849  
FNUS72 KTAE 270640  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 340...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
240 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MAY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FIRE THIS  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING NORTH OF THE FIRE  
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES IN. THE  
HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES OVERALL WILL BE TO THE WEST OF THE SITE  
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEASTERLY TO START, THEN TURNING MORE  
SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE ADVANCES INLAND.  
 
TONIGHT, ANY LINGERING SHOWERS WILL DECREASE IN THE EVENING, BUT  
SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MAYBE A STORM IS  
POSSIBLE LATE IN THE NIGHT TOWARD SUNRISE ON THURSDAY MORNING.  
WINDS BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5AM  
SKY (%).........80  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10  
TEMP............76  
RH..............87  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8  
DISPERSION......4  
LVORI...........5  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 59  
DECREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........64 64 64 62 62 62 71 71 71 81 81 81  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............75 76 77 78 81 82 83 85 85 85 86 85  
RH..............90 87 88 88 79 77 74 67 67 67 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 13 14 14 15 15 15 14 13  
DISPERSION......4 4 12 21 31 43 49 56 61 48 44 39  
LVORI...........6 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO 30  
PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........75 75 75 73 73 73 72 72 72 72 72 72  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............85 83 81 78 77 77 76 75 75 75 74 74  
RH..............67 74 77 82 85 85 87 90 87 87 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 8 6 5 3 3 2 3 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 7 6 5 5 3 5 5 5 5  
DISPERSION......31 23 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 6 7 7 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...YOUNG  
REQUESTED BY...R. DRAPER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614403.2/TAE  
.DELDT 05/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FLFIC@FIRENET.GOV,JOEL.DELGADO@USDA.GOV  
 
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