998
FXUS62 KJAX 271728
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
128 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
FOR THE LATEST NE FL AND SE GA DAILY KEY MESSAGES PLEASE VISIT:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/JAX/BRIEFINGS/NWS-JAX-BRIEFING.PDF
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON & EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. PRIMARY CONCERN
WILL BE HEAVY DOWNPOURS RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.
STRONG THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL SHIFT INLAND TOWARD THE I-75
CORRIDOR THIS WEEKEND.
- MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES AT ALL AREA BEACHES
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLIGHT CATEGORY REDUCTIONS, PRIMARILY DUE TO
VISIBILITY FOR SHORT DURATIONS (18-00Z) WITH ACTIVITY
GENERALLY MOVING EASTWARD OFF THE COAST OR DECREASING IN
STRENGTH AND COVERAGE AFTER 00Z. VFR CONDITIONS WITH LEFTOVER
CLOUD DEBRIS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS.
MARINE
OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN SHIFT ONSHORE
OVER THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OVER THE
WEEKEND, THEN TO THE NORTHEAST AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC EARLY
NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE TODAY AND FRIDAY
DUE THE PREVAILING OFFSHORE WINDS, FOLLOWED BY DECREASING CHANCES
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS.
RIP CURRENTS: A VERY LOW END MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AFTER THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS. SIMILAR
EXPECTATION ON FRIDAY. PREVAILING WINDS TURN ONSHORE THIS WEEKEND,
LEADING TO A MORE SOLID MODERATE RISK.
FIRE WEATHER
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROGRESS ACROSS
OUR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS THROUGH FRIDAY.
ACTIVITY MAY BEGIN DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS ALONG THE I-75
CORRIDOR AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA BEFORE ACTIVITY PUSHES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REST OF OUR AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON, MAINLY
ALONG THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN SHIFT TO LOCATIONS WEST OF THE I-
95 CORRIDOR THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MONDAY, WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY
POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF I-95 DURING THE MORNING HOURS. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF I-95 EACH
AFTERNOON FROM THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE
AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY SURFACE
AND TRANSPORT WINDS SHIFTING TO SOUTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY AND THEN
EASTERLY ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. FAIR TO GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION
VALUES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. LIGHTER SURFACE AND TRANSPORT
SPEEDS ON SATURDAY WILL YIELD POOR TO FAIR DAYTIME DISPERSION
VALUES, FOLLOWED BY GENERALLY FAIR VALUES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL: SIGNIFICANT FOG IS UNLIKELY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 91 73 91 71 / 60 50 80 40
SSI 88 76 89 76 / 30 20 50 60
JAX 91 73 91 72 / 60 30 70 40
SGJ 90 74 90 74 / 60 20 60 40
GNV 90 73 89 72 / 60 20 50 20
OCF 90 72 90 72 / 60 20 60 30
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
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