288
FXUS64 KSHV 282237
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
537 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
- IMPACTFUL HEAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
THROUGH TUESDAY.
- DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY AFTER A BRIEF
INCREASE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE.
- HAZARDOUS HEAT COULD RETURN ONCE AGAIN BY INDEPENDENCE DAY
WEEKEND WITH SOME TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS IN THE UPPER 90S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT HAS MODIFIED WITH RIDGING STRENGTHENING
JUST EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS, IN COMBINATION
WITH ONSHORE SURFACE FLOW, WILL ALLOW FOR MAXIMIZED WARM AIR
ADVECTION/MAINTENANCE THROUGH TUESDAY FOR TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS IN
THE MID-TO-UPPER 90S. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT FURTHER EAST
TO MAXIMIZE IN STRENGTH OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. OUTLOOKS FROM
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HIGHLIGHT A DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF
THE CAROLINA COASTS THAT IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY SLIP WEST ALONG
THE GULF COAST AND AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE BY
THURSDAY. DIURNALLY-DRIVEN CONVECTIVE MODES WILL BECOME MORE
LIKELY AS A RESULT. A PROLONGED IMPORT OF GULF MOISTURE WILL KEEP
IMPACTFUL HEAT IN PLACE BY INDEPENDENCE DAY, WITH A 50 TO 75
PERCENT CHANCE OF TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 95 DEGREES. LONG-RANGE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ANOTHER ROUND OF HOT SUMMER WEATHER WITH MORE
RIDGING BUILDING IN ALOFT BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND.
WITH DEW POINTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW-TO-MID 70S THROUGH
THIS TIME, HAZARDOUS HEAT WILL BE IMPACTFUL FOR ALL GROUPS OF
PEOPLE AND NOT JUST HEAT-SENSITIVE GROUPS. ADEQUATE PRECAUTIONS
AND AWARENESS ARE ENCOURAGED NOW AGAINST THE ELEVATED POTENTIAL
FOR HEAT ILLNESSES. THIS INCLUDES (AND IS NOT LIMITED TO) ALTERING
OUTDOOR PLANS, TAKING FREQUENT BREAKS IF YOU MUST BE OUTSIDE,
CHECKING THE BACKSEAT OF YOUR VEHICLE, AND KNOWING THE SIGNS AND
SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION IN ADDITION TO HEAT STROKE. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
CU FIELD WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DETIORATE TO BEGIN THE 00Z TAF
CYCLE WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. OVERNIGHT, SHOULD SEE
RETURNING MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS MOST TERMINALS AFTER MIDNIGHT
TOWARDS THE PREDAWN HOURS ON MONDAY. MAY TAKE A LITTLE LONGER AT
THE MLU AND/OR THE ELD TERMINALS BUT EVENTUALLY, LOOK FOR THESE
CEILINGS LIFTING AND/OR SCATTERING OUT BY LATE MORNING WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING TO ALL TERMINALS. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE
FROM THE SE TO SSW NEAR OR BELOW 10KTS. BEYOND 15Z ON MONDAY, LOOK
FOR S TO SSW WINDS NEAR 8-12KTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE
ACROSS OUR NE TX TERMINALS AS WELL AS THE TXK AND SHV TERMINALS.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1206 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 96 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 77 95 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 76 94 75 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 77 96 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 76 95 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 78 97 76 96 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 77 96 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 77 97 75 95 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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