479  
FNUS72 KTAE 150850  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR UNIT 216 PILE BURN...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
450 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT  
THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE MAIN CONCERNS TODAY WILL BE THE HOT TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON  
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED  
FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
NEAR STORMS. WINDS OUTSIDE OF STORMS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY WITH NORTHEAST  
TRANSPORT WINDS. PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 108F  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 45 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 16 16 23 23 23 43 43 43  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF  
CWR.............10 10 10 50 50 50 80 80 80  
TEMP............82 86 88 90 92 94 96 93 89  
RH..............85 75 68 66 60 54 49 56 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.2 4.8 4.4 3.4 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 6 8 8 8 8 7  
DISPERSION......14 14 14 47 47 47 43 43 43  
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........53 53 53 67 67 67 49 49 49 76 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............70 70 70 40 40 40 10 10 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............88 88 85 83 82 80 80 79 78 77 77 76  
RH..............66 63 72 80 79 85 85 88 88 90 90 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NW N N NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N NE NE NE NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
DISPERSION......16 16 16 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 70 70 60 60 60 61 61 61 54 54 54  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100  
TEMP............76 76 77 80 82 84 85 84 84 84 84 84  
RH..............90 90 90 88 85 82 80 82 82 80 80 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 10 10 12 14 15 16 17 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14  
DISPERSION......14 14 14 32 32 32 37 37 37 44 44 44  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...DVD  
REQUESTED BY...BART RYE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2518036.0/TAE  
.DELDT 07/15/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BARTON_RYE@FWS.GOV  
 
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