672  
FXUS63 KGLD 172306  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
506 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2022  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 151 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2022  
 
THE UPPER PATTERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE  
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, THOUGH IT DOES BEGIN TO WEAK TOWARDS  
SATURDAY AS THE WESTERN RIDGE BEGINS TO NUDGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE  
ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE  
FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY AND CLEAR THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.  
POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE WILL BE IN PLACE FOR FRIDAY AND INTO EARLY  
SATURDAY BEFORE TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE  
WILL BE LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING. ON THURSDAY, CHANCES WILL BE TIED TO THE COLD FRONT.  
BEST INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE  
AREA FROM MCCOOK TO HILL CITY, WHERE THERE MAY BE A MARGINALLY  
SEVERE STORM. GIVEN THE BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE  
AREA IN THE AFTERNOON, MAY HAVE TO WATCH FOR LANDSPOUTS AS WELL.  
ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ON THE PALMER DIVIDE AND MOVE EAST TO SOUTHEAST, WHICH  
WILL FAVOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  
INSTABILITY WILL BE LACKING BOTH DAYS WITH LESS THAN 500 J/KG  
AVAILABLE, SO SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES WILL  
START THE PERIOD WARM ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S,  
THEN COOLING OFF SLIGHT FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE  
80S. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 215 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2022  
 
LATE IN THE WEEKEND THE UPPER PATTERN HAS THE LOW STILL OFF TO THE  
NORTHEAST AS THE RIDGE IS IN PLACE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE  
CONUS. WITHIN THE RIDGE, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS SITUATED OVER  
IDAHO/MONTANA/WYOMING. ANOTHER LOW IS APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH OUR POSITION BEING SITUATED BETWEEN THOSE  
SYSTEMS, WE'LL UNDERGO A MINOR WARMING AND DRYING TREND EARLY IN THE  
WORK WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE KEEP SLIGHT  
CHANCE TO CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY, MAINLY OVER  
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE  
UPPER-70S TO NEAR 90 AND LOWS IN THE MID-50S TO LOW-60S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 506 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2022  
 
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR BOTH TERMINALS DURING THE  
FORECAST PERIOD. BETWEEN APPROX 08Z-14Z THURSDAY, THERE COULD BE  
5-6SM IN PATCHY FOG, ESPECIALLY FOR KGLD. CEILINGS COULD LOWER AT  
KGLD DOWN BELOW BKN010 AS WELL DURING THIS TIME.  
 
WINDS FOR KGLD, SOUTHEAST 5-10KTS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY, THEN  
LIGHT/VARIABLE. BY 14Z, SOUTHWEST AROUND 10KTS THEN NORTHWEST BY  
20Z.  
 
WINDS FOR KMCK, SOUTHEAST 5-10KTS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY, THEN  
LIGHT/VARIABLE. BY 17Z, SOUTH AROUND 10KTS.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...024  
LONG TERM...CC  
AVIATION...JN  
 
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