348
FXUS64 KSHV 072354
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
654 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND A
TORNADO OR TWO AND RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING, COMING TO AN END
BY LATE THIS EVENING.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK
AHEAD ACCOMPANIED BY RETURNING HEAT. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH
OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES. SENSITIVE GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE
PRECAUTIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEK, CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING, COMING TO AN END BY LATE THIS EVENING. SOME
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE, AS WELL AS HEAVY
RAINS LEADING TO FLOODING. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR
THIS CONVECTION WILL LIFT NORTH AND EAST, TAKING SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL CHANCES WITH IT AND LEAVING THE ARKLATEX AN OPPORTUNITY TO
DRY OUT GOING INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK. MILD AND MUGGY LOWS IN THE 70S
ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT, WITH SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY CLOUDY
OVERNIGHT.
A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR LOUISIANA
PARISHES TOMORROW, WITH OTHERWISE CLEARING SKIES AND INCREASING
SUNSHINE. WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH, RIDGING WILL
BUILD IN ITS PLACE, SUPPRESSING WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
AND FAVORING INCREASING TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL TREND INTO THE LOWER
90S TOMORROW AND TUESDAY, REMAINING THERE THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. COMBINED WITH DEW POINTS REMAINING HIGH
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS, THIS MAY RESULT IN HEAT INDICES
APPROACHING AND EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON, POSING A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SENSITIVE GROUPS.
A FEW ISOLATED SEA BREEZE DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERNMOST COUNTIES AND PARISHES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOONS, BUT RAINFALL WILL OTHERWISE NOT MAKE A RETURN UNTIL AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO OUR NORTH SWEEPS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH
ACROSS THE PLAINS, KICKING UP STORMS WHICH LOOK TO IMPACT OUR
NORTHERN ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, WITH THIS
WARM AND UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
/26/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 649 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL LINGER THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING
BEFORE CONDITIONS QUIET DOWN OVERNIGHT. VFR CEILINGS THIS EVENING
WILL DROP TO MVFR (ISOLATED AREAS OF IFR ARE PROBABLE) OVERNIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. CEILINGS WILL THEN LIFT BACK TO
VFR BY THE AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY SCATTER OUT AROUND 5KFT-6KFT.
ISOLATED CONVECTION EXPECTED ON MONDAY, BUT COVERAGE IS TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE MENTION IN THE TAFS FOR THIS ISSUANCE. GUSTY S WINDS THIS
EVENING WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT 5-10KTS AND GENERALLY RANGE FROM
10-12KTS WITH PERIODIC GUSTS NEAR 20KTS ON MONDAY. VSBY REDUCTIONS
(MVFR TO IFR) FROM PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY, ESPECIALLY AROUND TERMINALS WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL ON
SUNDAY.
CK
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 89 76 91 75 / 50 10 20 0
MLU 89 77 91 75 / 40 20 20 10
DEQ 85 72 89 74 / 80 30 10 0
TXK 90 74 92 76 / 60 10 10 0
ELD 86 74 91 75 / 70 20 20 0
TYR 88 75 92 75 / 40 0 10 0
GGG 88 75 92 74 / 50 0 10 0
LFK 88 76 91 73 / 30 10 20 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...23
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