345
FXUS63 KGLD 132235
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
435 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- LOW STORM CHANCES MAY RETURN TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1215 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2026
A STAGNANT UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD WITH A REX BLOCK OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. THERE IS AN
ANTICYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER
TEXAS. THE END RESULT WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE FROM WHAT THE AREA
HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SEASONABLY HOT WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE IN MISSOURI AND THE LEE
TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO. THE MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL ALSO
KEEP DEW POINTS SOMEWHAT HIGH IN THE 50S AND 60S, BUT ALSO KEEP
ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT BAY DUE TO THE HIGHER HUMIDITY.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1215 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2026
THE UPPER PATTERN DOES UNDERGO A SUBTLE SHIFT IN THE LONG TERM
PERIOD. THE ANTICYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS GETS SHUNTED TO
THE SOUTHEAST, ONLY TO BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER ONE THAT
STRENGTHENS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS WEEKEND. THE UPPER
LOW OVER TEXAS ALSO SHIFTS WESTWARD AND IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO/NORTHERN MEXICO BY SUNDAY. SO THE REX BLOCK CONTINUES
BUT WILL SHIFT FURTHER WEST. THE CENTRAL PLAINS REMAINS
DISPLACED FROM THE MAIN STORM TRACK WELL TO THE NORTH OVER THE
RIDGE, BUT MAY START TO SEE SOME STORMS DRIFT OFF THE FRONT
RANGE BY THE WEEKEND WITH THE REORIENTATION OF THE UPPER
PATTERN. CHANCES STILL LOOK TO BE ON THE LOW END AS INITIATION
WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN AND STORMS WILL FADE AS THEY GET
FURTHER EAST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. SEVERE
THREAT, IF ANY, WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED TO GUSTY WINDS AND
BLOWING DUST WITH THE LACK OF SHEAR AND WEAK FORCING.
TEMPERATURES SHOW A SLOW, GRADUAL INCREASE THROUGH THE PERIOD,
AND BY SUNDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 90S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 434 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2026
VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD WITH LIGHT WINDS AND OCCASIONAL MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...024
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