420  
FNUS72 KTAE 200649  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GRADE 6 FIRE...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
149 AM EST THU NOV 20 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..LOW DISPERSIONS EXPECTED AT THE SITE TODAY AND FRIDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY LOW TRANSPORT WINDS AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL ENCOURAGE LOW  
DISPERSIONS AND FOG IN THE MORNING HOURS AT THE BURN SITE. FOG  
SHOULD EVAPORATE BY 9 OR 10AM WITH DAYTIME HEATING BUT EXPECT LOW  
DISPERSIONS TO REMAIN, DESPITE 3 KFT MIXING HEIGHTS. LIGHT EAST  
WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MIN RHS BOTTOM  
OUT AROUND 55%.  
 
FOR TONIGHT WINDS WILL GO CALM AND FOG IS LIKELY. SOME AREAS COULD  
SEE DENSE FOG. FOR FRIDAY, SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS FROM THE SOUTH  
ARE EXPECTED BUT WITH LOW MIXING HEIGHTS, DISPERSIONS WILL AGAIN  
REMAIN LOW. MIN RHS WILL CONTINUE THEIR CLIMB UPWARDS AS LOW-LEVEL  
MOISTURE RETURNS. RHS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT AROUND 60% ON FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE  
MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 54 35 35 35 23 23 23 15 15 15  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 56 63 69 75 79 81 81 81 78 75  
RH..............100 100 90 78 69 62 58 58 58 64 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE E SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 2.7 2.1 1.5 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE E SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 6 6  
DISPERSION......5 5 8 8 8 13 13 13 13 13 13  
LVORI...........9 9 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
LVORI...............7.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........20 20 20 38 38 38 45 45 45 46 46 46  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 68 65 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 56  
RH..............73 81 87 90 90 90 93 93 96 96 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION......7 7 7 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
LVORI...........4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 19 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 66 66 55 55 55 45 45 45 42 42 42  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 55 57 62 67 71 75 77 78 77 76 73  
RH..............96 100 100 90 84 73 66 62 60 62 64 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 5 5 7 8 9 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 5 6 7 9 9 8 8 8  
DISPERSION......3 3 3 9 9 9 21 21 21 17 17 17  
LVORI...........10 9 9 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...DOBBS  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES WINTER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2526417.0/TAE  
.DELDT 11/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BARTON_RYE@FWS.GOV,JAMES_WINTER@FWS.GOV  
 
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