457  
FNUS74 KSHV 101051  
FWSSHV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STATELINE RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
551 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON OCTOBER 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF  
AROUND 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY BY MID TO LATE MORNING ON FRIDAY AS A  
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY  
PASS THE SITE VERY CLOSE TO NOON. BEHIND THE FRONT, EXPECTED WINDS  
TO QUICKLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND WILL INCREASE IN SPEED TO  
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. AFTERNOON MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 45 PERCENT TODAY, BUT  
CONSIDERABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY  
NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING.  
   
TODAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 5 6 1 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 64 67 71 78 81 83 85 86 87 88 87  
RH..............97 93 90 90 76 69 63 57 51 48 47 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 6 10 10 12 13 13 12 12 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 4.3 4.3 4.3 5.0 5.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 8 8 8 8 8 8 18 18 18 13 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).10 4 4 4 4 4 4 8 8 8 6 6  
CATEGORY DAY....1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........0 2 2 0 0 4 30 40 33 71 70 84  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............84 79 76 74 74 73 73 73 73 72 72 72  
RH..............55 67 76 82 84 90 90 93 93 93 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 10 12 13 13 14 14 14 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4  
CATEGORY DAY....4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 87 46 70 94 91 85 82 82 83 83 83  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
CWR.............20 50 50 50 50 50 50 70 70 70 70 70  
TEMP............72 72 73 74 76 76 77 77 75 70 65 60  
RH..............93 93 93 97 94 90 85 82 79 84 90 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 8 10 10 10 10 12 14 17 18 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 5 5 5 6 6 6 12 12 12 21 21  
TRANS WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 9 9  
CATEGORY DAY....1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...NUTTALL  
REQUESTED BY...ERICK RIETSCHIER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1917021.0/SHV  
.DELDT 10/10/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL ERIETSCHIER@TNC.ORG  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab LA Page
The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab AR Page
The Nexlab OK Page Main Text Page