424
FXUS64 KSHV 130556
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1156 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
- STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH A SERIES OF MAINLY DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES USHERING IN A RELATIVELY COLD PATTERN THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES, MAINLY ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
CLOUDS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ON TUESDAY AS UPPER-FLOW BECOMES
SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW FROM NORTHERN MEXICO. UPPER
LOW TO OPEN INTO AN ELONGATED TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO
NORTH LOUISIANA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY GENERATE A FEW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S AS WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS TO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY. OVERNIGHT LOWS ON TUESDAY NIGHT TO AVERAGE IN THE LOW
TO MID 40S.
UPPER-FLOW TO BECOME NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON
WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR STABLE CONDITIONS AND IMPROVING SKIES. HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TO BRING A REINFORCEMENT OF
COLD AIR WITH LOWS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 20S NORTH OF I-30
TO NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE.
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
AS ANOTHER DRY FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY NIGHT
FOLLOWED BY A REINFORCEMENT OF COLD AIR FOR THE WEEKEND. COULD SEE
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION BY MONDAY
MORNING WITH PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON THE COOLER END OF
THE TEMPERATURE SPECTRUM WITH FORECAST LOWS NEAR 20 DEGREES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
FOR THE ARKLATEX TERMINALS, AIR MASS TO OUR E WITH E/SE5KT UNDER
SCTVBKN CIRRUS THROUGH DAYBREAK. SOME MIDDECK WILL EDGE ACROSS E
TX EARLY ON TUES WITH THE WEAKENING UPPER LOW APPROACHING. VCSH
POSS. BY 21Z AT KLFK SPREADING INTO KSHV AIRSPACE BY 14/00Z AND
ENDING BY 09Z FOR KMLU AHEAD OF OUR NEXT FROPA. UNTIL THEN, S/SW
WINDS ON TUES WITH SPEEDS AT 10G18KT BY EARLY AFTN AND SW5-10KT
OVERNIGHT UNTIL WIND SHIFTS TO NW15KT 14/12-16Z WITH SKC FOR MOST
PERHAPS BRIEF MVFR/VFR E OF I-49 UNTIL LATE DAY AS WINDS SLACK.
/24/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CURRENT WORK WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 37 66 47 63 / 0 0 10 0
MLU 32 63 45 59 / 0 0 10 10
DEQ 28 66 40 57 / 0 0 10 0
TXK 36 66 45 60 / 0 0 10 0
ELD 31 63 42 57 / 0 0 10 10
TYR 38 64 44 62 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 35 65 43 62 / 0 0 10 0
LFK 36 61 43 64 / 0 10 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24
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