259
FXUS63 KTOP 311852
AFDTOP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1252 PM CST WED DEC 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MIDNIGHT BRINGS INCREASING CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW
30S
- WARMING TREND RETURNS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING THROUGH MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CST WED DEC 31 2025
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS HAVE BROUGHT TEMPERATURES
TOWARD 50 ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY MID DAY THIS NEW YEARS EVE.
NEXT COLD SHOT EVIDENT ON SATELLITE AND OBSERVATIONS AS A COLD
AIR MASS AND LOW CLOUDS ARE DROPPING QUICKLY ACROSS SOUTH
DAKOTA. THIS FRONT MOVES INTO EASTERN KANSAS, SHIFTING THE
WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTH AND BRINGING COLDER TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 30S WITH CLOUDS RIGHT AROUND THE MIDNIGHT HOUR.
SOUTHWEST WINDS REDEVELOP BY MID DAY NEW YEARS DAY, AND SHOULD
CLEAR OUT ANY LINGERING LOW CLOUDS TO THE NORTHEAST, AND BRING
HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE UPPER 30S TO 40S. A SMALL SYSTEM
SLIDES ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY AND WRAPS THE AIRMASS BACK
INTO OUR AREA ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH SIMILAR HIGHS TO THURSDAY.
WARM ADVECTION RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S FOR SATURDAY AND A FEW DEGREES HIGHER ON SUNDAY, WITH
MONDAY WARMER STILL WITH MANY LOCATIONS LIKELY IN THE 60S. THE
UPTICK IN WINDS ON MONDAY WILL BRING SOME INCREASE TO FIRE
DANGER BEFORE CALMING DOWN MONDAY NIGHT. WITH THE BROAD UPPER
TROF ON THE WEST COAST ON THE APPROACH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
THE CENTRAL PLAINS REMAIN IN AN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE
PATTERN, ALONG WITH LOW TO NO CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH MID WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1117 AM CST WED DEC 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY, BEFORE A
CLOUD DECK AND NORTHERLY WINDS MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAVE MVFR
CIGS WITH FEW IFR, AND MAY NEED TO ADD A TEMPO GROUP FOR LOWER
VISBY AND CIGS AROUND THE 12-15Z TIMEFRAME WITH THE 00Z TAF
ISSUANCE. DO EXPECT TO CLEAR OUT TOWARD THE END OF THIS TAF
PERIOD SOMETIME AFTER 16Z AS WINDS VEER TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND
HIGHER CLOUDS RETURN.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CRAVEN
AVIATION...CRAVEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page