866  
FNUS72 KTAE 240642  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFER PRESERVE 10A 10D...DEP / ORCP / ST. JOSEPH BAY STATE BUFFER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
242 AM EDT WED JUN 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JUNE 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY THIS MORNING AT AROUND 10 MPH,  
THEN SHIFTING WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 10-15  
MPH. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL MAX OUT AROUND 2500 FEET THIS AFTERNOON  
WITH POOR DISPERSION VALUES OF 30 UNITS AND LESS. THESE PARAMETERS  
WILL BE SIMILAR FOR THURSDAY. MINRH VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER  
50S TODAY AND INCREASING TO LOW 60S FOR THURSDAY. LITTLE TO NO  
RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 90, AND A  
HEAT INDEX NEAR 100 DEGREES. FOR THURSDAY, RAIN/THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES INCREASE TO AROUND 25-30% WITH SIMILAR AFTERNOON  
TEMPERATURES. FOG DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 13  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 29.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 30 30 24 24 24 18 18 18 15 15 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............78 77 78 80 83 85 86 88 88 88 88 89  
RH..............91 90 88 85 74 65 63 59 61 61 61 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N NW NW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 9 8 8 7 8 9 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N NW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 9 12 13  
DISPERSION......6 5 17 19 20 21 22 23 24 28 30 30  
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........24 24 24 19 19 19 17 17 17 40 40 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............88 87 85 83 82 81 81 80 79 79 78 78  
RH..............63 68 72 77 79 79 79 82 85 85 85 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 9 9 9 7 7 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 8  
DISPERSION......28 25 9 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 4  
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 28.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 39 39 40 40 40 24 24 24 52 52 52  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............20 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............78 77 79 81 85 86 87 88 88 87 87 88  
RH..............85 88 85 85 70 65 63 63 63 68 68 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW W W SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 12  
DISPERSION......4 4 11 14 17 20 23 25 27 29 30 31  
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...MONTGOMERY  
REQUESTED BY...DYLAN SHOEMAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616061.0/TAE  
.DELDT 06/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DYLAN.SHOEMAKER@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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