. OTHERWISE STRATUS AND FOG WILL BURN
OFF BY MID MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE TAF PERIOD. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MAY DRIFT INTO THE KGLD AREA
LATE TONIGHT. DO NOT EXPECT SHOWERS TO HOLD TOGETHER LONG ENOUGH
TO REACH KMCK.
FS
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
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