850
FXUS62 KJAX 161732
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1232 PM EST TUE DEC 16 2025
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT ALL AREA BEACHES TODAY
- FROST POSSIBLE FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GA & THE SUWANNEE VALLEY LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL EXTEND WEST ACROSS THE AREA FROM A CENTER
TO THE EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL BE
LOCATED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS WILL BE A DRY PERIOD, BUT
SKIES WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY DUE TO THE TROUGH. ONSHORE
FLOW WILL YIELD A WIDE RANGE IN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT, WITH LOWS
RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 30S OVER INLAND SE GA TO THE LOWER 50S OVER
COASTAL NE FL.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
WEDNESDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY AND A LITTLE BIT WARMER THAN THE LAST
FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD CONTINUES TO MOVE OFFSHORE. HIGHS
WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, TO MID 70S
IN NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA, WITH A CALM ONSHORE BREEZE AND MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. SHOWERS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED AS A
COASTAL TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP FURTHER
ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN INCOMING COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT, BRINGING MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY AND INTO THE LATE EVENING. SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW
THURSDAY WILL BRING IN AMPLE MOISTURE, RAISING PWATS NEAR 1.5
INCHES. THUNDER CHANCES ARE LOW, BUT NON-ZERO, OVER PORTIONS OF
INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA THURSDAY EVENING.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
DRIER AIR WILL BE PRESENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH PLEASANT
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. SHOWERS WILL CLEAR THE AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY, WITH
CLOUD COVER GRADUALLY DECREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY PAVING THE WAY
FOR HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. FRIDAY NIGHT, CALM NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S OVER PORTIONS
OF INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, ALLOWING FOR PATCHY FROST FORMATION
OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL
SATURDAY AND WARMER ON SUNDAY WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING HIGHS IN
THE 70S WITH SUNNY SKIES BOTH DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
OUTSIDE OF A PERIOD OF RESTRICTIONS IN STRATUS EARLY IN THIS
PERIOD, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON. STRATUS AND
FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING, WITH RESTRICTIONS
ANTICIPATED FOR THE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO VFR.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED TO THE EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH
THURSDAY, WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT,
THEN NORTHEAST SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA HIGH TODAY, LOW WEDNESDAY
NE FL HIGH TODAY, MODERATE WEDNESDAY
FIRE WEATHER
...LOW DAYTIME DISPERSIONS ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST GA,
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SUWANNEE VALLEY, AND COASTAL
LOCATIONS...
WEDNESDAY, CALM WINDS WILL AGAIN BRING VERY LOW DISPERSIONS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, THE SUWANNEE VALLEY, AND COASTAL LOCATIONS ACROSS
THE AREA. DISPERSION WILL REMAIN VERY LOW FOR MOST OF THE AREA ON
THURSDAY AS WELL, AND WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY. MIN RHS WILL STEADILY
INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY, BEFORE DECREASING ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE NEXT CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT, HIGHER
CHANCES ALONG INTERIOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG FORMATION
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE PREDAWN AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FROST FORMATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 37 64 49 68 / 0 0 10 60
SSI 48 65 54 68 / 0 10 20 60
JAX 46 70 54 75 / 0 0 10 40
SGJ 53 70 59 75 / 10 0 20 40
GNV 48 75 56 78 / 0 0 10 40
OCF 49 75 56 79 / 0 0 10 30
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ124-
125-138-233-333.
GA...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ154-
166.
MARINE...NONE.
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