531  
FXUS63 KGLD 272255  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
455 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 148 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD INTO THE FOUR  
CORNERS REGION TONIGHT THEN INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES  
TOMORROW. WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT  
AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. THIS UPSLOPE FLOW IN ADDITION OF  
INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS WILL LEAD TO  
INCREASING CLOUDINESS TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH  
TOMORROW. THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF LOWERED VISIBILITY  
TOMORROW MORNING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS THE  
FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST  
TOMORROW. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE ACROSS  
KANSAS AND DURING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS  
TONIGHT LOOK TO DIP INTO THE LOWER 40S WITH HIGHS TOMORROW ONLY  
REACHING TO AROUND 50 DEGREES DUE TO THE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND  
PRECIPITATION.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 148 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TREK EASTWARD AND INTO THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT THEN INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS THE  
CWA THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. CLOUDY SKIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT DECREASING IN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST  
THURSDAY MORNING. A DRY PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER  
OF THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE  
AREA FRIDAY EVENING INTO THE WEEKEND. AS OF NOW, THIS SYSTEM LOOKS  
TO TAKE THE SAME TRACK AS THIS FIRST ONE. BUT WITH THIS SYSTEM  
BEING OUT MORE THAN 4 DAYS, CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND TRACK IS LOW.  
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM FORECAST LOOK TO ONLY REACH  
INTO THE UPPER 40S WEDNESDAY THEN INTO THE 50S THURSDAY AND  
FRIDAY. THE AREA THEN COOLS DOWN THIS WEEKEND AS THE NEXT STORM  
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S WITH  
THE EXCEPTION OF TUESDAY NIGHT WHERE LOWER 40S WILL BE POSSIBLE  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 450 PM MDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
FOR KGLD AND KMCK, VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE  
THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 06Z WITH WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 8 TO  
13KTS, HIGHEST AT KGLD. AFTER 07Z STRATUS AND FOG WILL MOVE WEST  
REACHING KMCK AROUND 07Z AND KGLD AROUND 09Z CREATING VLIFR  
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. A WEATHER  
DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO BRING INCREASING MOISTURE ABOVE THE  
SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING  
THROUGH TOMORROW AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO  
EASTERN NEW MEXICO BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. LIGHT TO MODERATE  
RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THE EVENING THROUGH DAYTIME HOURS. SOME MID  
LEVEL DRYING IS FORECAST TO SNEAK INTO THE GOODLAND AREA AT THE  
VERY END OF THE TAF PERIOD WHICH COULD BRING AN END OR DECREASE  
THE INTENSITY OF THE RAINFALL.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...HOVORKA_42  
LONG TERM...HOVORKA_42  
AVIATION...99  
 
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