056
FXUS63 KGLD 240022
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
622 PM MDT WED SEP 23 2020
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 215 PM MDT WED SEP 23 2020
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND EASTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH VERY FAST ZONAL FLOW TO OUR NORTH. THE EXPANDING UPPER LEVEL
HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE 850MB TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN HIGH
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S WITH LOW TO
UPPER 90S FRIDAY. HILL CITY COULD SEE A HIGH OF 100 DEGREES IF THE
2M GFS/NAM TEMPS VERIFY. SOME COOLER AIR MOVES DOWN FROM THE
NORTH SATURDAY AS THE UPPER FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 85 TO 90
DEGREE RANGE. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT FALL INTO THE MID 40S TO
MID 50S. LOW TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 50S TO AROUND 60. NO PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 215 PM MDT WED SEP 23 2020
SUNDAY...THE FORECAST AREA IS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IN BETWEEN
LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE WESTERN US. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. HIGH TEMPERATURES FALL
TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S. LOW TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN EXCEPT PERHAPS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AS THE UPPER
HIGH SHIFTS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT LAKES. LOOKS LIKE WE'LL HAVE PERHAPS SOME BREEZY TO WINDY
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY REACH THE LOW TO
MID 80S THEN FALL INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S TUESDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOW
50S WITH UPPER 30S TO MID 40S TUESDAY NIGHT. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.
WEDNESDAY...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WHILE AT THE
SURFACE THE GRADIENT ISNT AS HIGH COMPARED TO MONDAY AND TUESDAY SO
WINDS SHOULD BE LESS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE INT HE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 530 PM MDT WED SEP 23 2020
EXCELLENT AVIATION WEATHER. VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT/VARIABLE
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT BOTH
TERMINALS.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 215 PM MDT WED SEP 23 2020
RECORD AND NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS:
THURSDAY:
BURLINGTON..........93 SET IN 2005
TRIBUNE.............94 SET IN 2003
YUMA................92 SET IN 2007 AND PREVIOUS YEARS
FRIDAY:
BURLINGTON..........95 SET IN 1998
COLBY...............96 SET IN 1966
TRIBUNE.............96 SET IN 2005
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...VINCENT
CLIMATE...99
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