656  
FNUS72 KTAE 221955  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTTS FERRY ROAD (07)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
355 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 CDT ON JULY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO  
THE FIRE AREA FROM THE NE. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING REGULAR  
WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH, WITH SOME STRONGER GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH.  
RAIN RATES ARE QUITE HIGH AND COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING. A  
SIMILAR DAY EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH INCREASED RAINFALL AMOUNTS, AND  
AN EARLIER START TO THE DAY. WINDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS  
WILL SHIFT AND BE SOMEWHAT ERRATIC, DEPENDING ON THE POSITION AND  
STRENGTH OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE GULF. CONDITIONS  
BEGIN TO DRY THIS WEEKEND, WITH A RETURN OF NEAR HEAT ADVISORY  
HIGH TEMPERATURES.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
DISPERSION INDEX....47.  
 
TIME (CDT) 4PM  
SKY (%).........70  
WEATHER COV.....LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........LKY  
CWR.............60  
TEMP............92  
RH..............62  
20 FT WIND DIR..W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  
DISPERSION......47  
LVORI...........1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........79 79 79 64 64 64 55 55 55 49 49 49  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............50 50 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10  
TEMP............90 88 87 85 84 81 81 80 80 80 79 79  
RH..............68 75 77 80 82 88 88 91 88 88 88 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW NW W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 9 8 8 8 7 6 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W NW NW NW NW W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5  
DISPERSION......36 36 36 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...HUMPHREYS  
REQUESTED BY...TINA SADLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2518424.0/TAE  
.DELDT 07/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SUSAN.SADLER@FDACS.GOV  
 
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