982
FXUS64 KSHV 121134
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
534 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL LIFT IN OFF THE GULF TODAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST.
- THIS WARM FRONT WILL SOON WASH OUT AS A LOBE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BACKDOORS IN TO ABOUT I-20 DURING FRIDAY NIGHT WITH NE WIND.
- THE WEEKEND WILL SEE SHOWERS EARLY ON SATURDAY AS MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO FEED INLAND OVER THE SHALLOW E/NE FLOW, BUT THESE
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORM WILL PUSH BACK SOUTH OVERNIGHT
WITH THE STRONG ARCTIC FRONT FORTIFYING THE BACKDOOR PUSH.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
A COOL START AREAWIDE, BUT NOT FAR FROM SEASONAL READINGS WITH A
RANGE OF 40S FOR MOST AND STILL SOME CHILLY UPPER 30S ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN FRINGE. PATCHY FOG WILL BE SPREADING IN WITH THE WARMER
SOUTHERLY FLOW, BUT SKIES SHOULD IMPROVE FOR THE AFTERNOON WITH A
RANGE OF 60S LIKEWISE NORMAL FAIR FOR MID DECEMBER. A WEAK WARM
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT INLAND, BUT HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
BUILDING TO OUR NORTH. THE WINDS WILL SPIN THE DIAL IN FAVOR OF
THE BACKDOOR PUSH OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
ONCE AGAIN SOME PATCHY FOG AND DEVELOPING SHOWERS WILL BE LIFTING
IN OVER THE WEAK BACK DOOR COOL FRONT WITH SOME EVENTUAL
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH THE DAY'S PEAK OF HEATING. AMOUNTS
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT WITH TRACE AMOUNT NORTH TO A QUARTER OF
PERHAPS HALF INCH POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20. THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL BE QUICKLY DISPERSING OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY, AS THE NE WINDS ARE GREATLY FORTIFIED WITH THE MUCH
ADVERTISED ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING DOWN THE MS RIVER
VALLEY.
AS IT IS NOW, A WIDE RANGE OF TEMPS WILL BE FOUND ON SATURDAY
MORNING WITH A FEW UPPER 30S NORTH TO MID 50S FAR SOUTH FOR LOWS.
OUR HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS OUR NORTH, BUT
STILL A WIDE RANGE OF 60S AND A FEW LOW 70S IN OUR DEEP SOUTH.
WINDS WILL VARY, BUT BE MOSTLY EASTERLY, AND THEN BACKING TO GUSTY
NE AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION POURS DOWN WITH ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
SPILLING TOWARD THE COAST OVERNIGHT. OURS LOWS ON SUNDAY WILL BE
LIGHTLY FREEZING ALREADY IN OUR NORTH WITH STILL MILDER LOW TO MID
40S SOUTH OF I-20. AND THIS IS WHERE HIGHS WILL MORE OR LESS STALL.
A RANGE OF MID 30S NORTH TO MOSTLY 40S AND STILL A FEW LOW 50S IN
DEEP EAST TEXAS AND TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY BY LUNCH, BUT THE NE
WINDS WILL SEE FALLING TEMPS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
WE WILL CLEAR THE CLOUDS FINALLY AND TAKE US DOWN TO A SOLID
FREEZE WITH UPPER TEENS NORTH AND LOW TO MID 20S ELSEWHERE AS THE
1045MB HIGH PRESSURE TAKES HOLD ON OUR FOUR-STATE AREA. THE
FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY INTO THE NEW WEEK WITH A CHILLY RANGE OF
40S FOR MOST OF US ON MONDAY. THE BIG CHILL WILL QUICKLY RELENT
AND WE'LL WARM CLOSE TO 10 DEGREES BY TUESDAY MORNING, BUT STILL
BELOW AVERAGE. OUR WINDS WILL BEGIN SHIFT BACK TO SE OVERNIGHT
MONDAY, AND THEN PICK UP A BIT AND PERSIST WITH A GOOD WARMING
TREND BACK TO ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID TO LATE WEEK. THEN ANOTHER
SLIGHT CHANCE TO GET WET AHEAD OF NEXT WEEKEND. /24/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 515 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
FOR THE 12/12Z TAF UPDATE...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING AN AREA OF LOWER CEILINGS AND PATCHY FOG
ARE MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS, MOST NOTABLY IMPACTING
KTYR AND KGGG WITH IFR CEILINGS. OTHERWISE, KSHV AND KLFK ARE
SEEING SOME LOWER CLOUDS AS WELL, BUT THEY HAVE NOT DROPPED BELOW
VFR AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH I THINK THIS WILL CHANGE SOME OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN FOR ALL TERMINALS
LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION, BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT. LOWER
CIGS AND SOME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
TOWARDS THE END OF THIS TAF PERIOD. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 70 50 65 41 / 0 0 20 40
MLU 69 46 62 35 / 0 0 10 40
DEQ 65 37 56 31 / 0 0 0 10
TXK 66 42 58 36 / 0 0 10 20
ELD 64 39 57 30 / 0 0 10 30
TYR 69 49 68 43 / 0 0 20 20
GGG 69 48 68 40 / 0 0 20 40
LFK 72 55 73 46 / 0 10 30 50
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...33
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page