106
FXUS63 KGLD 282330
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
430 PM MST SUN DEC 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WIND CHILL READINGS AS LOW AS ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.
- WARMING TREND WILL EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY,
REMAINING WARM INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 100 PM MST SUN DEC 28 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD, WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY RIDGE OVER THE WEST
AND LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO
DRY CONDITIONS AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. AFTER A COLD NIGHT
TONIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS,
HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 30S IN EASTERN AREAS
TO THE LOWER 40S IN COLORADO. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL CLIMB INTO
THE 50S AND BY WEDNESDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE ONLY CONCERN WILL
BE FIRE WEATHER, WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY MINIMUMS
DROPPING INTO THE TEENS AND 20S EACH DAY. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE
LACKING FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS, WITH EVEN MIXED LAYER WINDS
STAYING BELOW 20-25 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 100 PM MST SUN DEC 28 2025
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY, WITH AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 25, BUT
PERHAPS AS FAR WEST AS THE COLORADO BORDER, SEEING COLDER
TEMPERATURES WITH EASTERLY WINDS. MIGHT SEE SOME FOG OR FREEZING
FOG DEVELOP ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT. NBM STILL SHOWS A
VERY LARGE TEMPERATURE RANGE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR HILL
CITY, REFLECTING THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. THE AIR MASS
APPEARS TO RETREAT SOMEWHAT ON FRIDAY, BUT STILL SEEING SOME
EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS IN PLACES LIKE HILL CITY AND
NORTON. OVER THE WEEKEND, WILL SEE MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
AND THE WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD SCOUR OUT THE SHALLOW COLD AIR.
DESPITE A COUPLE OF EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES, MODELS NOT SHOWING ANY
PRECIPITATION. SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND LOWS IN THE 20S THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 430 PM MST SUN DEC 28 2025
GLD: VFR CONDITIONS, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND NNW TO NW WINDS AT
~10-15 KNOTS WILL RULE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NNW TO NW WINDS
MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 20-25 KNOTS THIS EVENING (~00-06Z MON).
MCK: VFR CONDITIONS WILL RULE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.. WITH
CEILINGS CONFINED TO OCCASIONAL CIRRUS AT/ABOVE ~9,000 FT AGL
(MAINLY THIS EVENING). WHILE NNW TO NW WINDS HAVE WEAKENED TO
10-15 KNOTS (PER 2320Z OBSERVATIONAL DATA AT MCK), UPSTREAM
OBSERVATIONS AND RECENT HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT
15-25 KNOT (PERHAPS ~20-30 KNOT) NNW WINDS WILL RETURN FOR
SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING BEFORE DECREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT (~06-09Z MON). 10-15 KNOT NNW TO NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO PREVAIL THEREAFTER.. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF
PERIOD.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...VINCENT
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