418
FXUS64 KSHV 030607
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
107 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL REMAIN THROUGH MOST OF THE UPCOMING
WORK WEEK, AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION.
HOWEVER, HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN.
- SLIGHT AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE REGION BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION OUT OF NORTHWEST FLOW TODAY AS
AS UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE SW CONUS BUILDS INTO THE REGION. LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN, RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES THIS UPCOMING AFTERNOON, WITH HIGHS RETURNING INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S. HOWEVER, DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S, SO WE SHOULD REMAIN BELOW THE HEAT
ADVISORY THRESHOLD.
UPPER RIDGING WILL HOLD FIRM OVER THE REGION THROUGH MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK, KEEPING MOSTLY DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS IN
PLACE. THERE IS SOME HINT OF A FEW ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS ON
TUESDAY, AS INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE REGION,
SO DECIDED TO ADD LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS PORTIONS OF OUR EAST
TEXAS AND LOUISIANA FORECAST ZONES. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND A RETURN OF DEW POINTS INTO THE
LOWER 70S THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING FROM
THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES, WE CAN'T RULE OUT THE RETURN OF
HEAT HEADLINES, AS HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY APPROACH ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THESE DRY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE SOME WILDFIRE CONCERNS,
WITH A FEW COUNTIES AND PARISHES ALREADY ISSUING BURN BANS. AS WE
MOVE TOWARDS THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, LONG-
TERM PROGS SUGGEST THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT BACK WEST OF THE AREA.
DURING THIS PERIOD, WE COULD SEE ENOUGH WEAKNESS IN THE ATMOSPHERE
TO ALLOW FOR SOME MUCH NEEDED ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE SAME TIME, WE COULD
ALSO SEE SOME SEABREEZE ACTIVITY RAMP UP AND PUSH INLAND FROM THE
NORTHERN GULF, ENHANCING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION. /20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
BEAUTIFUL AVIATION WEATHER THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AND BEYOND WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WEAK CU/AC FIELD IS ALL THAT IS LEFT ACROSS
OUR AIRSPACE ATTM WITH SOME 6-8KFT CLOUD COVER NOTED ACROSS NE TX
AND N LA. THIS MAY HANG AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST SUNRISE WITH A
DEVELOPING CU FIELD LIKELY WITH THE AID OF DAYTIME HEATING ACROSS
OUR AIRSPACE, MORE PREVALENT ACROSS N LA INTO SW AR. DON'T THINK
MOISTURE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ANY CEILINGS BUT IF
SO, CLOUD HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE 3KFT. LOOK FOR MOSTLY
VARIABLE WINDS NEAR 5KTS OR SO ACROSS OUR NE TX TERMINALS BEYOND
SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING WITH E TO SE WINDS UNDER 8KTS OR SO ACROSS
OUR N LA AND S AR TERMINALS.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK. /20/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 75 97 77 98 / 0 20 0 10
MLU 72 97 74 97 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 70 97 72 98 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 73 97 75 98 / 0 10 0 10
ELD 71 96 72 96 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 75 99 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 74 99 76 97 / 0 10 0 10
LFK 73 97 75 96 / 0 0 0 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...13
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