350
FNUS72 KTAE 281700
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 220...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HOT TEMPERATURES FORECAST FOR MONDAY AS APPARENT TEMPERATURES
COULD BE NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS WITH HEAT INDICES OF 108-110 F
FORECAST. LIGHT WINDS FORECAST THROUGH THE MORNING WITH DIRECTION
MOSTLY BEING WEST/NORTHWEST BUT THEY BECOME VARIABLE BY THE
AFTERNOON AS A POTENTIAL WEAK SEABREEZE AND ANY STORM OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES DEVELOP. RAIN CHANCES ARE AROUND 20 TO 40% WITH MOST
ACTIVITY DEVELOPING AFTER 1400. FAIR DISPERSIONS AROUND 40 TO 50
WITH HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 45%.
WHILE SHOWER STORM ACTIVITY REMAINS MOSTLY ISOLATED/SCATTERED ON
MONDAY, THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR GREATER COVERAGE THAN
FORECAST MOVING IN DURING THE EVENING HOURS FROM THE NORTHEAST.
IF A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF STORMS DEVELOP, STRONG NORTHEASTERLY
THUNDERSTORM GUSTS COULD AFFECT THE BURN SITE IN THE EVENING
HOURS AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT AT THIS
TIME.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST AND NORTHWEST WINDS BECOMING
VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AND NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 41.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 8 8 8 28 28 28 29 29 29
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 30 30 30
TEMP............75 75 77 82 87 91 93 95 96 97 98 96
RH..............90 90 90 82 68 60 54 49 48 46 47 48
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W W SW SW SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.4 3.4 3.9 4.4 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8
DISPERSION......3 3 7 13 19 25 29 34 41 40 42 41
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AND NORTHWEST BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH
THROUGH THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 36 36 23 23 23 22 22 22 18 18 18
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............95 93 91 88 85 83 82 81 80 79 78 78
RH..............51 54 60 66 72 74 77 79 79 82 85 85
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW S SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 9 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
DISPERSION......29 17 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 48.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 23 23 22 22 22 45 45 45 42 42 42
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 80 80 80 80 80 80
TEMP............77 77 78 82 86 89 92 94 96 96 96 94
RH..............87 87 91 85 75 68 62 56 53 53 53 56
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.3 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
DISPERSION......3 3 7 9 15 21 32 43 52 49 47 44
LVORI...........5 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...DOBBS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616371.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.QUISENBERRY@USDA.GOV
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