464
FXUS64 KSHV 231839
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1239 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
- NEAR-RECORD WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH CHRISTMAS ACROSS THE
ARK-LA-TEX UNTIL SUNDAY.
- DRY WEATHER WILL ALSO CONTINUE WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES NOT
RETURNING IN EARNEST UNTIL NEXT SUNDAY.
- NEAR-NORMAL, SEASONABLY COOL AIR RETURNS NEXT WEEK INTO THE
FINAL DAYS OF 2025.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
BROAD RIDGING CONTINUES TO BE THE PREDOMINANT INFLUENCE ACROSS THE
FOUR STATE REGION WITH IT EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK,
BUILDING NORTHWARD TO MAXIMUM INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REGARDLESS OF THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE, THE MORE NOTABLE ASPECT
OF THIS RIDGING INVOLVES THE PROLONGING OF ON-SHORE SOUTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS THE AREA OVER MULTIPLE DAYS. CONTINUED WARM
AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 60S, WHILE
MULTIPLE FOGGY/CLOUDY MORNINGS ARE LIKELY UNDER THE CENTER OF THE
RIDGE AXIS. THIS WILL ALSO PRODUCE TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS IN THE
UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S THROUGH SATURDAY, NEAR RECORD MAXIMUM
TERRITORY FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARRIVING BY SUNDAY WILL DELIVER SOME
RAIN AND A REPRIEVE FROM RECORD MILD TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES (IF NOT SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL) IN THE 50S AND 30S
THROUGH THE REMAINING DAYS OF 2025. /16/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
FOR THE 23/18Z TAF UPDATE...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED
FOR MOST TERMINALS LATE THIS MORNING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KLFK
AND KMLU WHERE MVFR CEILINGS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL. WE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT HERE AS WE HEAD INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH ALL TERMINALS RETURNING TO VFR. AS CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THIS TYPE OF AIRMASS, LOWER CEILINGS WILL RETURN
ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT FOR ALL TERMINALS, REINTRODUCING WIDESPREAD
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS. GUIDANCE IS STILL SUGGESTING SOME BR TOWARDS
WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT I AM NOT THINKING THAT IT WILL IMPACT
VISIBILITY ENOUGH AT THIS TIME, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KLFK, WHERE
THERE COULD BE SOME REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES. OTHERWISE,
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. /33/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 62 78 61 78 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 58 76 58 77 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 58 75 57 76 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 62 77 62 78 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 57 75 57 76 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 62 76 62 77 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 60 76 61 78 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 61 78 60 78 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...33
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