392  
FNUS72 KTAE 090630  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CANAL...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
230 AM EDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MAY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MAIN CONCERNS TODAY WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING, AND ANY ASSOCIATED SHIFTING OF WINDS AND INCREASE IN  
WIND SPEEDS. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS BETWEEN  
2 PM AND 8 PM, WITH A 70% CHANCE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL  
BECOME SOUTHWEST SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN  
5 MPH AND 10 MPH AROUND 10 AM. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
SOUTHWEST UNTIL THE ARRIVAL OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OR ASSOCIATED  
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING, WHEN  
THEY MAY RAPIDLY SWITCH DIRECTION TO THE WEST OR EVEN NORTH  
AND INCREASE IN SPEED. DISPERSION WILL BE LOW THIS MORNING AND  
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO FAIR THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13  
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 50 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 37.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 85 85 81 81 81 84 84 84 88 88 88  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 50 50 50 70 70 70  
TEMP............70 71 72 74 77 80 81 81 82 82 81 81  
RH..............97 90 93 93 85 77 74 74 69 69 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..N S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 3 3 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 9 12 13 14 15 16 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 8 10 12 13 15 15 15 14 13  
DISPERSION......4 3 9 16 25 34 40 49 52 48 41 33  
LVORI...........7 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 86 86 68 68 68 71 71 71 84 84 84  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 50 50 30 30 30 20 20 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............79 77 79 75 74 73 72 72 72 71 71 71  
RH..............79 85 77 90 90 93 93 93 93 93 93 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW S S S S N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION......24 15 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 27 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 66 DECREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 92 92 82 82 82 57 57 57 64 64 64  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............30 30 30 50 50 50 30 30 30 40 40 40  
TEMP............71 71 72 74 78 80 82 84 85 85 85 86  
RH..............90 90 90 87 82 77 72 65 61 61 61 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 10 12 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 3.0 4.0 4.9 4.7 4.4 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 13 13 13  
DISPERSION......2 2 4 7 12 18 27 42 65 66 53 51  
LVORI...........7 7 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...LF  
REQUESTED BY...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613117.1/TAE  
.DELDT 05/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GLENN.DAVIS@FDACS.GOV,KARA.FARMER2@FDACS.GOV  
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