119
FXUS63 KGLD 241149
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
449 AM MST MON FEB 24 2020
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MST MON FEB 24 2020
THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS ARE WIND OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF THE AREA RECEIVING A WINTRY MIX
OF PRECIPITATION.
A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS PUSH ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION
TODAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES ROTATE
THROUGH THE BASE OF THE DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH ON THE EAST SIDE OF
THE ROCKIES. THE SURFACE LOW CENTERS REMAIN WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA WHILE SURGES OF COLD AIR PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION. THESE FRONT AND COLD SURGES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT WITH A SECOND
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.
THE INITIAL CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TODAY MAY START OUT AS A MIX
OF RAIN AND SNOW, BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY ALL RAIN AS
TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. PRECIPITATION LINGERING IN THE
NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WILL CHANGE TO
LIGHT SNOW AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. THE SECOND FRONT
AND SURGE OF COLD AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA,
SO EXPECT MAINLY LIGHT SNOW WITH THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS
TO SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY AS
HIGHS REACH ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN
TODAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM A TRACE NEAR I-70 TO AROUND ONE
INCH NEAR MCCOOK. AREAS SOUTH OF I-70 WILL SEE ONLY VERY LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOWFALL WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS.
THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION ON
WEDNESDAY WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
THAT WILL PUSH THE COLDER AIR OUT OF THE REGION. EVEN THOUGH EARLY
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 10
DEGREES OVER EASTERN COLORADO TO THE UPPER TEENS OVER CENTRAL
KANSAS, HIGH TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY WILL BE BACK UP INTO THE
40S WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 146 AM MST MON FEB 24 2020
RELATIVELY QUIET PERIOD ON TAP WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
NORTHWEST FLOW FINALLY RELENTS BY FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY A LARGE
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL ACCORDINGLY WARM
TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS
FORECAST TO DROP TO NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS BOTH AFTERNOONS, HOWEVER
WINDS SPEEDS ARE LIGHT AND NO FIRE WEATHER PROBLEMS ARE
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 423 AM MST MON FEB 24 2020
MCK AND GLD SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY VFR THROUGH THE 12Z TAF PERIOD.
A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION WITH INCREASING NORTHWEST
WINDS BEHIND IT. THIS FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE GLD AREA AROUND
18Z AND THE MCK AREA ABOUT 21Z. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF 2-3 HOURS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH DECREASED VISIBILITIES DUE TO FOG, SPRINKLES
OR LIGHT RAIN AT GLD AND MCK FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT.
WIND GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT OF 35 TO 40 KTS ARE EXPECTED AT GLD
WITH GUSTS TO 30KTS AT MCK. WINDS DECREASE SLIGHTLY AFTER SUNSET,
BUT SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 15KTS AT BOTH LOCATIONS AFTER 06Z ALONG
WITH CONDITIONS REMAINING VFR.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...LOCKHART
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