792
FNUS72 KTAE 281800
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDAWAY...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
200 PM EDT TUE APR 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT AROUND OUT
OF THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE SEA BREEZE
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SITE AROUND 5-6 PM, CAUSING A SLIGHT UPTICK
IN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO THE UPPER 30S
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT, A DECAYING COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE
NORTH OF THE SITE. HOWEVER, THE OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE DECAYING
STORMS COULD AFFECT THE SITE BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM. THIS COULD
CAUSE A SHARP WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS OF 20-30
MPH. WHILE NOT REFLECTED IN OUR EXPLICIT FORECAST BELOW, THIS
SHORT DURATION OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SHARP NORTHWEST SHIFT IN
WINDS HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN GUIDANCE. THE REST OF THE NIGHT,
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST, AND SOME PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.
ON WEDNESDAY, ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED GIVEN THE
INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 IN THE
AFTERNOON. DISPERSIONS WILL BE VERY HIGH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........25 30 30 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............86 87 88 88
RH..............42 39 38 38
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E SE S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 5.6 6.1 5.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5
DISPERSION......28 29 29 33
LVORI...........2 2 2 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,
THEN BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 9
MPH OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........45 45 45 52 52 52 60 60 60 86 86 86
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............89 86 83 77 74 71 70 69 67 67 67 67
RH..............37 42 47 62 71 79 84 90 93 97 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 8 8 7 7 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8
DISPERSION......32 23 6 7 7 7 7 6 4 4 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 8 9 9
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12
TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 66
INCREASING TO 88 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 103 DECREASING TO 75 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........84 84 84 43 43 43 20 20 20 15 15 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............65 67 67 69 75 80 84 88 89 90 91 89
RH..............100 97 97 97 82 67 57 47 44 42 40 44
20 FT WIND DIR..W S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 7 8 10 14 15 17 17 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.6 6.0 6.0 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW S SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 12 13 14 16 16 16 16 16
DISPERSION......3 4 10 17 30 46 66 88 104 102 78 71
LVORI...........9 9 7 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...YOUNG
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER STILES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611957.0/TAE
.DELDT 04/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JENNIFER.STILES@FDACS.GOV
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