373  
FXUS63 KGLD 231952  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
152 PM MDT SUN JUL 23 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 142 PM MDT SUN JUL 23 2017  
 
LATEST UPPER AIR DATA SHOWS THE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.  
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY DRY ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN THE I-80  
AND I-70 CORRIDORS FROM THE ROCKIES EAST INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND  
CENTRAL KANSAS. AT THE SURFACE A HIGH PRESSURE WAS MOVING EAST OUT  
OF THE TRI-STATE AREA.  
 
TONIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT, ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL NOT BE  
QUITE AS COOL DUE TO SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION OCCURRING WITH THE  
SOUTH WINDS.  
 
MONDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL  
PLAINS AND AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRACKS OVER THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS. HIGHS WILL BE WARMER THAN TODAY BY A FEW DEGREES. WINDS WILL  
BE BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON AS BREEZY 850MB WINDS MIX TO THE GROUND.  
 
   
LONG TERM
 
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 142 PM MDT SUN JUL 23 2017  
 
MONDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY: MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD REMAIN DRY WITH LOW  
TEMPERATURES RUNNING A BIT ABOVE NORMAL. STARTING TUESDAY, UPPER  
LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO FLATTEN OUT THROUGH THE DAY AND ALLOW FOR A  
MORE ZONAL TO NW FLOW ALOFT. THIS UPPER FLOW WILL BRING THROUGH A  
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WITH DECENT PVA ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  
COMBINED WITH LEESIDE TROUGHING AND A SURFACE LOW, THIS WILL BRING  
THE AREA CHANCES OF STORMS AND SHOWERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WHILE  
BULK SHEAR VALUES LOOK TO REMAIN LOW, DECENT MUCAPE VALUES AND  
HIGH PWATS WILL GIVE THE CWA A CHANCE AT SEEING A STRONG TO SEVERE  
STORM EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES  
FOR TUESDAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH EASTERN AREAS SEEING  
HIGHS AROUND 100. SHOULD COOL TO JUST BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPS  
FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.  
 
FRIDAY-SUNDAY: UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AMPLIFIES OVER THE ROCKIES PLACING  
US IN STRONG NW FLOW. WILL HAVE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EACH AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST ABOVE OR NEAR NORMAL FOR  
THE PERIOD.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)  
ISSUED AT 1117 AM MDT SUN JUL 23 2017  
 
FOR KGLD AND KMCK...VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS LESS THAN 12KT  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AT BOTH TERMINALS AS HIGH PRESSURE  
DOMINATES THE WEATHER. CLEAR SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF  
THE PERIOD. MAY SEE A FEW HIGH CLOUDS AND WINDS PICK UP NEAR OR  
JUST AFTER 18Z TOMORROW.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...JTL  
LONG TERM...SME  
AVIATION...SME  
 
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