129  
FXUS62 KJAX 021248  
AFDJAX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
848 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2020  
   
UPDATE
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES CURRENTLY. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS THREAT FOR  
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/T-STORMS ONCE AGAIN, THOUGH INTERESTINGLY, MOST  
HIGH-RES MODELS SHOW LESS COVERAGE THAN PRIOR DAYS, AND MOS  
GUIDANCE ONLY HAS POP OF 50-60 PCT TODAY. WITH THIS, WILL DECREASE  
POP/COVERAGE A LITTLE FOR THIS AFTERNOON IN HOURLY POP/WEATHER  
GRIDS. MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION WILL BE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE,  
WITH EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PINNED TO COAST IN WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL  
FLOW...MAY ALSO SEE A FEW CELLS ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING ALONG A WEAK  
BOUNDARY N OF FORECAST AREA...THAT COULD AFFECT OUR NORTHERN  
COUNTIES. AS IN PRIOR DAYS, A FEW STRONGER STORMS COULD DEVELOP  
AND PRODUCE 40-50 MPH WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY  
LOOKS FINE.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
[THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY]  
 
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HRS, EXCEPT LOCALLY LOWER IN  
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHRA/TSRA. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY  
6-12 KTS TODAY, EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY IN TSRA.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
STAGNANT PATTERN THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HIGH PRESSURE  
RIDGE TO THE SOUTH AND TROUGHING TO THE NORTH. WINDS WILL BE  
PREVAILING WEST TO SOUTHWEST OVER THE WATERS WITH AFTERNOON  
SEABREEZES NEAR THE COAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE  
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL  
TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHEAST. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 15 KNOTS  
OR LESS WITH SEAS IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE.  
 
RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY WITH OFFSHORE FLOW, MODERATE RISK  
FRIDAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW IN AFTERNOON WITH SEA BREEZE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
AMG 92 72 91 72 91 / 60 20 60 10 60  
SSI 91 75 88 76 88 / 50 40 40 20 40  
JAX 93 73 91 74 90 / 60 40 70 20 60  
SGJ 91 74 89 74 88 / 60 40 70 30 60  
GNV 91 73 90 73 88 / 70 20 90 40 80  
OCF 91 74 90 74 89 / 70 30 80 40 80  
 

 
   
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GA...NONE.  
AM...NONE.  

 
 
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