079
FXUS64 KSHV 121743 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1143 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1014 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
ALLOWING FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERNIGHT PATCHY FOG AREAWIDE
TONIGHT.
- RAIN CHANCES TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AHEAD OF A STRONGER
COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.
- AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS INTO THE 20S BY MONDAY
MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1011 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
LINGERING FOG TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING WITH THE ONSET OF DAYTIME HEATING. CLOUDS
WILL BE SLOWER TO LIFT BUT EXPECTING SUNSHINE TO BREAK THROUGH BY
MID-AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTH TEXAS
WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ALLOWING
FOR LIGHT WINDS AREAWIDE. COULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S TO THE
LOWER 50S.
SHOWERS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY
ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA AHEAD
OF A STRONGER COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. AN ARCTIC
AIRMASS WILL BUILD AREAWIDE ON SUNDAY ALLOWING FOR GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY PEAKING IN THE MID 30S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH ARKANSAS WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION
CLIMBING INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50. WIND CHILL VALUES ACROSS
ARKANSAS COULD BE AS LOW AS THE MID 20S BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS TO DIMINISH ON SUNDAY NIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS PLUMMETING
INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE
COLDER TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS.
ARCTIC HIGH TO SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND. HOWEVER, LIGHT FREEZE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS SOME
AREAS AGAIN ON MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S
ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA TO THE MID TO UPPER 30S
ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS.
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO MAINTAIN A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH MIDWEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S AND LOWS IN THE 50S WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE, A FEW STRAY SHOWERS MAY BE
POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. /05/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
AREAS OF LIFR CIGS AND FG HAVE FINALLY BEGUN TO LIFT/ERODE ACROSS
THE REGION THIS MORNING, WITH VFR CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO RETURN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF E TX AND N LA. STILL WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH
IFR CIGS FOR ANOTHER COUPLE MORE HOURS THOUGH AT THE SW AR
TERMINALS AHEAD OF A WEAK SFC FRONT NOW MOVING THROUGH THE MID RED
RIVER VALLEY, AS WELL AS LFK BEFORE LIFTING ENOUGH TO RETURN TO
MVFR/VFR. SOME MVFR CIGS MAY LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THOUGH ACROSS DEEP E TX AND NCNTRL LA S OF I-20, BEFORE
EVENTUALLY SPREADING BACK N TO NEAR OR N OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR
BY/AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY. SOME IFR/LIFR CIGS AND PATCHY FG MAY
ALSO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT NEAR AND S OF THE WEAK SFC FRONT AS IT
STALLS LATE ALONG OR JUST S OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR, AFFECTING ALL
BUT THE TXK/ELD TERMINALS. AWAY FROM THIS AREA INTO SW AR, MVFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD BACK NNE AFTER DAYBREAK, WITH LITTLE
IMPROVEMENT TO CIGS/VSBYS AREAWIDE THROUGH THE END OF THE 18Z TAF
PERIOD BEFORE SLOWLY LIFTING DURING THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SSW WINDS
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LT/VRB AFTER 20Z, PERSISTING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 69 50 66 41 / 0 0 20 50
MLU 68 46 62 35 / 0 0 20 60
DEQ 66 37 56 31 / 0 0 0 10
TXK 65 41 58 36 / 0 0 10 30
ELD 65 38 57 30 / 0 0 10 40
TYR 68 50 68 43 / 0 0 20 50
GGG 69 49 68 40 / 0 10 20 50
LFK 72 55 73 46 / 0 10 30 70
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15
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