059
FXUS64 KSHV 261806
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
106 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
- WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY,
APPROACHING RECORD HIGHS IN SOME LOCATIONS.
- A COOL FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER AND MORE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK, ALTHOUGH SOME SLIGHT AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES COULD
RETURN IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES. WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES COULD
RETURN BY THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH A COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
LOW CLOUDS HAVE STARTED TO DEVELOP JUST TO THE SOUTH OF OUR
FORECAST ZONES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO
CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND PUSH NORTHWARD ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION BY
DAYBREAK. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION, WITH
THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS LOCATIONS IN DEEP EAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT
CENTRAL LOUISIANA. ALONG AND SOUTH OF US HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. THE
LOW CLOUDS AND POTENTIAL FOG SHOULD LIFT BY MID TO LATE MORNING,
WITH WIDESPREAD CU EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE LUNCH HOURS AND
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM
THE SSW TODAY, AS LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS DEVELOPS ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO/WESTERN KANSAS ALONG AN APPROACHING COOL FRONT.
SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULDN'T CHALLENGE THE 20 MPH WIND ADVISORY
THRESHOLD, BUT GUSTS COULD REACH 15-20 MPH AT TIMES. THE HIGHER
DRY SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHOULD YIELD WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND
POSSIBLY SOME ELEVATED WILDFIRE CONCERNS, AS HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 80S AREAWIDE. AN ISOLATED 90 DEGREE READING CAN'T BE
RULED OUT. THESE TEMPS COULD APPROACH RECORD WARMTH IN SOME
LOCATIONS. BY FRIDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED COOL FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE REGION. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED, THERE
COULD BE JUST ENOUGH TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME SHOWERS ALONG AND JUST
BEHIND THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT NORTHERLY
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT TO BRING A NOTICEABLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES
ON SATURDAY, ALONG WITH DRY AND LESS HUMID WEATHER. MORNING LOWS
WILL GENERALLY START OFF IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S, WITH HIGHS
STRUGGLING TO GET TO 70 DEGREES. THE DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON
SUNDAY, BUT A RETURN IN SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING A WARMING
TREND BACK TO THE REGION, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RETURNING BACK INTO
THE LOW TO MID 80S.
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK, ALTHOUGH LONG-TERM MODELS ARE TRYING TO BRING SOME SEABREEZE
TYPE CONVECTION NORTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF OUR DEEP EAST TEXAS AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA ZONES EACH AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE
80S DURING THIS PERIOD. BY THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK, ANOTHER
COLD FRONT IS FORECASTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. LONG-TERM PROGS
SUGGEST THERE COULD BE MORE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH
THIS FRONT, WHICH WOULD YIELD WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OVER THE AREA.
THIS SCENARIO IS MUCH NEEDED, AS THE PROLONG DRY CONDITIONS HAVE
RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD DROUGHT AND ELEVATED WILDFIRE CONCERNS.
/20/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
FOR THE 26/18Z TAF PERIOD, CU/STRATOCU CIGS CONTINUE TO AFFECT
MOST TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON, LIFTING FROM MVFR TO LOW VFR AS
THIS PERIOD BEGINS. EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT
A BIT MORE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING
AREAWIDE. MOSTLY SKC SHOULD PREVAIL THIS EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE LOW STRATUS MAKES A RETURN, ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20. FURTHER NORTHWARD EXPANSION IS POSSIBLE
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BY MID TO LATE FRIDAY MORNING
SO HAVE GENERALLY INCLUDED MVFR CIGS FOR MOST SITES LATE IN THE
TAF PERIOD AND CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED IFR CIGS AT A FEW SITES.
OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR S/SW WINDS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD JUST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL ARRIVE LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY.
/19/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 61 84 53 69 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 60 85 51 69 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 57 75 44 66 / 0 30 0 0
TXK 62 79 49 68 / 0 20 0 0
ELD 58 80 46 66 / 0 20 0 0
TYR 62 82 54 69 / 0 10 10 0
GGG 60 83 52 69 / 0 10 0 0
LFK 61 85 54 72 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...19
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