537  
FXUS63 KGLD 261146  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
546 AM MDT WED SEP 26 2018  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 226 AM MDT  
WED SEP 26 2018  
 
WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED, THE SHORT TERM FORECAST  
CONCERNS ARE MAINLY TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT THREE DAYS WITH  
A POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL  
KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT.  
 
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALOFT ROTATES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE MAIN UPPER  
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS MORNING AND EMERGES OVER  
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE NORTHWEST FLOW  
ALOFT ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF  
THE UPPER TROUGH ON THURSDAY TRANSITIONS TO A MORE WESTERLY ZONAL  
FLOW FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS OUT ACROSS  
THE NORTHEAST U.S. AND WEAK RIDGING BEGINS DEVELOPING OVER THE  
WEST COAST.  
 
TEMPERATURES WARM TODAY AND THURSDAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS  
OVER EASTERN COLORADO. BY FRIDAY THAT SURFACE TROUGH WEAKENS AND  
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH A COOLER AREA OF HIGH  
PRESSURE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO  
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH THE BOUNDARY STALLING ACROSS SOUTHERN  
KANSAS LATE FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TURNS MORE ZONAL, EXPECT A FEW  
LIGHT SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND POSSIBLY MOVE ACROSS THE  
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT.  
 
THE WARMER AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN PLACE ACROSS THE  
REGION ON THURSDAY WILL PRODUCE RH VALUES LESS THAN 15% OVER THE  
FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH  
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE AT THAT TIME, NO FIRE WEATHER  
HIGHLIGHTS ARE EXPECTED.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 226 AM MDT WED SEP 26 2018  
 
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE TRI-STATE REGION  
SATURDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THE  
RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA LATER IN THE DAY SATURDAY AND REMAIN  
OVER US SUNDAY. AS THE RIDGE MOVES OFF TO OUR EAST SUNDAY,  
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP OVER THE AREA. SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES  
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S IN THE NORTH TO THE MID 80S IN THE  
SOUTH.  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITUATED OFF OF THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE  
ONSHORE MONDAY, CONTINUING TO TRACK EASTWARD. TUESDAY, THE TROUGH  
WILL PUSH INTO THE TRI-STATE REGION. A SURFACE LOW OVER NE WYOMING  
WILL TRACK SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY, REACHING THE AREA  
WEDNESDAY. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY  
WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY, BUT NOTICEABLE  
TEMPERATURE DROPS ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 401 AM MDT WED SEP 26 2018  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT GLD AND MCK THROUGH THE 12Z TAF  
PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTH WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH GLD WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND  
14KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART  
LONG TERM...AW  
AVIATION...LOCKHART  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KS Page
The Nexlab CO Page
The Nexlab NE Page Main Text Page