420
FNUS72 KTAE 180724
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX FIRE...STATE OF FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
224 AM EST THU DEC 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 CST ON DECEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE BURN SITE THIS
MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH
THICK CLOUD COVER, MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LOW, TOPPING OUT AROUND
1000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CREATE LOW DISPERSIONS TODAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SITE TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS TURNING TO NORTHWESTERLY THEN NORTHERLY ON FRIDAY. TRANSPORT
WINDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY CREATING GOOD DISPERSIONS
FRIDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................80 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO 70 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 16 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........93 90 90 90 93 93 93 85 85 85
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............80 100 100 100 100 100 100 70 70 70
TEMP............57 59 63 65 66 67 67 67 67 68
RH..............100 100 97 93 97 93 97 97 100 93
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 16 16 16 15 14 13
DISPERSION......15 18 18 18 21 21 21 17 17 17
LVORI...........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO
18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............7.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........57 57 57 40 40 40 63 63 63 61 61 61
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40 40 40 20 20 20 50 50 50 10 10 10
TEMP............67 65 64 65 65 65 64 64 62 61 60 57
RH..............97 97 100 100 100 97 100 100 100 100 96 93
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 12 13 15 16 18 18 20 20 20
DISPERSION......13 13 13 12 12 12 16 16 16 19 19 19
LVORI...........6 7 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
TIME (CST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........17 17 17 7 7 7 3 3 3 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 53 51 53 56 58 60 62 63 63 61 59
RH..............90 83 83 74 66 60 53 48 46 46 50 53
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 12 13 12 12 15 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 20 18 17 15 14 13 13 13 13
DISPERSION......35 35 35 40 40 40 39 39 39 42 42 42
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...SCHOLL
REQUESTED BY...KYLE BASS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527787.2/TAE
.DELDT 12/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KYLE.BASS@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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