411
FNUS72 KTAE 221243
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK TRACT...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
843 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS CONTINUES AT THE BURN
SITE TODAY AND TONIGHT, WITH FULLY SUNNY AND CLEAR SKIES. AS THE
NIGHTTIME INVERSION BREAKS LATER THIS MORNING, YOU COULD SUDDENLY
GET NORTHERLY OR NORTHEASTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH, BEFORE
SETTLING DOWN SOME IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MIXING HEIGHT FORECAST
WILL BE A HARD CAP TO SMOKE RISE, DUE TO STABILITY AT THAT HEIGHT
IN THE ATMOSPHERE. WINDS WILL GO NEARLY CALM TONIGHT, WITH A
LITTLE WESTWARD DRIFT TO SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 1 3 3 3 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 62 69 72 74 77 78 79 79
RH..............72 60 51 44 41 37 35 32 32
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 5 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.4 2.4 3.3 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 9
DISPERSION......6 8 13 25 40 55 56 57 52
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 71 67 64 61 58 57 56 54 53 52 51
RH..............37 42 50 56 62 69 72 74 80 83 86 89
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE E E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 8 7 7 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION......34 19 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6
FORECASTER...HANER
REQUESTED BY...ALEX G BELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624310.0/TAE
.DELDT 10/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALEXANDER.BELL@FDACS.GOV
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