890
FNUS72 KTAE 271140
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR N PENNINSULA...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
740 AM EDT TUE MAY 27 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FAIRLY SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON TAP TODAY AT THE SITE COMPARED TO
MONDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL AND INCREASE FOR LIGHT
(LESS THAN 5 MPH) IN THE MORNING TO AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GOOD DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST ALONG THE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES A FEW POINTS HIGHER THAN MONDAY. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THIS MORNING WITH
CHANCES INCREASING SOME FOR THE AFTERNOON. IT'S LIKELY THE MORE
ORGANIZED AND WIDESPREAD SHOWER/STORM COVERAGE STAYS NORTH OF THE
SITE, BUT THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY IN THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION
OF MORE ORGANIZED STORMS CURRENTLY TO THE WEST THIS MORNING. THESE
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE DAY AND IF THEY GO FURTHER
SOUTH THAN FORECAST, IT'S POSSIBLE ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
COULD AFFECT THE SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. FOR TONIGHT LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AND PATCHY FOG ARE
POSSIBLE AT THE SITE. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES MOVE IN TO THE SITE FOR
WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............6.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 58.
TIME (EDT) 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
SKY (%).........57 54 56 59 52 60 51 55 51 38 41
WEATHER COV..... SHC SHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SHC SHC SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 30 30 20
TEMP............69 72 75 81 85 87 90 91 92 93 91
RH..............100 100 100 82 70 61 54 52 51 49 52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 6 7 9 10 10 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12
DISPERSION......2 5 13 23 35 41 41 54 61 60 56
LVORI...........10 9 6 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 5.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........34 43 39 31 39 40 34 45 40 39 40 45
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............90 88 84 80 77 76 74 73 73 72 71 71
RH..............54 57 67 77 88 87 97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W SW NW N E N SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 2 2 2 1 0 1 0 1
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 9 6 6 6 3 2 3 2 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.2 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7
DISPERSION......43 29 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 45
DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
SKY (%).........43 41 36 32 25 31 35 42 46 49 54 56
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 60 60 60 60
TEMP............71 70 72 75 82 85 87 88 90 91 92 93
RH..............100 100 100 100 85 75 68 63 58 55 53 51
20 FT WIND DIR..N S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 3 6 6 7 7 7 9 9 9 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
DISPERSION......3 3 8 15 25 36 41 46 49 40 34 31
LVORI...........9 9 8 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...DOBBS
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514741.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL APETERSON@TNC.ORG
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