905
FNUS74 KSHV 171436
FWSSHV
SPOT FORECAST FOR CIRCLE C...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
936 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2022
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
GOOD MORNING, TOUGH FORECAST FOR YOU ALL CURRENTLY UP THERE IN
RED RIVER. LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS RIGHT ON TOP OF YOU
ALL WHICH SHOULD MAKE WIND CONDITIONS QUITE SWIRLY FOR YOU THIS
MORNING. WINDS IN SOUTHWEST MCCURTAIN COUNTY NEAR IDABEL ARE OUT
OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH WHILE WINDS IN LAMAR COUNTY NEAR
PARIS ARE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5-8 MPH. WINDS WILL
EVENTUALLY SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST SHORTLY AS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SAG SOUTH OF YOU. THIS WILL ALSO BRING A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN WIND SPEED BUT WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. RH
VALUES BEHIND THE FRONT ARE UP TO AROUND 85 TO 90 PERCENT OPPOSED
TO BEING AROUND 50-60 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. RADAR IMAGERY
IS SHOWING SOME SHOWERS TO THE NORTH OF YOUR LOCATION IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING THAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY WORK INTO YOUR AREA
BY LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. QUICK RECAP,
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY (IF THEY
HAVE NOT ALREADY), INCREASING RH VALUES AND AN INCREASE IN
PRECIPITATION CHANCES LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........88 AT FORECAST START...MAX 98.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 6700
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 36 42 45 45 45 45 44
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 40 40 40 50 50
TEMP............88 91 94 95 95 96 96 93
RH..............52 47 44 43 43 40 40 46
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14 16 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 4.3 5.5 6.2 6.7 6.5 6.3 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 8 8 8 8 8 9
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW W
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...THORNE
REQUESTED BY...STEPHANIE ELLEDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2216841.0/SHV
.DELDT 08/17/22
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL ZACHARY.WILKERSON@TFS.TAMU.EDU
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