328
FXUS64 KSHV 101634
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1134 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK,
WITH SOME OF THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE.
- UPCOMING DRY SPELL AND CONTINUED HOT TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE
DROUGHT AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THE TWO SEPARATE REGIONS OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ON EITHER SIDE OF
THE ARK-LA-TX REMAIN IN PLACE AT THE TIME OF WRITING. THE
SEPARATION OF THESE TWO RIDGES HAS ALLOWED SOME UPPER-LEVEL MOTION
TO REMAIN AND KEEP SCATTERED RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE LAST
FEW DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL HOLD FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO, ALLOWING
SOME LIGHT RAIN IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE
BOTH HIGHS MIGRATE TOWARDS EACH OTHER AND MERGE. THE RESULTING
BROAD RIDGE WILL LIMIT ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES SIGNIFICANTLY,
MAKING THE PUBLIC FORECAST DRY FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. EVEN WHEN THE
RIDGE SHRINKS AND MOVES TOWARD THE GULF IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK, THE SOUTHWEST FLOW THAT WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION WILL BE
ADVECTING WARM, DRY AIR RATHER THAN MOISTURE.
WHAT THE RIDGE WON'T GIVE IN RAIN WILL CERTAINLY GIVE IN HEAT.
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO HOVER AROUND
THE MID 90S, RESULTING IN HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW
100S. CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN CLIMBING TOWARD THE TRIPLE
DIGITS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. HEAT INDICES WILL
QUICKLY RISE AS WELL, MAKING A HEAT ADVISORY LIKELY BY THE END OF
THIS WEEK. BOTH THE LACK OF RAIN AND THE HEAT WILL MAKE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS A PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
57
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
CU FIELD CONTINUES TO GROW AND EXPAND FROM OUR SOUTHERN AIRSPACE
NORTHWARD TO BEGIN THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHERN ZONES,
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. IF WE SEE THIS, THE LFK
TERMINAL WOULD BE THE ONLY IMPACTED TERMINAL BUT GIVEN THE
ISOLATED COVERAGE, CHOSE TO LEAVE OUT VCTS FROM THE LFK TERMINAL
AND WILL HANDLE ANY VCTS WITH AN AMD IF NECESSARY. OTHERWISE, CU
FIELD WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH SKIES BECOMING
MOSTLY FAIR OVERNIGHT. DID NOT SEE MUCH CHANCE FOR ANY IFR/MVFR
CEILINGS RETURNING OVERNIGHT ACROSS OUR NE TX TERMINALS NEAR AND
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TUE MORNING SO LEFT THIS OUT OF THE PACKAGE
AS WELL. OTHERWISE, GROWING CU FIELD BY MID TO LATE MORNING ON
TUE, EXPANDING NORTHWARD AS WHAT WE ARE SEEING TODAY. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 96 77 96 78 / 10 0 0 0
MLU 96 76 96 77 / 0 10 0 0
DEQ 97 73 96 74 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 97 76 96 78 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 96 75 95 76 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 96 76 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 96 75 97 76 / 10 10 0 0
LFK 92 74 96 75 / 20 20 10 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...13
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