436  
FNUS74 KSHV 231057  
FWSSHV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DEAD OAK FIRE...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
557 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON AUGUST 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK WITH  
CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY 9 AM. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AROUND 5  
MPH OR LESS TODAY, EXCEPT HIGHER WITH ANY CONVECTION. OTHERWISE,  
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON  
WITH RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO  
20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT FORECAST START...MAX 104.  
RH..................74 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 9200  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5  
TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND IN THE MORNING  
AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 70 DECREASING TO 57 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 55 55 57 58 56 52 50 48 46 45 42  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............79 79 81 85 89 92 96 99 101 103 104 104  
RH..............74 74 72 65 56 47 42 36 32 30 29 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W SW SW SW W W W SE S  
20 FT WIND MPH..2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.5 4.0 6.2 8.5 9.0 9.2 8.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W NW NW NE NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 7 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W NW NW NE NW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..2 5 7 10 18 23 41 52 68 71 72 57  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 79.  
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN  
THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5  
METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........35 32 33 36 37 31 20 14 14 14 14 15  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CWR.............20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............103 101 96 90 87 86 86 85 84 83 82 81  
RH..............29 31 38 47 53 55 55 59 61 65 67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 10 12 12 12 13 14 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.7 2.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N SE E S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..N SE E S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..37 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 8 5  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 104.  
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
LVORI...............2.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 16 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 50 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 72  
INCREASING TO 90 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 79 INCREASING TO 93 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 18 24 35 41 42 44 45 44 41 40 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 79 81 85 89 93 97 99 101 103 104 104  
RH..............69 72 69 59 50 43 37 33 31 28 28 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 14 15 16 16 17 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.9 4.5 5.9 5.5 6.3 7.3 6.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 15 15 14 14 14 13 14 12 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 6  
DISPERSION IDX..5 11 16 29 36 50 72 90 79 96 89 93  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...MAYEAUX  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW CHELF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620296.0/SHV  
.DELDT 08/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
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