895
FNUS72 KTAE 260143
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR MATHIS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
943 PM EDT THU APR 25 2019
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
BY SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 40 PERCENT
RANGE TOMORROW AND IN THE 20-35 PERCENT RANGE ON SATURDAY. RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED SINCE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SATURDAY. HIGH
DISPERSIONS OVER 75 ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................>25 STRIKES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
LVORI...............7.
DISPERSION..........4.
TIME (EDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........90 91 93 96 97 94 87 84
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
LAL.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
TEMP............69 68 68 67 67 67 67 67
RH..............93 97 97 97 97 97 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 8 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 11 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 7 8 12 15 16
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 4 6 8 11 12 13
LVORI...........6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
LAL.................>25 STRIKES UNTIL 0800, THEN NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 18 TO
23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION..........89.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........77 64 57 54 47 44 39 28 22 18 10 5
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........DEF DEF
CWR.............90 90 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............5 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............65 64 67 70 72 75 76 78 79 81 83 81
RH..............100 100 97 87 79 71 66 60 54 49 44 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 5 6 9 9 10 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 8 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 9 7 9 14 18 20 21 21 22 23 23
DISPERSION IDX..11 8 9 15 34 51 62 69 76 83 89 87
LVORI...........7 8 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...MCD
REQUESTED BY...TAMI BUCHANAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1907404.0/TAE
.DELDT 04/25/19
.EMAIL FLFIC@FIRENET.GOV
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