951
FXUS64 KSHV 272319
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
619 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
- DRIER AND HOTTER WEATHER, NOW IN PLACE, WILL INTENSIFY ACROSS
THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HAZARDOUS HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH SOME TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS NEAR THE 100-DEGREE
MARK.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH AN
INCREASE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT IS BEGINNING TO MODIFY AS RIDGING BEGINS
ITS ANTICIPATED DEVELOPMENT AND STRENGTHENING OVER THE JUST EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS, IN COMBINATION WITH ONSHORE
SURFACE FLOW, WILL ALLOW FOR MAXIMIZED WARM AIR
ADVECTION/MAINTENANCE THROUGH TUESDAY FOR TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS IN
THE MID-TO-UPPER 90S. AS THE RIDGE MAXIMIZES IN STRENGTH OVER THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY, OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
HIGHLIGHT A DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF THE CAROLINA COASTS THAT
EVENTUALLY SLIPS WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST AND AROUND THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE BY THURSDAY. DIURNALLY-DRIVEN CONVECTIVE
MODES BECOME MORE LIKELY AS A RESULT AFTER NEXT WEDNESDAY. BY
INDEPENDENCE DAY, LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ANOTHER WARMING
TREND WITH A 50 TO 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN
95 DEGREES.
WITH DEW POINTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW-TO-MID 70S BY THIS
TIME, HAZARDOUS HEAT WILL BE IMPACTFUL FOR ALL GROUPS OF PEOPLE
AND NOT JUST HEAT-SENSITIVE GROUPS. ADEQUATE PRECAUTIONS AND
AWARENESS ARE ENCOURAGED NOW AGAINST THE ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR
HEAT ILLNESSES. THIS INCLUDES (AND IS NOT LIMITED TO) ALTERING
OUTDOOR PLANS, TAKING FREQUENT BREAKS IF YOU MUST BE OUTSIDE,
CHECKING THE BACKSEAT OF YOUR VEHICLE, AND KNOWING THE SIGNS AND
SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE. /16/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING HOURS
ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE. LOOK FOR RETURNING MVFR CEILINGS HOWEVER
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY BEFORE THIS
CLOUD COVER THINS AND SCATTERS OUT BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
THEREFORE VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN. CURRENT GUSTS SHOULD SUBSIDE
SOMEWHAT ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE TYR
TERMINAL WHERE GUSTS UPWARDS OF 18 TO 22KTS COULD CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. WITH SUFFICIENT MIXING, LOOK FOR STRONGER SSE TO SSW
GUSTS PREVAILING BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH SPEEDS UPWARDS OF
25KTS. STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN ACROSS OUR WESTERN AIRSPACE
THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 555 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 77 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 77 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 76 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 77 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 77 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 77 96 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 77 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 77 95 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13
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