766
FNUS72 KTAE 232231
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR 430 WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
631 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL BECOME LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE NOW WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE, AND THIS
SHOULD REMAIN THE CASE FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
FOR SUNDAY, WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AGAIN IN THE LATE
MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
BUT THE BETTER CHANCES ARE NORTH OF THE FIRE. IF STORMS DO MANAGE
TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE, THEN GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WOULD BE THE MAIN THREATS.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........37 37 46 46 46 46 46 46 62 62 62
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............84 80 79 78 78 77 76 75 75 74 73
RH..............72 79 79 82 82 85 87 90 87 93 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE SE S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
DISPERSION......22 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 52
DECREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41 41 41 34 34 34 30 30 30 32 32 32
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............75 77 79 81 83 85 87 88 88 89 89 88
RH..............90 85 82 82 77 70 65 63 61 59 59 61
20 FT WIND DIR..N SE S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10
DISPERSION......3 3 7 16 28 41 49 54 54 53 50 41
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 7
MPH OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........42 42 42 47 47 47 57 57 57 64 64 64
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............87 86 85 84 83 82 80 79 78 77 76 75
RH..............65 68 67 67 70 74 77 79 82 85 87 90
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S N N N N N N N E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 7 5 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
DISPERSION......29 17 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MEMORIAL DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 18 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 48 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 41.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........83 83 83 56 56 56 62 62 62 68 68 68
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............74 75 77 78 79 81 82 83 84 86 87 86
RH..............93 90 88 88 85 79 77 72 70 65 63 65
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 16 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 9 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12
DISPERSION......3 3 14 21 33 45 51 50 47 50 46 41
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
FORECASTER...YOUNG
REQUESTED BY...LOPEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614357.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FLFIC@FIRENET.GOV
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