083  
FXUS64 KSHV 290604  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
104 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025  
 
- HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE FOUR STATE REGION  
THROUGH 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL EXTENSIONS  
LIKELY.  
 
- THOUGH HEAT INDICES WILL MOSTLY BE BETWEEN 105-109, BRIEF  
INSTANCES OF 110 DEG F OR HIGHER MAY BE POSSIBLE THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WITH  
BETTER COVERAGE BY LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A RARE COOL  
FRONT ADVANCES INTO THE REGION.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025  
 
TODAY WILL LIKELY BE OUR HOTTEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH THE STRENGTH  
AND PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE. IN FACT, HIGH TEMPERATURES  
COULD RIVAL WHAT WE SAW LAST THURSDAY WHICH WAS OUR HOTTEST DAY OF  
THE YEAR SO FAR IN WHICH WE OBSERVED WIDESPREAD UPPER 90S AND SOME  
TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS OVER MUCH OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND SW ARKANSAS.  
THE DECISION TO MAINTAIN A HEAT ADVISORY AREAWIDE VERSUS UPGRADING  
SOME OF OUR EASTERN ZONES TO AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING WAS LARGELY  
BASED ON PERSISTENCE AS WE DID MANAGE TO SUFFICIENTLY MIX OUT DEW  
POINTS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO KEEP HEAT INDICES FROM ECLIPSING 110  
DEGREES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF JUST A FEW LOCATIONS. WHETHER OR NOT  
MIXING PROVES TO BE AS EFFICIENT TODAY WILL BE KEY IN DETERMINING  
IF A LAST MINUTE UPGRADE IS WARRANTED FOR SOME AREAS BASED ON THE  
TRENDS BY MID TO LATE MORNING. SIMILARLY, MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY, WE  
AREN'T EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION EXCEPT FOR A FEW  
LATE DAY SHOWERS OR A STRAY THUNDERSTORM IN OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES.  
 
MOVING AHEAD TO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO  
TICK A BIT HIGHER ACROSS OUR EASTERN HALF AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE  
RETROGRADES FARTHER WEST ACROSS TEXAS. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS WON'T  
BE NEARLY SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO SHUT OFF THE HEAT HEADLINES AS HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL RANGE FROM THE MID AND UPPER 90S TO LOWER  
100S THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES RESIDING OVER  
OUR WESTERN HALF CLOSER TO RIDGE AXIS. THEREFORE, WE WILL LIKELY  
MAINTAIN HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION  
THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE SOME RELIEF FINALLY APPEARS TO BE ON THE  
HORIZON.  
 
BY FRIDAY, THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS  
THE DESERT SW AND THIS WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR A RARE MID-SUMMER  
COOL FRONT TO BACKDOOR ITS WAY INTO OUR REGION. THIS FRONT IS  
EXPECTED TO MAKE SLOW BUT STEADY PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE  
AREA FROM LATE FRIDAY THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASED  
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION ALONG THE ADVANCING BOUNDARY. SO EXPECT THE  
BEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE TO GENERALLY OCCUR DURING THIS TIMEFRAME  
ALONG WITH MORE COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY TO FOLLOW  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE TRENDING BACK HIGHER ONCE AGAIN EARLY  
NEXT WEEK.  
 
/19/  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 29/00Z TAF PERIOD. THE  
REMAINING CU FIELD WILL DIMINISH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET, WITH SKC  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS. A STRATOCU FIELD  
SHOULD DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP E TX AND N LA BY MID TO LATE  
MORNING, WITH A SCATTERED CU FIELD DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF THE  
AREA BY MIDDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED CONVECTION SHOULD  
DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF SCNTRL AR AND THE ERN SECTIONS OF NCNTRL  
INTO NE LA BY MID-AFTERNOON, BUT LOW CONFIDENCE PRECLUDES VCTS  
MENTION AT THE ELD/MLU TERMINALS ATTM. ANY CONVECTION THAT  
DEVELOPS WILL DIMINISH AROUND/SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY. LT/VRB  
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME WSW AROUND 5KTS BY 15Z, BECOMING VRB  
AROUND 5KTS BY MIDDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
 
/15/  
 

 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
 
 
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
SHV 100 81 100 79 / 0 10 20 20  
MLU 100 79 99 77 / 20 20 40 20  
DEQ 99 75 100 74 / 0 0 10 0  
TXK 102 78 102 77 / 0 0 10 10  
ELD 99 76 98 75 / 20 10 20 20  
TYR 99 76 100 76 / 0 0 0 10  
GGG 99 77 100 76 / 0 0 10 10  
LFK 99 76 100 76 / 0 0 20 20  
 

 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-  
070>073.  
 
LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-  
017>022.  
 
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.  
 
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-  
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...19  
AVIATION...15  
 
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