873
FXUS62 KJAX 302357
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
757 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 746 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCATED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS IT
PASSES THROUGH. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED OVER NORTH
CENTRAL FL BY SUNRISE. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CLEAR THE
AREA WITH THE FRONT, BUT A FEW MAY LINGER BEHIND DUE TO WEAK
TROUGHING BEHIND MAIN FRONT.
NOTICEABLY DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT SOUTH ACROSS SE GA OVERNIGHT
BEHIND THE FRONT. DUE TO THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND DRIER AIR
MOVING IN, THERE WILL BE A BROAD RANGE IN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S WILL BE COMMON OVER SE GA, WITH UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S ACROSS NE FL.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 159 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO DOMINATE ACROSS THE AREA AS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLS SOUTH OF NORTH CENTRAL FL. DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE
TO FILTER INTO THE AREA, BRINGING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TO
NEAR NIL THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SHORT-LIVED 'COOLER' AIR ACROSS
THE AREA ON SATURDAY WILL MAKE WAY FOR HIGHS ONCE AGAIN REACH IN
THE LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA WITH ONLY NORTHERN SE GA AND COASTAL
LOCATIONS REMAINING IN THE UPPER 80S. OVERALL, A NICE DAY IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS DEWPOINTS WILL DIP INTO THE 50S AND 60S WITH
SUNNY AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. BY THE EVENING ON SUNDAY, TEMPS
COOL TO THE MID 60S OVER INLAND LOCATIONS AND THE LOWER 70S ALONG
THE COAST.
COME MONDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN SITUATED OVER THE AREA.
CURRENTLY EXPECTED ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL FL AS ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING
IN SOME MOISTURE INTO INLAND LOCATIONS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE IN THE LOWER 90S WITH SPOTS OF UPPER 80S ALONG THE COAST
AND NORTHERN SE GA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SE CONUS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT OFF
TOWARDS THE ATLANTIC BEGINNING ON TUESDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK. THIS
WILL LEAD TO AN EASTERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC TO FILTER ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS. THIS
INFLUX OF MOISTURE WILL SEE THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO
INCREASE TO THE AROUND THE 20% RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS NE FL. BY FRIDAY,
PRECIPITATION CHANCES BUILD TO 30% AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE
BROUGHT IN FROM THE ATLANTIC. DAYTIME HIGHS THIS UPCOMING WEEK
WILL LOOK TO REMAIN IN THE 90S, WITH THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK
POTENTIALLY REACHING INTO THE MID 90S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 714 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREA TAF SITES THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT, AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES AREA. RESTRICTIONS ARE
EXPECTED. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. MOST
OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE SOUTH OF AREA TAF SITES BY
SUNRISE ON FRIDAY. PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE
DAYTIME HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 159 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COOL FRONT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS DURING THE
EVENING HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY CONTINUING OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT
CROSSES OUR LOCAL WATERS. STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO CAUTION
LEVELS TONIGHT WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. A DRIER AIRMASS AND A
WEAKER PRESSURE PATTERN PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF A SEA BREEZE DOMINANT WEATHER PATTERN.
RIP CURRENTS: LOW TO MARGINAL MODERATE RISK OF RIPS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE PUNCTUATED BY A DAILY WEAK SEA
BREEZE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WHICH WILL KEEP
SURF/BREAKERS IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 159 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THIS EVENING AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE
AREA ON SATURDAY AS MIN RHS DIP INTO THE 30S ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND STORMS CHANCES BEGIN TO DIMINISH DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH THE DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION.
BEHIND THE FRONT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON SATURDAY WILL
BRING AREAS OF HIGH DISPERSIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AND NORTHEAST FL, WITH AREAS OF HIGH DISPERSIONS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ON SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 63 86 63 88 / 50 0 0 0
SSI 70 87 70 87 / 60 0 0 0
JAX 69 90 65 91 / 70 10 0 0
SGJ 71 88 68 90 / 60 20 0 0
GNV 70 89 64 92 / 50 10 0 0
OCF 71 89 65 91 / 50 30 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
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