828
FNUS72 KTAE 221406
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR SELLERS RX BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
906 AM EST THU JAN 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND
TRANSITION TO BEING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH BY THE
AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEASTERLY IN THE MORNING
AND TRANSITION TO THE SOUTH BY THE MID-AFTERNOON. DISPERSIONS WILL
BE LOW TODAY. RHS SHOULD BE HIGHER THAN WHAT WE SAW ON WEDNESDAY
AND BOTTOM OUT AROUND 55-60% AT THEIR LOWEST. A LOW CHANCE, LESS THAN
20%, OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. EXCELLENT RHS
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED AND AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
STREAM IN, WE CAN'T RULE OUT AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH 10AM FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHER RHS
AND LOWER DISPERSIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE ON FRIDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 26 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........33 33 32 32 32 36 36 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............55 61 65 69 70 71 72 70
RH..............72 67 63 59 57 57 55 61
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 3 6 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.7 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6
DISPERSION......10 10 26 26 26 26 26 26
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............7.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........40 40 40 41 41 41 52 52 52 61 61 61
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............68 65 61 59 58 57 56 56 55 54 54 54
RH..............65 73 84 93 96 100 100 96 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW S N E E SE N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION......8 8 8 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 9 9 9 8 9 10 10 10
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FOG LATE IN
THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 16 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........77 77 77 81 81 81 76 76 76 75 75 75
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............53 53 53 55 58 61 64 67 68 69 69 67
RH..............100 100 100 93 87 78 73 65 63 61 61 65
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE S SW SW W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E SE SE SE S S SW W NW N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 7
DISPERSION......4 4 4 7 7 7 17 17 17 14 14 14
LVORI...........10 9 9 9 9 6 4 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...REESE
REQUESTED BY...MASON SELLERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600882.0/TAE
.DELDT 01/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MASON.SELLERS@FDACS.GOV
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