465
FXUS64 KSHV 131049
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
449 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
- STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH A SERIES OF MAINLY DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES USHERING IN A RELATIVELY COLD PATTERN THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES, MAINLY ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
CLOUDS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ON TUESDAY AS UPPER-FLOW BECOMES
SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW FROM NORTHERN MEXICO. UPPER
LOW TO OPEN INTO AN ELONGATED TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO
NORTH LOUISIANA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY GENERATE A FEW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S AS WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS TO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY. OVERNIGHT LOWS ON TUESDAY NIGHT TO AVERAGE IN THE LOW
TO MID 40S.
UPPER-FLOW TO BECOME NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON
WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR STABLE CONDITIONS AND IMPROVING SKIES. HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TO BRING A REINFORCEMENT OF
COLD AIR WITH LOWS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 20S NORTH OF I-30
TO NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE.
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
AS ANOTHER DRY FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY NIGHT
FOLLOWED BY A REINFORCEMENT OF COLD AIR FOR THE WEEKEND. COULD SEE
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION BY MONDAY
MORNING WITH PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON THE COOLER END OF
THE TEMPERATURE SPECTRUM WITH FORECAST LOWS NEAR 20 DEGREES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THIS 24HR TAF PERIOD.
WE CONTINUE TO SEE CIRRUS OVERSPREADING OUR AIRSPACE EARLY THIS
MORNING BUT HIGH AC CEILINGS WILL BE ENCROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST IN ADVANCE OF A DISTURBANCE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR AIRSPACE THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL
ATTEMPT TO SATURATE THE ATMOSPHERE FROM THE TOP DOWN WITH THE
LOWEST CEILINGS LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IN THE VICINTY OF
THE LFK TERMINAL NEAR 5KFT. DID INTRODUCE VCSH BEGINNING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS
IN THE EVENT THAT SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION DOES MAKE IT TO THE
GROUND BEFORE EVAPORATING. THE SAME COULD BE SAID FOR THE SOUTHERN
THIRD OF OUR AIRSPACE BUT FOR NOW, LEFT ANY VCSH MENTION OUT OF
THE I-20 TERMINAL LOCATIONS IN E TX AND N LA. LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST
WINDS TODAY WITH SPEEDS NEAR 10 MPH WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR
18 MPH. WINDS WILL STAY NEAR 10 MPH OVERNIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE JUST BEYOND THIS
24HR TAF WINDOW.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CURRENT WORK WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 66 47 63 34 / 0 10 0 0
MLU 63 45 59 31 / 0 10 10 0
DEQ 66 40 57 24 / 0 10 0 0
TXK 66 45 60 29 / 0 10 0 0
ELD 63 42 57 27 / 0 10 10 0
TYR 64 44 62 32 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 65 43 62 31 / 0 10 0 0
LFK 61 43 64 35 / 10 10 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...13
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