202
FXUS63 KGLD 091504
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
804 AM MST FRI JAN 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY
IN COLORADO AND GREELEY, WALLACE, WICHITA, LOGAN, AND GOVE
COUNTIES IN KANSAS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2-5
INCHES ARE FORECAST. CHEYENNE COUNTY MAY ALSO SEE BLOWING SNOW
WITH VISIBILITY DOWN TO AROUND HALF A MILE.
- WIND CHILLS AROUND 0F ARE FORECAST SATURDAY MORNING.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 801 AM MST FRI JAN 9 2026
HAVE EXPANDED THE ADVISORY INTO PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS, SOUTH
OF US 40. A BAND OF SNOW HAS DEVELOPED AS THE SURFACE LOW TAKES
SHAPE JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA. BETWEEN THE BAND AND
ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH, ACCUMULATIONS
BETWEEN 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. MOST OF THE ADVISORY ARE
SHOULD SEE 3 INCHES OR LESS, WITH POCKETS OF THE HIGHER 4 TO 5
INCH ACCUMULATIONS. THE TIMING STILL HOLDS FOR THE SNOW TO END
FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1204 AM MST FRI JAN 9 2026
THE SECOND WAVE OF THE WINTRY SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO THE AREA EARLY
THIS MORNING. THE DRIVING 850 MB LOW WILL BE OVER THE TX PANHANDLE
REGION, AS THIS SYSTEM TAKES A MORE SOUTHERN ROUTE. SINCE
TEMPERATURES HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO COOL DOWN, THE PRECIPITATION TODAY
WILL BE ALL SNOW. SNOW WILL CONTINUE FALLING THROUGHOUT THE DAY,
EXITING THE AREA TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 0Z.
LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70 IN KANSAS AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
BURLINGTON TO JOES, CO WILL LIKELY SEE 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW. AREAS TO
THE NORTH WILL LIKELY SEE A TRACE TO A FEW TENTHS, WITH SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS DECREASING TO THE NORTH. CHEYENNE AND KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN
COLORADO WILL LIKELY SEE THE MOST AMOUNT OF SNOW FROM THIS EVENT.
MEAN RANGES FOR TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THIS AREA ARE AROUND 2-3 INCHES.
THERE IS A 15% CHANCE A BAND OF SNOW SETS UP, ALLOWING CLOSER TO 6
INCHES OF SNOW TO ACCUMULATE IN A FAIRLY SMALL CORRIDOR. THIS
POTENTIAL IS SUPPORTED BY CROSS SECTIONS SHOWING SOME WEAK
CONDITIONAL INSTABILITY WITH AROUND -5 MICROBARS OF OMEGA IN A
SATURATED COLUMN.
WINDS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO GUST UP 35-40 KTS IN EASTERN COLORADO.
WITH A 50-60% SNOW IS STILL ONGOING WHEN THE WINDS HIT THEIR PEAK
AROUND 18-20Z, BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN A
MILE. CURRENT CONFIDENCE IN BLOWING SNOW PERSISTENTLY REDUCING
VISIBILITY IS AROUND 85% FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY COLORADO, AND 50-60%
FOR KIT CARSON COUNTY. THE THREAT FOR BLOWING SNOW IS THE REASON A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY.
TONIGHT, THERE WILL BE A WAVE OF 500 MB VORTICITY THAT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA AROUND 3-6Z. THIS WILL HELP CLEAR OUT ANY REMAINING
MOISTURE, BUT MAY LEAD TO SOME ISOLATED FLURRIES IN THE PROCESS.
AFTER ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION HAS CEASED, THE NORTHERN WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE IN DRY, COOL AIR. THIS WILL CLEAR OUT THE SKIES AND
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL INTO THE TEENS, WITH EASTERN COLORADO
DROPPING INTO THE LOW TEENS. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME WIND CHILLS
AROUND 0F THANKS TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KTS SATURDAY
MORNING.
SATURDAY, A DISORGANIZED 850 MB HIGH WILL HUG THE ROCKIES, ALLOWING
NORTHERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE INTO THE CWA. THANKFULLY, THE SKY WILL BE
MOSTLY CLEAR DURING THE DAY, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S. ON THE DOWN SIDE, NORTHERLY GUSTS AROUND 30-35 KTS ARE
LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. RH VALUES LOOK TO DROP TO AROUND
20%. THIS LEADS TO SOME SLIGHT CONCERNS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR PLACES THAT DO NOT RECEIVE MUCH/ANY PRECIPITATION
TODAY. LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. 36 LOOK TO BE AT THE
GREATEST RISK FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
OVERNIGHT SATURDAY, A WEAK 500 MB SHORTWAVE WILL SWEEP OVER THE CWA.
DUE TO A SEVERE LACK OF MOISTURE, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AND
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO AROUND 20 BY SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 100 AM MST FRI JAN 9 2026
THE UPPER PATTERN THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS, BETWEEN A NEARLY
STATIONARY RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS AND PERSISTENT
TROUGHING NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. THE PATTERN WILL RESULT IN MILD
TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES MAY BRING A FEW CHANCES FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION, THE
FIRST BEING TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND PERHAPS ANOTHER
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. NONE OF THESE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BRING IMPACTFUL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. SEVERAL WINDY DAYS
WILL BE POSSIBLE, BEGINNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MIXING HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
BLOWING DUST IF HIGHER END NBM GUSTS MATERIALIZE. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY MINIMUMS APPEAR TOO HIGH FOR ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS,
DESPITE THE WINDY CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD, WITH
HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S AND LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 414 AM MST FRI JAN 9 2026
SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE MOVING IN FROM THE THE SOUTH
AND MAY BRIEFLY IMPACT KGLD WITH MINOR REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY
AND/OR CEILINGS LATER THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE MOVING OUT
OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, EXPECTING VFR TO PREVAIL
AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON FOR KSZ027>029-041-042.
CO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
COZ092.
NE...NONE.
UPDATE...KAK
SHORT TERM...CA
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...024
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page