154
FXUS64 KSHV 250555
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1155 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
- NEAR-RECORD WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY IN THE WEEKEND
WITH RAINFALL POSSIBLE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON SUNDAY.
- A COLD AIRMASS TO BRING SUB-FREEZING OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES
FOR THE LAST DAYS OF 2025 INTO NEW YEAR'S EVE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 935 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO MAINTAIN WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. MOISTURE TO
CONTINUE TO ADVECT NORTH OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ARKLATEX WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING THROUGH LATE-MORNING ON CHRISTMAS DAY. HI-
RES MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT AREAS OF DENSE FOG COULD BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND DEEP EAST TEXAS
OVERNIGHT WITH MANY OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THESE AREAS AND SOUTHWARD
ALREADY REPORTING REDUCED VISIBILITIES. FOR THIS PACKAGE, WENT
AHEAD AND ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND
DEEP EAST TEXAS ADJACENT TO ADVISORIES ALREADY IN EFFECT FROM
NEIGHBORING OFFICES.
NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE PREVAILING AREAWIDE.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AGAIN SETTLING IN THE LOW TO MID
60S.
WARM AND DRY PATTERN TO REMAIN BASICALLY UNCHANGED THROUGH
SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALLOWING FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCES
AREAWIDE. WINTER TO RETURN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES
RANGING FROM HIGHS IN THE 40S AND LOWS IN THE 20S ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. /05/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1148 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
A MID-LEVEL DECK IS BEGINNING TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH WITH THESE
CLOUDS GRADUALLY LOWERING. KLFK IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE
VISIBILITY IMPACTS FROM FOG AND LOW CIGS FROM REACHING SURFACE
SATURATION. THESE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS AND DROP MOST SITES INTO
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. WIND ESTIMATIONS
CONTINUE TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF 5 KTS WHICH MAY INHIBIT FOG
DEVELOPMENT, BUT RECENT OBSERVATIONS HAVE ALREADY WANTED TO SKEW
FROM THESE ESTIMATES. IF DENSE FOG AND LOW CEILINGS DO DEVELOP, IT
MAY TAKE MUCH OF THE REST OF THE MORNING FOR MIXING TO GET THINGS
CLEARED OUT LIKE WAS THE CASE TODAY. AFTER THE REGION RETURNS TO
VFR BY THE AFTERNOON, IT SHOULD STAY THAT WAY THROUGH THE REST OF
THE PERIOD. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 935 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 82 64 81 65 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 80 59 78 62 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 81 59 78 60 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 82 64 81 64 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 79 59 78 61 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 81 64 81 64 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 81 62 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 81 62 80 62 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THURSDAY FOR LAZ017>020-022.
OK...NONE.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THURSDAY FOR TXZ152-153-
165>167.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...57
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