425  
FXUS62 KJAX 190659  
AFDJAX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
259 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2019  
 
   
NEAR TERM...THROUGH TONIGHT
 
THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH  
PRESSURE TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST AND A TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST THIS  
PERIOD. DIURNALLY INITIATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.  
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE  
EVENING. DIMINISHING STORMS ANTICIPATED LATE EVENING, WITH SKIES  
CLEARING OVERNIGHT.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND NEAR TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.  
   
SHORT TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MID-LEVEL WEAK  
TROUGH WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE THIS  
WEEKEND. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL ADVECT INTO NE FL/SE GA  
FROM THE SE RESULTING IN AFTERNOON SEABREEZE CONVECTION BECOMING  
MORE SCATTERED. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOW/MID 90S.  
   
LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
 
SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPPING  
SE FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL AMPLIFY A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN  
U.S NEXT WEEK. A MOIST DEEP SW FLOW WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE  
AND INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH  
DAY. THE SW FLOW WILL INCREASE BY MIDWEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH DIGS  
SOUTH RESULTING IN HIGHER SHEAR AND CHANCES FOR STRONG STORMS.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO AVERAGE WITH ABOVE AVERAGE RAIN  
CHANCES.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST  
SOUTHEAST AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH  
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA: LOW RISK THROUGH SATURDAY  
NE FL: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY  
 

 
   
AVIATION...06Z TAF PERIOD
 
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED  
THIS TAF PERIOD. SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MAY  
PRODUCE BRIEF RESTRICTIONS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
AMG 94 73 94 73 / 60 20 30 10  
SSI 89 78 91 77 / 40 10 20 10  
JAX 93 76 94 75 / 50 20 30 10  
SGJ 91 77 91 74 / 50 10 20 10  
GNV 92 75 93 73 / 40 20 30 20  
OCF 92 75 93 73 / 40 20 30 20  
 

 
   
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GA...NONE.  
AM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
23/ZIBURA/  
 
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