425
FXUS62 KJAX 190659
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
259 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2019
NEAR TERM...THROUGH TONIGHT
THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST AND A TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST THIS
PERIOD. DIURNALLY INITIATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE
EVENING. DIMINISHING STORMS ANTICIPATED LATE EVENING, WITH SKIES
CLEARING OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND NEAR TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.
SHORT TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
MID-LEVEL WEAK
TROUGH WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE THIS
WEEKEND. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL ADVECT INTO NE FL/SE GA
FROM THE SE RESULTING IN AFTERNOON SEABREEZE CONVECTION BECOMING
MORE SCATTERED. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOW/MID 90S.
LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPPING
SE FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL AMPLIFY A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
U.S NEXT WEEK. A MOIST DEEP SW FLOW WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH
DAY. THE SW FLOW WILL INCREASE BY MIDWEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH DIGS
SOUTH RESULTING IN HIGHER SHEAR AND CHANCES FOR STRONG STORMS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO AVERAGE WITH ABOVE AVERAGE RAIN
CHANCES.
MARINE
THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST
SOUTHEAST AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA: LOW RISK THROUGH SATURDAY
NE FL: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY
AVIATION...06Z TAF PERIOD
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THIS TAF PERIOD. SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE BRIEF RESTRICTIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 94 73 94 73 / 60 20 30 10
SSI 89 78 91 77 / 40 10 20 10
JAX 93 76 94 75 / 50 20 30 10
SGJ 91 77 91 74 / 50 10 20 10
GNV 92 75 93 73 / 40 20 30 20
OCF 92 75 93 73 / 40 20 30 20
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
23/ZIBURA/
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