676
FXUS62 KJAX 051751
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1251 PM EST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE NORTHEAST FL BEACHES TODAY.
MODERATE RISK EXPECTED AT THE SOUTHEAST GA BEACHES
- ELEVATED TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST & PORTIONS OF THE
- ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN TODAY & THURS
- POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FREEZE NEXT TUESDAY MORNING
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST WED NOV 5 2025
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, CALM WINDS, AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL
CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT, LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
50S, WITH AREAS NORTH OF WAYCROSS SEEING LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT, PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY
FOR MOST OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA PRE-
DAWN.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST WED NOV 5 2025
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL SHIFT OFF THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY, CLEARING TO THE NORTHEAST BY
FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER INLAND LOCATIONS
FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, BUT MAY HAVE A FEW SHOWERS ALONG
THE LOCAL WATERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BY
FRIDAY NIGHT, WINDS SHIFT TO BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF THE
FIRST OF A PAIR OF FRONTAL BOUNDARIES AS ITS SHIFTS TOWARDS THE
AREA. THE SHIFT IN FLOW WILL BRING MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
GULF AND MAY BRING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN SE GA
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO WARM GRADUALLY INTO THE UPPER 70S
TO LOWER 80S ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. THURSDAY NIGHT,
LOWS WILL SPAN IN THE 50S FOR MOST LOCATIONS, A FEW NORTHERN
LOCATIONS MAY FEEL LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S, BUT COASTAL LOCATIONS
AND NORTH CENTRAL FL COUNTIES WILL BE IN THE LOWER 60S. BY FRIDAY
NIGHT, LOWS WILL BE A BIT WARMER AS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 50S WITH LOWER 60S ALONG THE COAST.
COULD HAVE SOME PATCHY FOG DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY MORNINGS WITH LIGHT WINDS AND INCREASE IN MOISTURE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST WED NOV 5 2025
CHANCES OF SHOWERS OVER INLAND LOCATIONS DURING THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND AS A PAIR OF FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL SHIFT TOWARDS AND
ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE SHIFT TO A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF
THE FRONTS, MOISTURE FILTERING INTO THE AREA WILL BRING CHANCES OF
FOG FOR INLAND LOCATIONS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THIS
WEEKEND. LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS ALONG THE WESTERN INLAND LOCATIONS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE FIRST FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. BY SUNDAY, ISOLATED CHANCES OF SHOWERS FOR MOST
LOCATIONS AS MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO FEED INTO THE AREA WITH THE
CONTINUED SOUTHWEST-WESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SECOND FRONT PUSH
INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S THIS WEEKEND
WILL MAKE WAY FOR COOLER TEMPERATURE HIGHS FROM THE MID 50S TO MID
60S BY MONDAY AS WINDS SHIFT TO BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONTS. TEMPERATURE LOWS WILL BEGIN TO TICK
DOWNWARD SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS FROM THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S DROP
FURTHER TO THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S BY MONDAY/TUESDAY NIGHTS,
WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING INTO THE UPPER 20S OVER
INLAND SE GA ON MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL SETUP THE POSSIBILITY FOR
LIGHT FREEZE AND FROST POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHTS, WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST WED NOV 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
FOG IMPACTS BEING AT VQQ AND JAX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1248 PM EST WED NOV 5 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD EASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC RESULTING IN DIMINISHING ONSHORE WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS.
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO SETTLE OVER OUR LOCAL
WATERS LATE THIS WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT
IS SLATED TO CROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS ON SUNDAY, POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED
BY ISOLATED OR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS.
RIP CURRENTS: HIGH RISK FOR NE FLORIDA BEACHES TODAY AND THEN
EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATE TOMORROW. LOW RISK FOR SE GEORGIA
BEACHES TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 48 79 48 80 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 57 74 59 76 / 0 0 0 0
JAX 54 79 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 59 77 63 79 / 0 0 10 0
GNV 54 81 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 56 80 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ124-125-138-
233-333.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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