591
FXUS64 KSHV 020621
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
121 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
- EXPECT DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
SUNDAY IN WAKE OF THE RECENT COOL FRONT PASSAGE.
- DRY WEATHER WILL REMAIN THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK, AS UPPER
RIDGING BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. HOWEVER, HOT AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN.
- SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN ACROSS OUR EASTERN FORECAST
ZONES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION
TONIGHT, AS IT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR A LINE FROM LUFKIN TEXAS
TO NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA TO NEAR OLLA LOUISIANA. THIS FRONT
SHOULD CLEAR OUR FORECAST ZONES OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS,
EVENTUALLY MAKING IT DOWN TO THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA GULF COASTS.
IN WAKE OF THE FRONT, NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING US SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS SUNDAY, ALONG WITH RAIN-FREE
WEATHER. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN THE MIDDLE 90S
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. THIS SHOULD KEEP HEAT
INDICES BELOW THE 105 DEGREE HEAT ADVISORY THRESHOLD. AS WE MOVE
INTO MONDAY, THE PATTERN WILL SHIFT AS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS
THE SW CONUS BUILDS EASTWARD INTO OUR AREA. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL RETURN, YIELDING SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES, WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS RETURNING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. BUT, WITH DEW POINTS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 60S, WE SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
HEAT ADVISORY TERRITORY.
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL BE AT A STANDSTILL FOR MOST OF NEXT
WEEK, AS UPPER RIDGING IS EXPECTED HOLD FIRM OVER THE REGION,
KEEPING PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE AREA. AT THE SAME TIME, SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL BRING A RETURN OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND HIGHER
HUMIDITY. WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S,
CAN'T RULE OUT THE RETURN OF HEAT HEADLINES, AS HEAT INDICES WILL
APPROACH ADVISORY CRITERIA. BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEKEND, LONG-TERM PROGS SUGGEST THE RIDGE WILL START TO LOSE ITS
GRIP OVER THE REGION. RAIN CHANCES COULD RETURN TO OUR EASTERN
FORECAST ZONES, AS SEABREEZE ACTIVITY PICKS UP IN THE NORTHERN
GULF. /20/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
FOR THE 02/06Z TAF UPDATE, VFR VIS/CIGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SOME POST-FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS AT 5-10 MPH
SLACKENING TO CALM BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /16/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /20/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 95 73 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 94 72 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 93 68 95 70 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 95 72 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 92 70 94 72 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 96 72 98 75 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 95 71 98 74 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 95 71 97 74 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...16
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