552  
FNUS72 KTAE 250634  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFER PRESERVE 10B 10E...DEP / ORCP / ST. JOSEPH BAY STATE BUFFER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
234 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JUNE 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TRANSPORT WINDS START NORTHWESTERLY THIS MORNING AT AROUND 5-10  
MPH. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES, WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY, THEN  
SOUTHWESTERLY FOR THE EVENING. THE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN  
SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND PREVAIL THROUGH THE  
DAY FRIDAY. ALL WHILE REMAINING AROUND 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHTS EACH  
AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 2200-2400 FEET WITH FAIR DISPERSION  
VALUES. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOW AROUND 20 PERCENT TODAY AND  
FRIDAY WITH MAX TEMPERATURES AROUND 90 DEGREES, WITH HEAT INDICES  
AROUND 100 DEGREES.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
10 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 28.  
 
TIME (EDT) 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM  
SKY (%).........39 39 40 40 40 38 38 38 30 30 30  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10  
TEMP............78 79 82 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 88  
RH..............85 85 79 70 68 65 63 61 63 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10  
DISPERSION......3 9 12 17 22 26 27 28 28 29 28  
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH BECOMING AROUND 9 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....25 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM  
SKY (%).........28 28 28 26 26 26 29 29 29 49 49 49  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............87 87 85 83 82 82 81 81 81 81 81 81  
RH..............65 65 70 77 79 77 79 79 79 79 79 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
DISPERSION......26 24 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 31.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM  
SKY (%).........38 38 38 30 30 30 27 27 27 30 30 30  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............81 80 81 84 86 87 88 89 89 89 90 89  
RH..............79 85 85 80 75 70 68 68 66 68 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12  
DISPERSION......4 4 16 19 23 27 29 31 32 32 34 34  
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...MONTGOMERY  
REQUESTED BY...DYLAN SHOEMAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616154.0/TAE  
.DELDT 06/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DYLAN.SHOEMAKER@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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