532
FXUS64 KSHV 300000
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
700 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 143 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- AN UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN SHIFT WILL BRING A RETURN OF MORE
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE AREA THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 143 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
WE WILL SEE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 80S EACH DAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON THURSDAY,
(STILL ABOVE NORMAL BUT LESS ABOVE NORMAL), THANKS TO THE CHANCE
FOR RAIN THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TEMPERATURES RETURN BACK TO THE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL CATEGORY FOR FRIDAY WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. LOWS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK
WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR, RANGING IN THE 60S EACH NIGHT.
THE MORE IMPORTANT THING TO NOTE FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS THE
INCREASE IN CONFIDENCE THAT WE WILL START TO GET SOME RAINFALL
AGAIN THIS WEEK. THE FIRST OF THESE CHANCES WILL COME AS EARLY AS
MONDAY AFTERNOON, AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON, ACROSS OUR FAR
SOUTHEAST ZONES, WHERE THERE COULD BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SPAWN
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOVING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY, THE CHANCES WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST, A TROUGH
BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. WHILE YES, IT WILL BE NICE
TO GET SOME PRECIPITATION BACK INTO THE AREA, I DON'T THINK THAT
MANY OF THESE CHANCES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL ACCOUNT FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION. I THINK THIS WILL COME WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY SETS UP ACROSS
FAR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
WE WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS SYSTEM FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
POSSIBLE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP, ALTHOUGH THERE DOES
REMAIN SOME UNCERTAINTY HERE. OUR NEXT REALLY GOOD CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL COME ON SATURDAY AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. AGAIN THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY HERE, MAINLY IN TERMS OF MODEL DISAGREEMENT. IN
ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THAT WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
THIS WEEK, WE WILL ALSO BE LOOKING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL, AS THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER HAS ALREADY HIGHLIGHTED
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH A MARGINAL RISK ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. /33/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, MOSTLY SKC WITH A FEW STRATOCU AT 6KFT
OVER KLFK. WE WILL SEE DECKS OF MVFR STRATUS EARLY OVER MOST OF
OUR SITES 08-16Z WITH SOME VARIATION ON SCATTERING. KSHV IS IN A
LITTLE DRIER SLOT AND MAY SEE ONLY A BRIEF DECK AFTER DAYBREAK.
THE LATE MORNING/ALL AFTN WILL SEE VFR CIGS SCT AND S/SE WIND
5-10KT EARLY, INCREASING TO 10-15KT WITH A SOME GUSTS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. RINSE & REPEAT THIS WEEK WITH A CHANCE AT CONVECTION
IMPACTS LATE WEEK, NAMELY THURS & P.M.SAT/A.M.SUN WITH A FROPA.
/24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 143 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 60 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 10
MLU 63 85 63 87 / 0 10 0 20
DEQ 54 83 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 60 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 58 84 59 86 / 0 0 0 10
TYR 60 85 63 86 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 58 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 58 84 63 86 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...24
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