199
FXUS64 KSHV 091158
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
658 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
- LOW RAIN CHANCES COULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE DRYING
OUT.
- WARM TEMPERATURES WILL GET EVEN WARMER, REACHING THE UPPER 90S
AND LOW TRIPLE DIGITS BY MIDWEEK.
- DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN
WITH THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT, DRY WEATHER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SOME AREAS SAW RAIN THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THOSE THAT DIDN'T ARE
UNLIKELY TO SEE MUCH MORE OVER THE NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL
BE MUCH LOWER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITHOUT A FORCING MECHANISM TO
ORGANIZE THINGS. AFTER TUESDAY AFTERNOON, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
NEAR ZERO ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TX FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
AT THE SAME TIME, TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO STAY IN THE MID 90S
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEKEND BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER
90S FOR THE WORK WEEK. EVEN WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES, CURRENT
FORECAST HEAT INDICES SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THE AMOUNT OF BROAD SUBSIDENCE FROM TWO REGIONS OF
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER AND MAKE
TEMPERATURES FEEL THAT MUCH HOTTER. EVEN WITHOUT A HEAT PRODUCT,
ANYBODY SPENDING TIME OUTSIDE SHOULD TAKE MEASURES TO STAY
HYDRATED AND AVOID HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS.
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT, THE AMBIENT CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN
DROUGHT AND MAKE FIRE STARTS/SPREADING MORE LIKELY. FUELS WILL
QUICKLY DRY OUT AFTER TODAY'S SHOWERS AND ANY IGNITION WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO START GRASS FIRES. MANY COUNTIES AND PARISHES
HAVE ALREADY ISSUED PUBLIC BURN BANS WITH MORE EXPECTED TO BE
ISSUED AS CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE. FOLLOW THE GUIDANCE
OF LOCAL OFFICIALS ON BURN BANS AND REPORT ANY ACTIVE FIRES TO
EMERGENCY SERVICES.
57
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 655 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
FOR THE 09/12Z TAF PERIOD...SOME PATCHY FOG WILL REMAIN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH MID-MORNING, MAINLY ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-30. THIS INCLUDES KTXK. OTHERWISE,
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL WITH SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
OVER THE REGION. BY THIS AFTERNOON, MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE AIRSPACE. SINCE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED, DECIDED
TO GO WITH VCTS IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME AND WILL AMEND IF NEEDED.
BRIEF GUSTY WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY THIS CONVECTION ALONG WITH
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 95 77 95 77 / 20 20 0 0
MLU 95 75 96 75 / 20 20 10 10
DEQ 96 72 95 73 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 95 75 96 76 / 20 0 0 0
ELD 94 73 95 74 / 20 20 0 0
TYR 96 75 96 77 / 20 0 0 0
GGG 96 74 97 75 / 20 10 0 0
LFK 94 74 94 74 / 20 10 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20
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