999
FXUS64 KSHV 250504
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1204 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND, WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD TO THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THROUGH
AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
NORTHEAST WINDS IN WAKE OF A RECENT COOL FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING IN A NOTICEABLY DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION.
EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S,
WITH HIGHS ON FRIDAY RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
ALTHOUGH NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION, THE
WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS THURSDAY AND THE RH VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE A TAD HIGHER, SO WE WILL NOT CONTINUE THE FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER, BURN BANS REMAIN ACROSS
THE OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF OUR COUNTIES AND PARISHES, SO OUTDOOR
BURNING AND ACTIVITIES THAT INVOLVE OPEN SPARKS OR FLAMES ARE
STILL DISCOURAGED. CONCURRENTLY WITH THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS,
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING HAS BUILT INTO THE REGION. THIS RIDGE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, KEEPING DRY WEATHER
IN THE FORECAST. BUT, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE AN ABUNDANCE OF HIGH
CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD. A SLIGHT WARNING
TREND WILL ALSO COMMENCE OVER THE WEEKEND, AS LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURN ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER, WE AREN'T EXPECTING
TRIPLE DIGIT READINGS OR HEAT ADVISORIES TO RETURN.
AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK, LONG-RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A
CLOSED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE
CONUS AND FINALLY EJECT OUT INTO THE PLAINS BY WED/THURS. AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH, OUR FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY. WEAK
DISTURBANCES ALONG THIS FLOW COULD INTRODUCE SOME RAIN CHANCES
INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES (MAINLY EAST TEXAS AND SE OKLAHOMA) BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON, THEN INTO REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST ZONES ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, AS THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COOL FRONT
SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THIS COULD BRING US MUCH NEEDED
RAINFALL TO HELP MITIGATE THE FIRE AND DROUGHT CONCERNS OVER THE
REGION. /20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. HIGH THIN
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE HOWEVER WITH A WEAK CU
FIELD DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF OUR AIRSPACE. LOOK FOR ENE TO NE WINDS WITH SPEEDS
NEAR OR BELOW 10KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
/20/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 65 90 68 91 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 64 89 65 92 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 59 89 62 91 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 62 88 65 91 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 60 88 63 91 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 65 90 68 91 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 63 90 66 92 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 66 90 68 90 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...13
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