937  
FXUS63 KGLD 302318  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
518 PM MDT SUN APR 30 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 311 PM MDT SUN APR 30 2017  
 
LATEST UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE CLOSED LOW ALONG THE KS/OK  
BORDER MOVING EAST. CURRENT RADAR SHOWS A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY  
SNOW CONTINUING OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA. UNDER THE BAND BLIZZARD  
CONDITIONS CONTINUE.  
 
TONIGHT THE BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SHIFT NORTHEAST.  
THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO EITHER PERSIST OR RETURN.  
TEMPERATURE LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO HINT AT CONVECTIVE SNOWFALL. AN  
ADDITIONAL TWO OR THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SNOW BAND.  
HOWEVER LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF FIVE INCHES CAN'T BE RULED OUT DUE  
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE AND REPORTED 3"/HOUR RATES UNDER THE BAND  
EARLIER TODAY. THE SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL EXIT THE  
FORECAST AREA LATE THIS EVENING. WINDS SHOULD ALSO SHARPLY DECLINE  
AROUND SUNSET AND BE LIGHT TO BREEZY THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT.  
 
REGARDING CURRENT WARNINGS, HAVE CANCELED THE HIGH WIND WARNING DUE  
TO THE THREAT FOR HIGH WINDS ENDING. CONSIDERED CANCELING COUNTIES  
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE BLIZZARD BUT HESITATE TO IF THE HEAVY BAND  
OF SNOW SHIFTS SLIGHTLY WEST AGAIN. AS THE SNOW MOVES NORTHEAST  
NEXT SHIFT CAN CANCEL BLIZZARD WARNING AS CONDITIONS IMPROVE FROM  
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.  
 
MONDAY WILL BE WARMER AS NORTHWEST FLOW MOVES OVER THE FORECAST  
AREA. DESPITE GOING COOLER THAN ALMOST ALL GUIDANCE, HIGHS MAYBE  
TOO WARM, ESPECIALLY WHERE THE HEAVY SNOWFALL OCCURRED. WINDS WILL  
BE A BIT BREEZY WEST OF THE DEEPER SNOW FIELD WHERE THE AIR WILL BE  
WARMER.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 233 AM MDT SUN APR 30 2017  
 
THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCES FOR RAIN DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS A  
POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH TRANSVERSES THE CWA. NOT EXPECTING HUGE  
AMOUNTS OF QPF. COULD SEE AROUND TENTH OF AN INCH IN OUR EASTERN  
COUNTIES.  
 
THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED LOOKS TO BE QUIET AS UPPER LEVEL  
RIDGING DOMINATES THE WEATHER HERE IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD AND SHOULD BE ABOVE  
NORMAL, PEAKING ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 80.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 518 PM MDT SUN APR 30 2017  
 
AT KGLD...WINTER STORM HAS ENDED AND VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF  
PERIOD. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THROUGH TONIGHT  
AS THE STORM MOVES EASTWARD.  
 
AT KMCK...BAND OF LIGHT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS EVENING  
AS THE UPPER LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS  
DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY MID TO LATE  
EVENING, AS WILL CEILINGS. VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AND  
THROUGH MONDAY.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR KSZ002>004-014>016-  
028-029-042.  
 
CO...NONE.  
NE...BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR NEZ080-081.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...JTL  
LONG TERM...SME  
AVIATION...024  
 
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