319
FXUS64 KSHV 252322
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
622 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
- A DRIER AND HOTTER WEATHER PATTERN BEGINS ITS RETURN TO THE
FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HAZARDOUS HEAT RETURNS LATER THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
RIDGING IS SET TO BUILD IN FURTHER ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, FINALLY
DISPLACING THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO OUR NORTH. THIS PATTERN SHIFT
WILL FAVOR A LINGERING STATIONARY FRONT LIFTING AWAY AS A WARM
FRONT AND MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMING BRIEFLY QUASI-ZONAL. THE
TRADEOFF IS FOR A WARMING TREND OVER THE SAME TIME PERIOD AS THIS
NEW SYNOPTIC SETUP MAXIMIZES WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH TEMPERATURE
MAXIMUMS IN THE LOW-TO-MID 90S ON SATURDAY, THEN MID-TO-UPPER 90S
ON MONDAY. THE CENTER OF THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY FORM AND SHIFT
OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK, ALLOWING ONSHORE FLOW
TO RETURN AND REBUILD GULF MOISTURE. DIURNALLY-DRIVEN CONVECTIVE
MODES ARE MOST LIKELY BY LATER NEXT WEEK WHEN RAIN CHANCES RETURN,
ACCORDING TO LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE.
LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE ALSO STILL GIVES A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF
TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 95 DEGREES BY NEXT TUESDAY. WITH DEW
POINTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW-TO-MID 70S BY THIS TIME,
HAZARDOUS HEAT WILL BE IMPACTFUL FOR ALL GROUPS OF PEOPLE AND NOT
JUST HEAT-SENSITIVE GROUPS, LIKELY PROMPTING HEAT ADVISORIES BY
THAT TIME. ADEQUATE PRECAUTIONS AND AWARENESS ARE ENCOURAGED NOW
AGAINST THE ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR HEAT ILLNESSES. THIS INCLUDES
(AND IS NOT LIMITED TO) ALTERING OUTDOOR PLANS, TAKING FREQUENT
BREAKS IF YOU MUST BE OUTSIDE, CHECKING THE BACKSEAT OF YOUR
VEHICLE, AND KNOWING THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND
HEAT STROKE. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
FOR THE 26/00Z TAFS, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL, WITH ONLY SCT
HIGH CLOUD DECKS INCREASING ACROSS EAST TEXAS AIRSPACE AT THIS
TIME. KSHV AND OUR TEXAS TERMINALS MAY SEE DROPS TO MVFR CIGS NEAR
DAYBREAK, BUT OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
UNINTERRUPTED THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL MAINTAIN SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS OVERNIGHT,
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KTS TOMORROW WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 25 KTS
POSSIBLE.
/26/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. /05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 73 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 73 90 76 91 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 75 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 73 91 77 93 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 76 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 75 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 74 94 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...26
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