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NOHW40 PHFO 120128
PNSHFO
HIZ001-003-004-006-007-009>011-015>018-022-023-026>054-121330-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
328 PM HST TUE AUG 11 2026
...POTENTIAL WEATHER IMPACTS FROM DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONTINUES TO MONITOR A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER LOCATED OVER 1,000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. WHILE A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS NOT YET FORMED,
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM ON
WEDNESDAY.
THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AND TOWARD THE VICINITY OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS LATER THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE EVENTUAL TRACK,
INTENSITY, AND PROXIMITY TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THESE DETAILS
WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT INFLUENCE ON THE MAGNITUDE AND LOCATION OF
ANY IMPACTS. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE
EXPECTED MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM, SEVERAL HAZARDS COULD AFFECT
LAND AND MARINE ZONES ACROSS THE STATE.
FIRE WEATHER...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS INCREASE ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN
AND A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN
ADVANCE OF THE STORM WILL LIKELY LEAD TO HIGH WILDFIRE POTENTIAL.
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...
WINDS COULD STRENGTHEN FURTHER ON SATURDAY, THOUGH THE TIMING, DIRECTION,
AND MAGNITUDE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS REMAIN HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. EVEN IF THE CENTER
OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS, THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OF THE STORM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.
LARGE AND ROUGH SURF...
THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE A LARGE EASTERLY
SWELL AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. SURF
MAY BUILD ALONG EAST-FACING SHORES FROM EAST TO WEST AS THE SYSTEM
APPROACHES, WITH WARNING-LEVEL SURF OF 15 FEET OR LARGER POSSIBLE
INTO THE WEEKEND.
HEAVY RAINFALL...
THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL, PARTICULARLY
ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST-FACING SLOPES. OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT
COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS WHERE MOIST
TROPICAL FLOW INTERACTS WITH ISLAND TERRAIN. IF HEAVIER RAINFALL
PERSISTS OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS, FLASH FLOODING AND RAPIDLY
RISING STREAMS ARE POSSIBLE.
PREPARE NOW...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS DURING THE COMING DAYS AND USE THIS TIME TO
REVIEW HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND SUPPLIES. DO NOT FOCUS ON
ANY SINGLE MODEL FORECAST OR PROJECTED TRACK WHILE THE SYSTEM
REMAINS IN ITS EARLY STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED AS FORECAST CONFIDENCE
INCREASES.
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