690
FNUS72 KTAE 210701
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BU12...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
301 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DISPERSIONS WILL BE POOR TO FAIR (<40 UNITS) TODAY WITH MINRH
VALUES AROUND 45% THIS AFTERNOON. THE MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REACH
AROUND 5200 FEET, AND SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT AROUND 5-10 MPH FOR THE
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW 90S WITH A
HEAT INDEX IN THE UPPER 90S, NEAR 100 DEGREES. WINDS MAY BE
ERRATIC AND GUSTY IN AND AROUND THUNDERSTORMS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. FOR TOMORROW, OVERALL CONDITIONS WILL BE
SIMILAR. YET, RAIN CHANCES ARE A LITTLE LOWER. TRANSPORT WINDS
WILL STILL BE SOUTHERLY BUT RANGE AROUND 10-15 MPH, INCREASING THE
DISPERSION VALUES TO AROUND 75 UNITS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
SHALLOW FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AND FRIDAY MORNING.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 8
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 32 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 53 53 37 37 37 53 53 53 69 69 69
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 40 40 40
TEMP............72 71 73 76 82 86 89 90 91 91 91 90
RH..............90 93 90 85 72 61 56 52 49 49 50 52
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N S S S SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 5
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.4 4.0 4.6 5.3 4.7 4.2 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE E SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8
DISPERSION......1 2 3 7 15 22 29 35 30 23 24 25
LVORI...........7 7 6 4 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........61 61 61 48 48 48 44 44 44 50 50 50
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 89 85 81 78 77 75 74 73 73 73 73
RH..............54 54 61 69 76 76 84 84 87 87 87 87
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 8 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
DISPERSION......22 15 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 74 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69 69 69 49 49 49 35 35 35 50 50 50
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............72 73 74 77 82 86 88 91 89 89 90 90
RH..............90 87 87 85 74 63 61 56 57 57 56 54
20 FT WIND DIR..N SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 10 13 15 16 17 17 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.8 4.5 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 13 12
DISPERSION......2 2 5 12 26 41 53 66 76 74 71 60
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...MONTGOMERY
REQUESTED BY...WILL HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614138.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.HARRIS@MYFWC.COM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page