255
FXUS64 KSHV 302324
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
624 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FRIDAY NIGHT AS
HEAT INDICES WILL CLIMB FROM 105 TO 109 DEGREES AREAWIDE.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH THE BACKDOOR FRONT, BECOMING
STATIONARY. THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-49
CORRIDOR.
- SEASONABLE TEMPS AND RAIN CHANCES RETURN ONCE AGAIN EARLY
SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT, WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
THIS AFTERNOON AIR TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 90S, QUALIFYING THE FOUR-STATE AREA FOR A HEAT
ADVISORY AS HEAT INDICES SURPASS 105 FEELS LIKE TEMPS. A SLOW-
MOVING BACKDOOR COLDFRONT CROSSING SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA IS CAUSING SCATTERED STORMS TO DEVELOP IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE PEAK OF HEATING. THERE IS A GENERAL RISK FOR
SEVERE ACTIVITY WHICH POSE A LIGHTNING RISK PRIMARILY ACCORDING TO
THE SPC. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION MAY BRING A GOOD BIT OF RAIN IN
SHORT ORDER WITH A MARGINAL RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING ACCORDING TO
THE WPC AND THEIR DAY ONE ERO. THESE STORMS SHOULD LARGELY
DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET, BUT MAY LINGER LATE THIS EVENING. WE COULD
SEE SOME PATCHY FOG AS THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT, BUT WILL RESUME FROM THE SW AT 5-15 MPH FOR FRIDAY FOR
ANOTHER HOT AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, WE HAVE EXTENDED OUR HEAT ADVISORY
FOR FRIDAY THROUGH 8PM ONE LAST TIME, UNTIL NEXT WEEK.
TOMORROW, THE WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WASH OUT AND BECOME HARD TO
FIND WITH LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL FOR US. WE WILL SEE LESS CLOUDS
AND MORE OF THAT SW WIND, BOOSTING BACK UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER
90S. HOWEVER, WE DO HAVE OUR SECOND COLD FRONT PROGGED TO SWEEP
THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST,
BRINGING WITH IT INCREASED CHANCES OF RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-20. THE ADDED CLOUDS AND BREEZE WILL BOTH AID IN DROPPING OUR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TO JUST BELOW AVERAGE, IN THE LOW 90'S
AREAWIDE FOR THIS WEEKEND. SO WE ARE NOT EXPECTING HEAT HEADLINES
AT ANYTIME OVER THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER, THE DRY HEAT AND UPPED
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE AREAS OVER THE PLAINS WILL EXPAND EASTWARD
WITH RISING HEIGHTS, AND ALLOW OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO HEAT BACK
UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90'S BY TUESDAY AND FOR MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.
/MOORE/24/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
A FEW STRAY THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS EVENING WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
ELD WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY 31/02Z. VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
OTHERWISE THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING 01/00Z.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO UP TO 10 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. /05/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT AN
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CAN'T BE RULED OUT, AS
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LINGER ALONG OUR BACKDOOR
COOL FRONT. /MOORE/24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 79 99 79 95 / 10 0 30 20
MLU 77 97 78 96 / 20 10 30 20
DEQ 74 99 75 92 / 0 0 20 0
TXK 77 96 79 94 / 10 0 10 10
ELD 75 96 77 94 / 20 10 30 10
TYR 78 100 78 97 / 0 0 20 20
GGG 77 99 77 97 / 0 0 30 20
LFK 75 96 76 94 / 0 0 10 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ050-051-059>061-
070>073.
LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-
017>022.
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...05
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