161  
FNUS72 KTAE 281132  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLCREEK SOUTH 20...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
732 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY, PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF  
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK EASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS  
AND MODEST MIXING HEIGHTS WILL MAINTAIN LOW DISPERSIONS THROUGHOUT  
THE DAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. SIMILAR CONDITIONS FRIDAY  
WITH A LOWER POTENTIAL FOR MORNING FOG AND CONTINUED LOW DISPERSIONS.  
ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 20 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 37 37 37 60 60 60 52 52 52  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............72 76 80 84 86 88 89 90 89 88  
RH..............97 90 82 74 68 63 59 58 61 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E NE E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 9 8 7 8 8 9 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.3 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 5 5 3 5 3 5 5  
DISPERSION......7 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20  
LVORI...........6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 56 56 56 56 56 34 34 34 32 32 32  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............40 40 40 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............87 84 80 79 77 76 75 74 73 73 72 72  
RH..............63 67 77 77 82 85 84 90 90 90 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E NE E E E E E E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6  
DISPERSION......15 15 15 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 50 50 60 60 60 72 72 72 73 73 73  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............71 71 72 74 78 80 81 83 84 84 84 84  
RH..............93 93 93 97 88 82 79 72 70 70 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5  
DISPERSION......6 6 6 21 21 21 23 23 23 21 21 21  
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...LF  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEELE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520885.0/TAE  
.DELDT 08/28/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.STEELE@FDACS.GOV  
 
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