982  
FNUS72 KTAE 091255  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW LIGHT...USDA FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
855 AM EDT TUE JUN 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY WARM AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS PREVAIL TODAY WITH LIGHT/VARIABLE  
WINDS. LOW DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST FROM IGNITION TIME UNTIL  
ABOUT NOON AS TRANSPORT WINDS PICK UP A BIT OUT OF THE EAST. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOW 90S (MID 90S HEAT INDICES), THOUGH THE  
CLOUDS PROVIDE SOME SHADING OF FUELS. RAIN CHANCES TAP OUT NEAR  
20% THIS AFTERNOON - HIGHER WEST OF THE BURN SITE. DISTANT  
LIGHTNING WITH A COUPLE RUMBLES OF THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE. MINIMUM  
RH IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND 40%.  
 
FOR TOMORROW, LOW DISPERSIONS LIFT BETWEEN 10AM & 11AM EDT AS  
TRANSPORT WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. EXPECT A HOTTER DAY  
(100-102 HEAT INDEX) THANKS TO LESS CLOUD COVER. SLIGHTLY  
AFTERNOON BETTER RAIN CHANCES ARE FORECAST (~25%) GIVEN A MORE  
FAVORABLE SETUP FOR SEABREEZE DRIVEN CONVECTION. MINIMUM RH JUMPS  
A BIT TO 45% WITH THE UPTICK IN MOISTURE OFF THE GULF.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 35.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........71 71 71 60 60 60 66 66 66  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............78 80 83 86 88 90 92 92 89  
RH..............74 69 59 50 45 42 41 43 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E NE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 10 12 13 13 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.4 2.1 3.2 4.3 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION......6 10 15 23 35 39 39 38 31  
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........63 63 63 42 42 42 36 36 36 39 39 39  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............87 85 87 82 81 79 77 76 75 74 74 73  
RH..............50 55 57 65 67 72 74 76 76 79 82 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE NE N N N N N N N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION......22 11 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6  
TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 40.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........13 13 13 10 10 10 30 30 30 49 49 49  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............73 72 74 78 84 87 90 92 93 93 94 93  
RH..............84 87 87 82 70 61 54 51 47 47 46 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..E NE E SE E E E SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.1 5.1 5.9 6.2 6.0 5.4 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
DISPERSION......3 3 6 11 21 30 37 42 44 44 42 36  
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...GONZALEZ  
REQUESTED BY...KELLY WELBORN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2615223.0/TAE  
.DELDT 06/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KELLY.WELBORN@USDA.GOV  
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