231
FXUS62 KJAX 091059
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
559 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- PATCHY FROST INLAND SOUTHEAST GA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 30S.
- HIGH RISK RIP CURRENTS FOR NORTHEAST FL BEACHES TODAY.
- FREEZE WARNING FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GA WED MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD FROST EXPECTED.
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT
WHILE LOW LEVEL WINDS SLOWLY TURN FROM THE NORTH TO THE NORTHEAST.
BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE REGION KEEPING
THE MAX TEMPERATURE TRENDS BELOW NORMAL (ABOUT 10 DEG) FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
TEMPS HAVE FALLEN OFF WELL EARLY THIS MORNING DESPITE SOME RESIDUAL
LOW CLOUDS IN THE AREA AND NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 4-8 MPH WITH
MID TO UPPER 30S FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GA TO 40S AND SOME LOWER 50S
ELSEWHERE. WITH A COLD ADVECTION PATTERN IN PLACE, MAX TEMPS TODAY
WILL BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH HALF OF
ZONES TO UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S SOUTHERN ZONES. BREEZY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10-15 MPH EXPECTED, ESPECIALLY COASTAL AREAS
EAST OF I-95. THE MEAN 0-1KM NORTHEAST FLOW BEGINNING BY SUNRISE
WILL USHER IN SOME STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS THAT WILL BE DEVELOP AT
TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH THE COASTAL NORTHEAST FL UNDER MORE OF
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES, BUT INLAND AREAS STAY MOSTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLEAR. TEMPS TONIGHT WILL DROP WELL BELOW NORMAL AND WILL UPGRADE
THE FREEZE WATCH TO A FREEZE WARNING. SOME PATCHY TO AREAS OF FROST
CAN BE EXPECTED JUST SOUTH OF THE FREEZE WARNING.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH
DRY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE WEST THURSDAY, THEN OVERHEAD
THURSDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND BELOW NORMAL THIS PERIOD. WITH COLD
ADVECTION AND HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE, THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WELL
BELOW NORMAL, WITH AN INLAND FROST, MAINLY OVER SE GA EXPECTED.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVE THROUGH LARGELY
DRY. WHILE THE CHANCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH FOR INCLUSION IN THE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME, A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS CAN NOT BE RULED
OUT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY, THEN
BELOW MONDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
MVFR CIGS AROUND 1500-3000 FT ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT SGJ, CRG, AND
SSI THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, THOUGH PREDOMINANT CATEGORY
LOOKS TO REMAIN VFR. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE
FOR JAX AND VQQ BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z AND POSSIBLE AGAIN LATER AFTER
18Z. GNV WILL LIKELY STAY VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SFC WINDS
WILL FAVOR A NORTH TO NORTHEAST COMPONENT TODAY, INCREASING TO
8-12 KTS, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS APPROACHING 15-20 KTS AT SGJ AND
CRG.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING RESULTING IN A GRADUAL LOWERING OF WINDS AND SEAS.
CURRENT SCA HEADLINE WILL TRANSITION TO EXERCISE CAUTION FOR MOST
AREA WATERS BY ABOUT 8 AM. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF THE WATERS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.
ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WITH POSSIBLE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS OFFSHORE WATERS AS THE WEAK COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA AGAIN BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE OVER THE AREA INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
ON SUNDAY.
RIP CURRENTS: WE HAVE A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FOR NORTHEAST FL
BEACHES TODAY BASED LATEST GUIDANCE AND ROUGH SURF, WITH MODERATE
RISK FOR SOUTHEAST GA BEACHES. A FAIRLY STRONG NORTH TO SOUTH
LONGSHORE CURRENT IS ALSO ANTICIPATED. LOWER RIP CURRENT RISK LIKELY
FOR WEDNESDAY TOWARD MODERATE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 30 62 39 59 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 40 64 45 62 / 0 0 0 0
JAX 37 68 43 65 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 46 69 48 65 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 39 69 45 67 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 42 69 46 68 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ124-125-138-
233-333.
GA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR GAZ132>136-
149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ452-
454-470-472-474.
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