895  
FNUS72 KTAE 260143  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MATHIS...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
943 PM EDT THU APR 25 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 EDT ON APRIL 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION  
BY SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 40 PERCENT  
RANGE TOMORROW AND IN THE 20-35 PERCENT RANGE ON SATURDAY. RED FLAG  
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED SINCE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SATURDAY. HIGH  
DISPERSIONS OVER 75 ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
LAL.................>25 STRIKES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15  
TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
LVORI...............7.  
DISPERSION..........4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........90 91 93 96 97 94 87 84  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90  
LAL.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
TEMP............69 68 68 67 67 67 67 67  
RH..............93 97 97 97 97 97 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 8 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 11 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 7 8 12 15 16  
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 4 6 8 11 12 13  
LVORI...........6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
LAL.................>25 STRIKES UNTIL 0800, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST  
5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 18 TO  
23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION..........89.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 64 57 54 47 44 39 28 22 18 10 5  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........DEF DEF  
CWR.............90 90 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............5 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............65 64 67 70 72 75 76 78 79 81 83 81  
RH..............100 100 97 87 79 71 66 60 54 49 44 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 5 6 9 9 10 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 8 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 9 7 9 14 18 20 21 21 22 23 23  
DISPERSION IDX..11 8 9 15 34 51 62 69 76 83 89 87  
LVORI...........7 8 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...MCD  
REQUESTED BY...TAMI BUCHANAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1907404.0/TAE  
.DELDT 04/25/19  
.EMAIL FLFIC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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