967  
FNUS72 KTAE 130542  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CANAL FIRE - TEAM 2...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
142 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MAY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS MORNING AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A  
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH LATE  
THIS MORNING, RANGING FROM AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION WILL BE  
POOR, RETURNING TO FAIR LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO  
9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 41.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 80 80 70 70 70 64 64 64 56 56 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............67 66 67 68 72 73 75 77 78 79 79 80  
RH..............93 97 97 100 97 93 87 82 76 74 74 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N NE NE N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 10 9 10 10 12 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E NE NE N N N NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 8 8 9 9  
DISPERSION......4 5 9 11 12 12 16 21 25 29 37 41  
LVORI...........6 7 6 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........37 37 37 34 34 34 22 22 22 23 23 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 79 76 73 71 70 69 68 65 65 65 63  
RH..............74 74 79 87 87 87 90 90 97 93 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 9 8 8 6 6 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION......36 26 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 90 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 98  
DECREASING TO 91 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 15 15 1 1 1 11 11 11 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 64 65 70 75 78 81 82 83 84 85 85  
RH..............90 90 87 81 67 59 53 49 44 41 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 2.2 3.9 5.6 6.2 6.8 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 10 12 13 14 13 13 13 13 12  
DISPERSION......3 3 9 28 58 87 93 97 101 100 95 91  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...LF  
REQUESTED BY...SITUATION UNIT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613428.1/TAE  
.DELDT 05/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.SADDLER@FDACS.GOV  
 
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