209
FXUS62 KJAX 221758
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1258 PM EST MON DEC 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS NE FL BEACHES TODAY
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SHOWERS OVER NEARSHORE WATERS, POSSIBLY PRESSING
INLAND OVER COASTAL AREAS LATER THIS EVENING AS AN INVERTED TROUGH
FORMS TODAY WITH BREEZY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND BECOMING MORE MILD DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENTS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER INLAND AREAS
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S OVER
NORTHEAST FLORIDA. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP DOWN INTO
MID TO UPPER 40S FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND ALONG THE COASTLINE.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL STRETCH OVERHEAD OF THE REGION TUESDAY,
MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR THE REGION. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL PROVIDE A GLANCING "BLOW" ON CHRISTMAS EVE, ESSENTIALLY
ONLY PUSHING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE REGION WITH NO RAIN
CHANCES EXPECTED. PRIMARY IMPACTFUL WEATHER FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL
BE CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING ON
CHRISTMAS EVE WITH A MILD AIRMASS AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE.
BEST CHANCES FOR HIGHER FOG COVERAGE WILL BE OVER INLAND AREAS, AND
ESPECIALLY THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FL.
HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WILL BE COMMON FOR BOTH TUESDAY
AND CHRISTMAS EVE, WITH A FEW READINGS AT OR JUST ABOVE 80 POSSIBLE
OVER INLAND NORTHEAST FL. LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S ARE FORECAST
BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK, AS THE SURFACE HIGH SLOWLY DRIFTS OVER THEN SOUTH OF THE AREA
BY THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER BACKDOOR-LIKE COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE A
GLANCING BLOW ONCE AGAIN AROUND THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY, THOUGH VERY
LITTLE IMPACTS EXPECTED AS IT SKIRTS BY WITH LIMITED AVAILABLE
MOISTURE. DAILY MORNING FOG CHANCES ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH THIS FRONT LOOKING
LIKE A STRONGER ONE WITH MORE RAINFALL/CONVECTIVE CHANCES. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD AT THIS TIME, INCLUDING CHRISTMAS DAY WHERE MID TO UPPER
70S WILL BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MVFR
CEILINGS OVERNIGHT WITH BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS BECOMING MORE MILD
AND VARIABLE WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY BY AROUND 14Z-16Z.
REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR VQQ BETWEEN AROUND 08Z AND 11Z.
MARINE
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AND THROUGH MONDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
BEFORE SUBSIDING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN SITUATED ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. BY NEXT WEEKEND, OFFSHORE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AS SURFACE
RIDGING SLIDES SOUTH AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDES BY TO THE
NORTH.
RIP CURRENTS: SE GA MODERATE TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
NE FL HIGH TODAY BECOMING MODERATE WEDNESDAY
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW COASTAL SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY, OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER
WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE MAINLY IN
CONTROL. GENERAL TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIR TO
GOOD DISPERSIONS ACROSS THE REGION, WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES BEING
OVER INTERIOR SOUTHEAST GA. THE MAIN EXCEPTION WILL BE TUESDAY, AS
AREAS OF LOW/POOR DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH VERY WEAK LOW LEVEL
FLOW. NEAR CRITICAL MIN RH VALUES WILL ALSO BE EXPECTED TODAY
ACROSS FAR INTERIOR GA.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: NIGHTLY PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY INLAND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 64 47 74 50 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 64 55 70 54 / 0 10 0 0
JAX 69 53 77 52 / 0 10 0 0
SGJ 71 59 74 54 / 0 10 0 0
GNV 75 54 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 76 55 79 51 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ124-125-138-
233-333.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ450-
452-454.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ470-472-474.
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