538  
FNUS74 KSHV 171924  
FWSSHV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WINN BU114...USDA FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
224 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT YOUR NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 229, AND LIKEWISE  
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOOKS SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH MORNING LOW CLOUDS THAT WILL PEAK  
SUNSHINE IN THE AFTERNOON WHILE LIFTING. LIKEWISE, THE MIXING  
HEIGHTS WILL PEAK SOARING TO 5KFT BY MID AFTERNOON WITH TRANSPORT  
TO THE N ACROSS THE FOREST, SPLITTING BETWEEN RUSTON AND MONROE  
LATE DAY. THE INITIAL SMOKE DISPERSION WILL LINGER UNTIL MID TO  
UPPER 70S ARE ACHIEVED DURING MID MORNING. S WINDS AROUND 10 MPH  
WILL BE GUSTY TO 20-25 MPH MID AFTERNOON WITH MIN RH A POTENTIAL  
CHALLANGE ALL DAY ONLY SINKING INTO THE UPPER 50% RANGE THROUGH  
LATE DAY. EVENTUALLY, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A LIGHT E WIND  
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH A REPEAT OF MONDAY FOR TUESDAY, BUT  
TURNING WET AND PERHAPS GOOD AND WET AS THE FRONT WILL STALL OVER  
CENLA AND SW FLOW ALOFT KEEPS CHANCES HIGH WITH 3 INCH TOTALS  
POSSIBLE OVER THIS NEXT WEEK.  
 
   
MONDAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 80 79 75 69 66 63 57 54 51  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............74 77 79 84 86 88 89 89 89 88  
RH..............90 85 82 70 65 61 57 57 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 21 21 21 22 22 22 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.2 2.8 3.3 4.0 4.3 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 20 21 21 20 20 21 20 20  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........44 41 40 38 36 37 39 40 49 67 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............87 84 80 79 78 77 77 75 74 74 74 74  
RH..............61 65 74 74 76 79 82 87 90 90 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..8 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 18 17 17 16 16 17 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 12 12 12 12 10 10 12 13 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 6 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 78 77 75 73 69 60 56 57 59 60 61  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............75 75 77 79 82 84 86 88 89 89 88 86  
RH..............90 90 85 82 77 72 65 61 59 61 63 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 18 18 18 17 16 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.4 2.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 13 14 16 16 16 15 14 13 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHATELAIN  
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES DAVIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613715.1/SHV  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHARLES.G.DAVIS@USDA.GOV  
 
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