441
FXUS64 KSHV 011852
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1252 PM CST THU JAN 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1157 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
- UPDATED HIGH TEMPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE.
- CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND LOWER OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE AND A COOL FRONT.
- NORTHERLY WINDS WILL COOL TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR THE
WEEKEND, WITH WARMER SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING BY MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1157 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
A NICE WARM AFTERNOON TO BEGIN THE NEW YEAR WITH AIR TEMPS IN THE
LOW TO MID AND UPPER 60S AT THE NOON HOUR. THIS SOUTHWEST WIND
HAS BUILT UPWARDS FROM THE SURFACE YESTERDAY, TO ABOUT 7KFT TODAY
AND THEN VEERS TO W/NW FLOW. A WEAK DISTURBANCE OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL SWING DOWN THE RED RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND MAY BRING A FEW
SHOWERS ALONG OUR I-30 CORRIDOR. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS EARLY ON FRIDAY AS THE COOL FRONT
SHIFTS THE SW WIND TO LIGHT NW BEFORE SUNSET TO I-30. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO NW ACROSS I-20 AND OUR SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
ON SATURDAY AS CLOUDS BACKDOOR IN FOR A COOLER DAY.
MODELS ARE A LITTLE GLITCHY WITH SOME LIGHT QPF RIGHT UNDER THE
PRIMARY UPPER DISTURBANCE AT DAYBREAK ON SATURDAY BEHIND THE
FRONT, COULD BE JUST DRIZZLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP TO THE 60S
BOTH DAYS THIS WEEKEND. WHILE, OUR LOWS WILL SEE MORE FLUX,
RANGING FROM MID 40S TO MID 50S ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY, THEN
FALLING TO MID 30S TO MID 40S FOR SUNDAY MORNING, UNDER ONCE
AGAIN FAIR SKIES. THE N/NE WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL BE SHIFTING BACK
TO SE FOR MONDAY AND RENEW A WARMER TREND AHEAD.
WE CAN EXPECT THE S/SW WINDS CONTINUING INTO MIDWEEK, PROVIDING
ANOTHER NICE WARM UP TO WELL ABOVE THE AVERAGE OF UPPER 50S, WITH
A NICE RANGE OF 70S IN THE WAKE OF THE 1026MB WEEKEND AIRMASS. OUR
NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE BRINGING A DEEP UPPER TROUGH OFF OF THE
PACIFIC. WHILE THE WORK AND SCHOOL WEEK WITH BE WARMING AND DRY,
OUR NEXT WEEKEND TOWARD MID MONTH, WILL HAVE A GOOD CHANCE FOR
SOME MUCH NEEDED WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH DEEPER AND WETTER
PACIFIC SW FLOW ALOFT. /24/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
FOR THE 01/18Z TAF UPDATE...VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAIL FOR
ALL TERMINALS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO FOR MOST TERMINALS
THROUGHOUT THIS TAF PERIOD. THE ONE EXCEPTION IS FOR KMLU AND KELD
WHERE I INTRODUCED SOME MVFR CEILINGS FRIDAY MORNING. LAST THING
TO MENTION IS THAT I HAVE ADDED MENTION OF SOME GUSTY WINDS
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1124 PM CST WED DEC 31 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 56 79 51 66 / 10 10 0 0
MLU 52 75 52 62 / 10 10 10 0
DEQ 47 69 45 63 / 20 10 0 0
TXK 54 75 50 64 / 20 10 0 0
ELD 50 72 46 59 / 20 10 0 0
TYR 58 77 49 67 / 10 0 0 0
GGG 55 78 47 67 / 10 0 0 0
LFK 55 79 49 69 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20
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