706
FXUS64 KSHV 262351 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
651 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
- A DRIER AND HOTTER WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FOUR
STATE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HAZARDOUS HEAT RETURNS LATER THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH SOME TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS NEAR THE 100-DEGREE MARK.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
RIDGING IS SET TO BUILD FURTHER ACROSS AND THEN EAST OF THE FOUR
STATE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
THIS PATTERN SHIFT WILL CONTINUE TO SHOVE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES AWAY
TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONTS. MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BRIEFLY REMAIN
QUASI-ZONAL UNTIL RIDGING STRENGTHENS IN EARNEST BY SUNDAY TO
BEGIN A WARMING TREND OVER THE SAME TIME PERIOD AS THIS NE
MAXIMIZES WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS IN THE LOW-
TO-MID 90S ON SATURDAY, THEN MID-TO-UPPER 90S ON MONDAY. THE
CENTER OF THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY FORM AND SHIFT OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK, ALLOWING ONSHORE FLOW TO RETURN AND
REBUILD GULF MOISTURE. BY THURSDAY, DIURNALLY-DRIVEN CONVECTIVE
MODES BECOME MORE LIKELY BY LATER NEXT WEEK AS SOME TROUGHING
SLIPS WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST AND AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE RIDGE, ACCORDING TO LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE.
LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE ALSO STILL GIVES A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF
TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 95 DEGREES BY NEXT TUESDAY (ESPECIALLY WEST
OF I-49). WITH DEW POINTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW-TO- MID
70S BY THIS TIME, HAZARDOUS HEAT WILL BE IMPACTFUL FOR ALL GROUPS
OF PEOPLE AND NOT JUST HEAT-SENSITIVE GROUPS, LIKELY PROMPTING
HEAT ADVISORIES BY THAT TIME. ADEQUATE PRECAUTIONS AND AWARENESS
ARE ENCOURAGED NOW AGAINST THE ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR HEAT
ILLNESSES. THIS INCLUDES (AND IS NOT LIMITED TO) ALTERING OUTDOOR
PLANS, TAKING FREQUENT BREAKS IF YOU MUST BE OUTSIDE, CHECKING THE
BACKSEAT OF YOUR VEHICLE, AND KNOWING THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF
HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN PATCHY MVFR STRATUS
ACROSS THE WHOLE OF THE FOUR STATE REGION EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
THROUGH LATE MORNING, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN CONSISTENT (NON-
TEMPO) IMPACT IS HIGHER AT SHV, LFK, AND MLU. EXPECT THESE LOW
CLOUDS TO BE BREAKING UP WITH BASES LIFTING TO 3 TO 5 KFT FROM 10
AM TO NOON TOMORROW. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL KEEP
PRECIPITATION AT BAY, ALTHOUGH A SPRINKLE OR TWO FROM MORNING
STRATUS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. EXPECT S TO SSW WINDS TONIGHT TO
CEASE GUSTING SHORTLY AND RANGE FROM 5 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT, BUT
THEN PICKING UP TO A RANGE OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY
MID TO LATE MORNING TOMORROW. OTHERWISE, EXPECT SOME MID LEVEL
(~15 KFT) AND HIGH LEVEL (~25 KFT) CEILINGS AT TIMES THROUGH
TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. /50/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. /05/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 94 77 94 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 78 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 76 92 76 93 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 77 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 77 94 76 94 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 76 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 76 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 76 95 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...50
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