898  
FNUS72 KTAE 161637  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY SCRATCH FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
1237 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MARCH 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY TONIGHT AND REMAIN ELEVATED  
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS WON'T BE AS  
HIGH AS THIS AFTERNOON'S VALUES, BUT OCCASIONAL 15 TO 20 MPH GUSTS  
REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS MUCH COOLER AND DRIER COMES IN. RHS  
SHOULD RECOVER WELL THIS EVENING GIVEN COLD TEMPERATURES, BUT WITH  
DAYBREAK, EXPECT MUCH LOWER HUMIDITIES TO MOVE IN FOR THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS AND WE'LL LIKELY DROP TO AROUND THE UPPER 20%  
RANGE ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY, AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH, AGAIN  
ON TUESDAY BUT THESE WILL BE LOWER THAN THE GUSTS WE'LL SEE THIS  
MONDAY AFTERNOON. DISPERSIONS WILL BE ON THE HIGH SIDE TUESDAY AND  
PEAK AROUND 70 TO 75. NO FOG CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE  
NEXT 48 HOURS.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
29 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....76 DECREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 47 14 14 14 21 21 21 20 20 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 49 47 45 43 43 41 41 39 39 37  
RH..............68 63 60 60 62 57 62 59 62 62 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 29 26 24 22 23 22 20 18 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 25 22 18 17 16 15 15 14 14  
DISPERSION......76 76 17 17 17 8 8 8 6 6 6  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 71 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 39 39 24 24 24 28 28 28 21 21 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 35 36 39 43 48 50 52 53 55 55  
RH..............64 67 64 59 50 43 34 31 29 29 28 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 17 17 16 16 16 15 15 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 15 16 15 14 13 13 13 13  
DISPERSION......26 26 26 71 71 71 70 70 70 72 72 72  
LVORI...........3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...DOBBS  
REQUESTED BY...LUCAS SCHAEFFER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2605861.1/TAE  
.DELDT 03/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LUCAS.SCHAEFFER@FDACS.GOV  
 
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