276
FNUS72 KTAE 061145
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR OR-A...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
745 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR THE SITE THIS MORNING SHOULD DISSIPATE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. DISPERSIONS TODAY WILL BE POOR TO
FAIR BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS DUE TO LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS OF
THE MARINE LAYER AND LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY DUE TO
ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP
OVER/AROUND THE BURN SITE. A SEABREEZE IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP AND
MOVE ACROSS THE SITE LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON, AFTER
WHICH THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN FURTHER INLAND BUT COULD STILL
POSE A LIGHTNING RISK AND GUSTY WIND RISK FROM OUTFLOWS.
CONDITIONS TOMORROW MAY START WITH LIGHT PATCHY FOG AROUND
DAYBREAK THAT WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE FOLLOWING SUNRISE. TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY EASTERLY AT 5-10 MPH WITH POOR AFTERNOON
DISPERSIONS. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL MAX OUT AROUND 3500FT FOR FRIDAY.
MINIMAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 27.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
SKY (%).........30 38 38 38 49 49 49 46 46 46
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
CWR.............20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............76 80 84 86 87 88 89 89 90 89
RH..............97 85 77 72 68 66 61 61 60 59
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8
DISPERSION......4 6 10 15 20 23 24 28 28 26
LVORI...........7 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........39 39 39 60 60 60 41 41 41 40 40 40
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............88 87 83 81 79 79 78 78 77 77 77 77
RH..............63 65 77 82 88 88 91 91 94 94 94 94
20 FT WIND DIR..E NE N N N N N E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 3 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
DISPERSION......19 12 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 28.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
SKY (%).........48 48 48 50 50 50 52 52 52 61 61 61
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10
TEMP............77 75 77 80 83 85 86 88 90 91 91 92
RH..............94 100 97 88 82 77 72 66 60 58 56 54
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 7
DISPERSION......4 4 8 12 18 25 28 28 28 27 27 27
LVORI...........7 8 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...MERRIFIELD
REQUESTED BY...K EBERSOL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619014.0/TAE
.DELDT 08/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KRISTIN.EBERSOL@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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