529
FNUS72 KTAE 030831
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BU326/328...USFS APALACHICOLA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
331 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FROST IS LIKELY TO BE ON THE GROUND FROM IGNITION TIME UNTIL
AFTER 8AM EST THIS MORNING WITH LOW DISPERSIONS FORECAST UNTIL
AROUND NOON OR 1PM EST WHEN WINDS PICK UP OUT OF THE SW (UP TO
ROUGHLY 10 MPH) - MAX LDSI ABOUT 60. RELATIVE HUMIDITY BOTTOMS OUT
IN THE MID 40S, BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT RH TRENDS LOWER,
DEPENDING ON THE EFFICIENCY OF AFTERNOON MIXING.
FOR TOMORROW, RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST THANKS TO AN
INCOMING COLD FRONT, BEGINNING AS SOON AS AROUND 6AM EST AT ABOUT
10%, INCREASING TO 50% THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING, THEN PEAKING
ABOVE 90% BY 1PM EST. AN AFTERNOON WETTING RAIN APPEARS LIKELY.
THUNDER POTENTIAL APPEARS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. EXPECT GREATER SSW
WINDS COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY (UP TO 15 MPH) JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, FOLLOWED BY A SHARP TURN OUT OF THE NW UP TO 10 MPH
IMMEDIATELY AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE TOWARDS SUNSET.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 60.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........68 68 68 58 58 58 7 7 7 10 10 10
WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 32 38 44 50 56 62 65 65 67 65 64
RH..............100 100 87 75 65 56 50 48 48 46 49 52
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 3 3 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.6 2.6 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.1 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 5 7 9 10 12 12 12
DISPERSION......3 3 3 8 8 8 50 50 50 60 60 60
LVORI...........9 10 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
LVORI...............6.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 DECREASING TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16 16 16 7 7 7 35 35 35 43 43 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............61 55 53 51 49 48 47 47 46 48 49 49
RH..............59 74 82 91 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 12 12 13 13
DISPERSION......25 25 25 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
LVORI...........2 4 5 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........56 56 56 64 64 64 87 87 87 85 85 85
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 90 90 90 90 90 90
TEMP............51 52 52 56 62 64 65 65 64 63 62 61
RH..............96 93 96 86 77 73 73 74 78 83 86 89
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 17 20 20 20 18 16 15 13 12
DISPERSION......19 19 19 40 40 40 39 39 39 27 27 27
LVORI...........7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
FORECASTER...GONZALEZ
REQUESTED BY...W. SULTEMEIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601542.0/TAE
.DELDT 02/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WESLEY.SULTEMEIER@USDA.GOV
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