370
FXUS64 KSHV 020550
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1250 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
- A MOSTLY DRY REMAINDER OF THE WEEK IS IN STORE, ASIDE FROM AN
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.
- HEAT WILL INCREASE GOING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, WITH HEAT
INDICES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS, POSING A POTENTIAL HAZARD FOR OUTDOOR
ACTIVITY.
- RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY BELOW AN INCH THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
PRONOUNCED UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL MAINTAIN A MOSTLY DRY AND
INCREASINGLY HOT PATTERN FOR THE ARKLATEX THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK, GOING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TONIGHT, UNDER PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES, LOWS LOOK TO ONLY DROP INTO THE LOWER 70S NORTH AND
MID TO UPPER 70S ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW TO MIDDLE 90S ARE
IN STORE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, WHILE THE SUBSIDENT EFFECTS OF AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH SHOULD INHIBIT AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
AS THIS FIRST WEEK OF JULY CONTINUES, VERY LITTLE CHANGE WILL BE
EVIDENT IN THE DAY TO DAY PATTERN. THURSDAY AFTERNOON MAY SEE A FEW
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PUSH UP FROM THE SOUTH, WITH IMPACTS, IF ANY,
LARGELY CONFINED TO THE TOLEDO BEND AREA, WHILE HIGHS ONCE AGAIN
CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 90S.
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL TAKE ITS TIME PUSHING EAST
ACROSS THE CONUS, ITS AXIS POSITIONED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVERHEAD GOING
INTO FRIDAY. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE RIDGE SHOULD KEEP AT BAY ANY
THUNDERSTORMS, MAKING FOR GOOD CONDITIONS FOR FIREWORKS SHOWS.
HOWEVER, THIS DRY HOLIDAY FORECAST WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PERSISTENT
HEAT, WHICH WILL NEED TO BE TAKEN INTO CONSIDERATION WHEN PLANNING
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY, ESPECIALLY FOR VULNERABLE GROUPS SUCH AS YOUNG
CHILDREN AND THE ELDERLY. THIS HEAT WILL ONLY INCREASE GOING INTO
THE WEEKEND, WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTING HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S
ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE WEEKEND COMES TO AN END AND THE NEW WORK
WEEK BEGINS, THE HIGH LOOKS TO RELEASE THE ARKLATEX FROM ITS GRASP
AS IT GETS NUDGED EASTWARD, REOPENING THE DOOR TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AND
RETURNING THE ARKLATEX TO THAT CLASSIC SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF
AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE DRIVEN CONVECTION ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN ZONES. WHILE WE SHOULD SEE A BREAK FROM THE UPPER 90S,
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S WILL PERSIST, WITH LOWS IN THE
70S THROUGHOUT.
/26/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1248 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
FOR THE 02/06Z TAF UPDATE...RADAR IMAGERY HAS GONE QUIET EARLY
THIS MORNING AS EXPECTED. IN THE WAKE OF SOME EARLIER CONVECTION,
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR ALL TERMINALS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO
SO FOR MOST TERMINALS THROUGHOUT THIS TAF PERIOD. THE ONE
EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE FOR KMLU AND KELD WHERE SOME BR COULD
DEVELOP TOWARDS MORNING THAT WILL LIMIT VISIBILITY SOME. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 96 78 95 77 / 10 10 10 10
MLU 94 75 94 74 / 10 0 10 0
DEQ 91 72 90 71 / 0 10 10 0
TXK 95 76 94 74 / 0 0 10 0
ELD 93 73 92 73 / 0 0 10 0
TYR 94 76 92 75 / 10 10 10 10
GGG 94 75 93 74 / 10 10 10 10
LFK 96 75 94 75 / 10 10 10 10
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...33
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page