779
FNUS72 KTAE 221204
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR L-25 RX...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
804 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LOW DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST UNTIL 8AM CT WHEN WINDS PICK UP OUT
OF THE SOUTH. RAIN CHANCES STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS - PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN 1PM CT & 5PM CT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT OR IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE.
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN CONCERNS. A
WETTING RAIN MAY OCCUR AS WELL.
LINGERING RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW WITH
CONVECTION LOOKING TO GET AN EARLIER START COMPARED TO TODAY.
ANOTHER WETTING RAIN WILL BE ON THE TABLE. WINDS PERSIST OUT OF
THE SOUTH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 42.
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM
SKY (%).........60 53 76 76 69
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............20 30 40 40 60
TEMP............74 77 81 82 83
RH..............90 88 74 74 72
20 FT WIND......SE 5 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 17 20 20 18
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2200 2900 3100 2600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 16 S 20 S 20 S 17
DISPERSION......15 44 45 46 39
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CDT) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM
SKY (%).........70 70 70 73 73 74
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE
CWR.............60 60 20 30 30 40
TEMP............81 79 76 75 75 74
RH..............77 79 85 87 84 87
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 6 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.16 13 10 9 8 6
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1300 800 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 12 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 8
DISPERSION......33 9 6 4 4 4
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 45.
TIME (CDT) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM
SKY (%).........77 77 71 60 60 30
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............40 40 50 40 40 40
TEMP............73 74 78 81 83 84
RH..............90 90 85 77 72 70
20 FT WIND......S 1 S 2 S 3 S 5 S 7 S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 12 14 13
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1900 2600 3200 3100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 9 S 10 S 12 S 13 S 12
DISPERSION......4 11 25 38 43 45
LVORI...........6 5 4 3 3 2
FORECASTER...GONZALEZ
REQUESTED BY...TOM MURRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614285.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL THOMAS.MURRIE@US.AF.MIL
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page