160  
FNUS72 KTAE 051359  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR UNIT 216 PB 12...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
959 AM EDT MON MAY 5 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A FAIRLY DRY AIR MASS IS LOCATED OVER THE BURN SITE  
TODAY, FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY MORNING. A  
SOUTHERLY SEABREEZE WILL KICK IN PRETTY SUDDENLY BETWEEN ABOUT 1  
PM AND 3 PM. GOOD DISPERSION IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON, THANKS TO  
DEEP VERTICAL MIXING AND A MODERATE WESTERLY TRANSPORT WIND. FOR  
TONIGHT, THE DRY AIR MASS SHOULD PRECLUDE FOG DEVELOPMENT.  
DISPERSION ON TUESDAY WILL BE FAIR, AS TRANSPORT WINDS DIMINISH.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 63.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 1 3 3 2 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 76 80 81 83 83 83 82  
RH..............53 45 39 39 38 40 41 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 5 6 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 9 12 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 10 12 13 13  
DISPERSION......15 23 34 50 61 64 64 61  
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7  
TO 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 2 3 4 8 6 9 19 6 10 11 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............82 80 77 75 71 69 67 66 65 64 63 62  
RH..............46 51 56 60 68 68 73 75 78 78 81 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW W W NW NW NW N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 5 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 10 10 9 8 7 6 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 10 9 8 7 7 6 7 8 8  
DISPERSION......47 29 7 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 4 4  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 19 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 10 5 4 16 13 17 25 29 29 29 29  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 61 62 67 73 77 80 82 85 85 86 86  
RH..............78 78 75 65 55 48 44 40 36 37 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE E SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 8 8 7 6 5 6 6 7 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE E E E S SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 6  
DISPERSION......4 4 8 12 17 19 18 20 21 20 21 21  
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...HANER  
REQUESTED BY...BART RYE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2512954.0/TAE  
.DELDT 05/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BARTON_RYE@FWS.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab GA Page
The Nexlab AL Page
Main Text Page