884  
AXUS74 KSHV 191655  
DGTSHV  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
1055 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2018  
 
...FREQUENT WETTING RAINS DURING DECEMBER HAS RESULTED IN SOME IMPROVEMENT  
TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ARK-LA-TEX...  
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAIN FELL OVER MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, EXTREME  
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS MAINLY DURING THE SECOND HALF  
OF DECEMBER, WITH BELOW NORMAL RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS  
AND MUCH OF NORTH LOUISIANA. THESE RAINS, COUPLED WITH THE BELOW NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES OBSERVED DURING THE FINAL WEEK OF THE MONTH, RESULTED IN AN  
IMPROVEMENT TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THESE AREAS, AND EVEN ELIMINATING  
DROUGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. HOWEVER,  
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS BEEN OBSERVED THROUGH MUCH OF JANUARY ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST  
ARKANSAS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR, AS WELL AS MUCH OF NORTHERN  
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR  
TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AREAWIDE SINCE DECEMBER 1ST, WITH  
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF EIGHT TO TEN INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST  
ARKANSAS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL DEFICITS SINCE DECEMBER 1ST REMAINS OVER  
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND ALL OF NORTH LOUISIANA, WHERE WIDESPREAD  
TWO TO FOUR INCH DEFICITS EXIST. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE SIGNIFICANT  
DEFICITS THAT HAVE EXISTED SINCE THE START OF THE FALL. THE RECENT SPELL  
OF COLD TEMPERATURES SINCE CHRISTMAS HAS SLOWED THE EXPANSION OF THE  
DROUGHT, BUT HAS ALSO SLOWED THE GROWTH OF THE COOL SEASON GRASSES AND  
POSSIBLY HARMED SOME OF THE WINTER CROPS, NECESSITATING THE NEED FOR  
ADDITIONAL HAY AND FOOD SUPPLIES FOR CATTLE.  
 
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D2) PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA  
EAST OF A HOMER, TO SHREVEPORT, TO MANSFIELD AND NATCHITOCHES LINE, WITH  
MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D1) WEST OF THIS AREA OVER THE REMAINDER OF  
EXTREME NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND INTO PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS EAST OF A  
CARTHAGE TO NACOGDOCHES, TO LUFKIN LINE. MODERATE DROUGHT ALSO PERSISTS  
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30  
CORRIDOR AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, WITH ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS (D0)  
OVER THE REMAINDER OF EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE FINAL WEEK OF DECEMBER AND MUCH OF  
JANUARY, AND ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THAT FELL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS,  
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF  
DECEMBER HAS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT IN SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS OVER THESE  
AREAS. HOWEVER, WHERE RAINFALL DEFICITS CONTINUE TO MOUNT ACROSS NORTH  
LOUISIANA, TOPSOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS EXIST AS WELL WITH LITTLE IMPROVEMENT  
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF JANUARY. GIVEN THE RECENT EXTENDED PERIOD  
OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, COOL SEASON FORAGES HAVE SLOWED AND SOME MAY BE  
DAMAGED. MOST PRODUCERS ARE ALREADY FEEDING HAY AND SUPPLEMENTS, WITH  
ADDITIONAL SUPPLEMENTS NEEDED AS WE CONTINUE THROUGH THE COLD SEASON.  
 
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.  
GIVEN THE RECENT COLD AND WET SPELL OVER THE REGION, NO BURNS BANS ARE IN  
EFFECT FOR ANY PORTION OF THE REGION. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
LOW TO MODERATE AREAWIDE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY, AS NEAR TO  
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED, WITH ONLY INTERMITTENT  
BOUTS OF WETTING RAINS.  
 
CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.  
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER  
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT  
AT THIS TIME.  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
AFTER A PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE OBSERVED DURING THE FIRST  
THREE WEEKS OF DECEMBER, THE FINAL TEN DAYS OF THE MONTH OBSERVED BELOW  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WHICH CULMINATED INTO NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES ON AVERAGE TO END THE MONTH. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE DECEMBER  
TEMPERATURES AND THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS  
THE FOUR STATE REGION:  
 
CITY: DEC. AVG. DEP. FROM NORMAL  
TEMPERATURE  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 48.5 +0.4  
 
MONROE LA 48.3 +0.1  
 
TEXARKANA AR 45.7 +0.2  
 
EL DORADO AR 45.7 +0.2  
 
DEQUEEN AR 44.3 +1.3  
 
TYLER TX 48.4 +0.2  
 
LONGVIEW TX 48.3 +0.3  
 
LUFKIN TX 49.3 -0.9  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 42.4 +0.1  
BROKEN BOW 43.6 +1.3  
IDABEL 44.0 +1.6  
 
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FELL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND  
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FALLING ELSEWHERE ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND MUCH OF NORTH LOUISIANA. BELOW IS A LIST  
OF THE DECEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND  
PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:  
 
CITY: DEC. RAINFALL/ PERCENTAGE  
(DEP. FROM NORMAL) OF NORMAL  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 4.12 (-0.65) 86%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1872)  
 
MONROE LA 3.52 (-1.77) 67%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)  
 
NATCHITOCHES LA 2.95 (-2.89) 51%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)  
 
TEXARKANA AR 6.59 (+1.54) 130%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)  
 
EL DORADO AR 5.63 (+0.45) 109%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)  
 
HOPE 3NE AR 8.84 (+3.46) 164%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)  
 
DEQUEEN AR 5.25 (+0.89) 120%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)  
 
MT. PLEASANT TX 4.62 (+0.20) 105%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1905)  
 
TYLER TX 5.29 (+1.05) 125%  
(AIRPORT)  
 
TYLER TX 7.71 (+3.22) 172%  
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)  
 
LONGVIEW TX 5.33 (+0.84) 119%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)  
 
MARSHALL TX 4.68 (-0.36) 93%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)  
 
LUFKIN TX 3.61 (-0.83) 81%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1907)  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 4.08 (-0.72) 85%  
BROKEN BOW 3.49 (-1.31) 73%  
IDABEL 2.75 (-1.81) 60%  
 
MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED THROUGH THE FIRST  
THREE WEEKS OF JANUARY, AS A RESULT OF MULTIPLE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGES.  
THIS HAS SLOWED THE DROUGHT DETERIORATION ACROSS THE AREA. BELOW IS A  
LIST OF THE JANUARY TEMPERATURES (THROUGH JANUARY 18TH) AND THEIR  
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE  
REGION:  
 
CITY: JAN. AVG. DEP. FROM NORMAL  
TEMPERATURE  
(THROUGH 1/18)  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 37.6 -8.6  
 
MONROE LA 37.2 -8.8  
 
TEXARKANA AR 34.6 -8.9  
 
EL DORADO AR 34.6 -9.4  
 
DEQUEEN AR 33.6 -7.9  
 
TYLER TX 37.8 -8.2  
 
LONGVIEW TX 37.3 -8.7  
 
LUFKIN TX 39.2 -9.7  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 31.3 -8.7  
BROKEN BOW 32.7 -7.3  
IDABEL 33.2 -7.2  
 
NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS FALLEN SO FAR IN JANUARY AREAWIDE.  
BELOW IS A LIST JANUARY RAINFALL TOTALS (THROUGH JANUARY 18TH), AND  
THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR  
STATE REGION:  
 
CITY: JAN. RAINFALL/ PERCENTAGE  
(DEP. FROM NORMAL) OF NORMAL  
(THROUGH 1/18)  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 1.34 (-0.97) 58%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1872)  
 
MONROE LA 1.95 (-0.92) 68%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)  
 
NATCHITOCHES LA 1.96 (-0.88) 69%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)  
 
TEXARKANA AR 2.05 (+0.07) 104%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)  
 
EL DORADO AR 1.73 (-0.66) 72%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)  
 
HOPE 3NE AR 2.11 (-0.31) 87%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)  
 
DEQUEEN AR 0.59 (-1.37) 30%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)  
 
MT. PLEASANT TX 0.75 (-1.00) 43%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1905)  
 
TYLER TX 1.12 (-0.65) 63%  
(AIRPORT)  
 
TYLER TX 1.79 (-0.17) 91%  
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)  
 
LONGVIEW TX 2.38 (+0.53) 129%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)  
 
MARSHALL TX 1.98 (-0.16) 93%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)  
 
LUFKIN TX 1.22 (-1.14) 52%  
(RECORDS SINCE 1907)  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 0.56 (-1.35) 85%  
BROKEN BOW 0.65 (-1.26) 73%  
IDABEL 0.57 (-1.29) 31%  
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
A WARMUP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF LIGHT  
RAIN AND DRIZZLE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION AS SOUTHERLY WINDS ALLOW FOR  
A GRADUAL DEEPENING OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER EAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA  
AND POSSIBLY THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS ALONG AND AHEAD OF  
A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM, AND GRADUALLY SPREAD  
EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG  
STORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, WITH RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS OF 0.50-1.00 INCHES POSSIBLE, WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO  
2 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA,  
AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. LITTLE IF ANY IMPROVEMENT IN  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH A RETURN TO MORE  
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES SET TO BEGIN MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT  
WEEK BEFORE WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS MAY INCREASE BY NEXT WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT  
THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  
 
THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY-MARCH-  
APRIL, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES  
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AREAWIDE, BUT  
EQUAL CHANCES FOR SEEING EITHER BELOW NORMAL, NEAR NORMAL, OR ABOVE NORMAL  
RAINFALL AREAWIDE. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK LA NINA THAT CONTINUES  
IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SPRING.  
THUS, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE  
EARLY SPRING MONTHS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS HAVE RECOVERED ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND  
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS IN WAKE OF THE RAINS THAT FELL DURING DECEMBER.  
HOWEVER, POOLS STAGES REMAIN ONE TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA, WHERE OVERALL  
RAINFALL DEFICITS ARE LARGEST. RIVER STREAMFLOWS ARE ALSO WELL BELOW  
NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF ADJACENT SOUTHWEST  
ARKANSAS ALONG THE LITTLE RIVER BASIN, AS WELL AS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH  
LOUISIANA. LITTLE CHANGE TO ADDITIONAL SLOW FALLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT  
THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN MID FEBRUARY.  
 

 
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV  
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML  
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU  
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV  
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU  
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC  
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV  
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV  
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU  
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/  
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU  
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG  
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE  
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM  
 
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS  
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE  
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT  
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED  
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...  
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...  
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
 
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION  
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE  
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.  
SHREVEPORT LA 71109  
 
PHONE: (318) 631-3669  
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 

 
 
15/HANSFORD  
 
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