014  
FNUS72 KTAE 100637  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW LIGHT...USDA FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
237 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0835 EDT ON JUNE 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
POOR TO FAIR DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY. TRANSPORT AND SURFACE WINDS  
WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE EAST EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE TURNING  
MORE SOUTHEASTERLY AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND LATER THIS MORNING  
INTO THE AFTERNOON. MINRH WILL GENERALLY DROP TO BETWEEN 40 TO 50  
PERCENT AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE BEFORE QUICKLY REBOUNDING IN THE WAKE  
OF IT. RAIN CHANCES ARE AROUND 20 TO 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND  
WILL BE SOMETHING WE MONITOR THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WHILE FOG IS NOT  
EXPLICITLY IN THE FORECAST, WE'LL MONITOR THE POTENTIAL OF IT FORMING  
NEAR THE BURN SITE LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT  
CONFIDENCE AND CHANCES ARE LOW IN IT OCCURRING AT THIS TIME.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 33.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........11 9 9 9 32 32 32 47 47 47  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............74 78 84 87 90 91 92 92 93 92  
RH..............90 85 70 63 56 54 51 52 51 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.0 3.1 4.1 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.2 4.6 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION......9 17 27 33 35 37 36 36 35 29  
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 28 28 11 11 11 18 18 18 31 31 31  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............92 90 87 84 81 80 78 77 76 75 74 74  
RH..............52 56 61 67 74 77 82 82 85 84 90 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 3 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3  
DISPERSION......21 11 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 50.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 31 31 34 34 34 24 24 24 25 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............74 73 75 79 85 88 91 92 93 94 94 94  
RH..............87 90 90 85 67 59 54 51 47 48 49 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 1 2 3 3 5 6 8 10 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.6 3.6 4.5 5.2 5.7 5.8 5.5 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8  
DISPERSION......1 1 2 6 13 22 32 38 46 50 54 49  
LVORI...........7 7 7 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...REESE  
REQUESTED BY...KELLY WELBORN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2615223.1/TAE  
.DELDT 06/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KELLY.WELBORN@USDA.GOV  
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