107  
FNUS72 KTAE 101342  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MERLIN ROAD FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
942 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 CDT ON JUNE 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE MAIN CONCERN IS A 30 TO 40% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AREA BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM CDT TODAY. WINDS IN AND AROUND ANY  
STORMS COULD GUST TO 40 MPH AND BE ERRATIC IN DIRECTION. OTHERWISE,  
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH TODAY  
WITH MODERATE DISPERSION. TONIGHT, LIGHT WINDS AND LOW DISPERSION  
MAY LEAD TO POOR VISIBILITY NEAR THE FIRE DUE TO SMOKE. ON TUESDAY,  
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MODERATE  
DISPERSION. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH A LOW CHANCE OF  
PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........33 36 35 38 38 33 35 43  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 30 30 30 40  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
TEMP............84 86 88 90 90 91 90 89  
RH..............74 70 63 62 60 58 62 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 14 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 9 10 12 13  
DISPERSION......33 42 43 43 46 47 49 48  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........52 58 53 53 57 61 71 66 62 64 55 54  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 20 20 20 20  
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............87 86 84 82 81 80 79 78 76 76 76 75  
RH..............68 72 77 82 85 88 91 91 94 94 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W SW W W SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 10 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION......46 39 12 7 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........56 49 41 41 34 31 31 32 32 31 29 28  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............74 73 75 78 81 85 88 90 91 92 92 91  
RH..............90 93 87 82 74 61 55 52 49 47 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N NW NW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
DISPERSION......3 3 6 14 22 31 39 46 52 52 51 50  
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...LF  
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON MCALPIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2415898.0/TAE  
.DELDT 06/10/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRANDON.MCALPIN@FDACS.GOV  
 
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