447
FNUS72 KTAE 221648
FWSTAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK TRACT...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1248 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. A DRY
AND STABLE AIR MASS CONTINUES AT THE BURN SITE TODAY AND TONIGHT,
WITH FULLY SUNNY AND CLEAR SKIES. THE MIXING HEIGHT FORECAST WILL BE
A HARD CAP TO SMOKE RISE, DUE TO STABILITY AT THAT HEIGHT IN THE
ATMOSPHERE. WINDS WILL GO NEARLY CALM TONIGHT, WITH A LITTLE WESTWARD
DRIFT TO SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 INCREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 77 78 79 79
RH..............41 37 35 32 32
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 9
DISPERSION......40 55 56 57 52
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 8
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 71 67 64 61 58 57 56 54 53 52 51
RH..............37 42 50 56 62 69 72 74 80 83 86 89
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE E E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 8 7 7 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION......34 19 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6
FORECASTER...DVD
REQUESTED BY...ALEX G BELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624310.1/TAE
.DELDT 10/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALEXANDER.BELL@FDACS.GOV
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