573
FXUS64 KSHV 171144
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
644 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
- DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
- AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES ON
SATURDAY.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL ARRIVE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY, WITH NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY CLIMB INTO THE 80S, WITH LOWER
80S EXPECTED ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES, AND MID TO UPPER 80S
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. MOVING INTO SATURDAY, THINGS GET A LITTLE MORE
INTERESTING. A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION VERY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THERE IS SOME GUIDANCE THAT SHOWS
ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO OUR FAR NORTHWEST ZONES AS
EARLY AS 18/06Z. I THINK THIS WILL PROBABLY BE THE EARLIEST ONSET
TIME, AS MORE OF THE SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING THE
PRECIPITATION STARTING AROUND 18/09Z. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY, BRINGING WHAT COULD BE SOME
WIDESPREAD RAIN TO ALL OF THE AREA. THERE ALSO REMAINS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EARLY SATURDAY AS THINGS
BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE AREA. RIGHT NOW
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SATURDAY ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY.
BEHIND THE PASSING COLD FRONT WILL BE THE ARRIVAL OF SOME
SEASONABLE TO LIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES STARTING AS EARLY
AS SATURDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE 70S THROUGHOUT THIS TIMEFRAME AND LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S
AND 50S. BY WEDNESDAY WE RETURN BACK INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE
REGION AND THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE
SOME LOW END CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURNING TO PORTIONS OF
THE AREA ON TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK, BUT NOTHING
SIGNIFICANT AS OF YET. LOOKING AHEAD AT SOME OF THE LONG TERM
MODELS, ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND AS WELL. /33/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 641 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, FAIR SKIES EAST WITH SOME MVFR CIGS
ARRIVING FOR SEVERAL SITES WEST 12-16Z. WE SHOULD GET BACK TO VFR
BY 16-18Z AS S WINDS PICK UP TO 10-15KT AND GUST THROUGH THE AFTN
20-25KT. A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING FOR EARLY ON SATURDAY.
CONVECTION WILL SPREAD TOWARD KTYR/KTXK WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
THEN ALL ADDITIONAL TERMINALS EARLY ON SATURDAY AS OUR WINDS SHIFT
FROM SW TO NW 15-21Z ACROSS OUR AREA FROM W TO E. SKIES BECOME
FAIR LATE SATURDAY AND MORE LIKELY OVERNIGHT. /24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 88 67 72 49 / 0 10 80 60
MLU 90 66 77 50 / 0 10 70 80
DEQ 84 55 62 39 / 10 60 70 10
TXK 88 63 68 45 / 0 30 80 30
ELD 88 64 71 43 / 0 10 90 60
TYR 86 63 67 46 / 0 20 70 40
GGG 87 64 69 47 / 0 10 80 50
LFK 87 66 76 50 / 0 0 70 80
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...24
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