347
FNUS72 KTAE 111142
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRADWELL BAY FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
742 AM EDT SAT JUL 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN AROUND THE FIRE TODAY
WITH THE TIMING OF THE STORMS MAINLY BETWEEN 2PM AND 7PM THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HEAT IS ALSO ANOTHER CONCERN AS TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE
MIDDLE 90S WITH HEAT INDICES PUSHING 105 TO 109 DEGREES AHEAD OF
THE SHOWERS AND STORMS.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TO
SOUTHERLY LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL MAINLY BE OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO
10 MPH. POOR DISPERSIONS THIS MORNING BECOME FAIR LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WHILE FOG IS NOT EXPLICITLY FORECAST, IT WILL BE MONITORED THIS
EVENING NEAR THE BURN SITE AS ANY RAIN NEAR SUNSET COULD PROMOTE
THE RIGHT CONDITIONS TO ALLOW FOR SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT. BUT THAT
CHANCE IS VERY LOW, LESS THAN 10 PERCENT, AT THIS TIME.
SIMILAR WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 30.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........37 27 27 27 55
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
CWR.............0 0 50 50 50
TEMP............77 88 92 94 94
RH..............100 72 60 54 54
20 FT WIND......N 0 N 0 W 1 S 3 SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 6 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2500 4300 4700 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3 W 5 W 7 SW 8 SW 10
DISPERSION......3 15 33 45 42
LVORI...........7 3 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........40 40 24 8 8 27
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............30 30 10 0 0 0
TEMP............91 88 83 81 79 78
RH..............60 68 80 82 88 91
20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 SW 1 W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 9 7 6
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1000 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 W 6
DISPERSION......26 4 4 4 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 52.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........28 28 30 59 59 41
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
CWR.............10 10 20 40 40 60
TEMP............77 78 87 90 92 93
RH..............94 97 77 68 62 60
20 FT WIND......N 0 N 0 W 1 W 2 SW 3 SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 7 9 10 12
MIX HGT (FT)....300 500 2300 4100 4900 4000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 6 W 7 W 9 SW 10 SW 12
DISPERSION......2 5 21 44 56 54
LVORI...........7 7 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...REESE
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW HUNDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617205.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.HUNDT@USDA.GOVS
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