307  
FNUS72 KTAE 160920  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX FIRE PILES...STATE OF FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
520 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON OCTOBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND WARM AGAIN TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.  
DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW TODAY AT THE BURN SITE.  
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO AROUND 55%. LIGHT NORTHEAST  
WINDS CLOCK AROUND TO BEING OUT OF THE EAST BY THE LATE MORNING,  
THEN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES  
ONSHORE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 68 73 77 80 81 82 82 82 81  
RH..............93 84 73 67 60 60 58 61 58 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 7 6 7 9 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8  
DISPERSION......6 7 7 7 15 15 15 16 16 16  
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO  
8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 79 76 75 73 73 72 71 71 70 69 68  
RH..............65 67 76 76 81 81 81 81 81 84 87 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S SE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S SE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 6 6 5 6 6 7 7 8  
DISPERSION......14 14 14 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 5  
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
8 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 6 6 6 14 14 14 11 11 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 67 67 71 74 77 78 79 81 81 81 81  
RH..............84 87 87 81 76 71 69 64 60 60 60 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10  
DISPERSION......12 12 12 28 28 28 32 32 32 30 30 30  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...OLIVER  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE BASS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523571.2/TAE  
.DELDT 10/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLE.BASS@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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