044
FXUS63 KTOP 300453
AFDTOP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1053 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD THROUGH TONIGHT; NEAR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
- NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 206 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
A COLD AIRMASS REMAINS FIRMLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WITH
TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 20S UNDER FULL
INSOLATION. CURRENT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RELAX BEFORE
SUNSET. LOWS TONIGHT WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE TEENS UNDER
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS.
THE OVERALL UPCOMING WEATHER PATTERN WILL FEATURE PERSISTENT WEST TO
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER AND NEAR/ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
SHOULD PUSH SOUTH AND BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, AIDING WEAK CAA AND HENCE
A SLIGHT COOLDOWN COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES.
UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO FLATTEN OUT SOME BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT STILL INCREASING PROBABILITIES TO
YIELD MAX TEMPS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOOKING WELL AHEAD,
WE MAY START TO SEE A LARGER PATTERN CHANGE TO MORE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THAT WOULD AID IN IMPROVED CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION BY THE SECOND OR THIRD WEEK IN JANUARY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1052 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY BUT WILL REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BLAIR
AVIATION...GARGAN
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