368
FNUS74 KSHV 221752
FWSSHV
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE TREE RD....ARKANSAS FORESTRY DIVISION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1252 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 CDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT AND SOME PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS. 20FT
WINDS TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH SUNSET, HOWEVER WITH AN
APPROACHING COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE LIKELY TO SHIFT FROM NW THIS AFTERNOON AND
BECOME E BETWEEN SUNSET AND MIDNIGHT, WHERE HIGHER WINDS NEAR
15 MPH MAY BE EXPERIENCED DURING THE SHIFT. CONFIDENCE IN RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE LOW; AN ISOLATED POP-UP THUNDERSTORM
CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH SUNSET, HOWEVER, WITH A MORE
AGGRESSIVE AND ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX PUSHING ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN AR LATER THIS EVENING, THERE MAY EXIST THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVERALL RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS
THAN 1 INCH AND WILL BE BRIEF. LIGHTNING AND WIND WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT, WHERE WINDS COULD BECOME TEMPORARILY STRONG,
GUSTY, AND ERRATIC. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CURRENTLY APPEAR LESS
PROBABLE ON SUNDAY, WITH ANOTHER HOT AND DRY DAY WITH MIN RH
VALUES BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT, LIGHT SURFACE WINDS, AND ANOTHER
SHIFT IN TRANSPORT WINDS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON FROM SE TO W/NW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........101 AT FORECAST START...MAX 104.
RH..................AROUND 35 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 9600
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............1.
DISPERSION INDEX....44 INCREASING TO 62 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15 26 32 28 21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............101 103 104 103 101
RH..............35 31 29 25 28
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW NW W NW
20 FT WIND MPH..5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST. 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.6 8.8 9.6 8.4 7.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 5 6
TRANS WIND DIR..N NW NW NW NW
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 2 3
DISPERSION IDX..41 46 62 45 51
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 73.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO
AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........17 24 39 46 48 52 54 64 39 37 46 48
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 30 30 30 20 20 20 30 30
TEMP............98 93 87 83 81 79 77 77 76 75 74 74
RH..............38 46 57 65 72 77 79 82 82 87 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE E NE NE E NE N
20 FT WIND MPH..3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E NE NE E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 10 9 8 12 10 7 7 6 6 7 6
TRANS WIND DIR..NE E E E NE NE E E E E E NE
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
DISPERSION IDX..38 5 4 4 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 99.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST AROUND
5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO
8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
EAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3
METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 75 DECREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 53.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 48 39 56 38 32 23 26 34 42 44 57
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............73 73 78 82 87 90 93 97 98 99 99 98
RH..............93 93 82 72 61 56 49 42 41 38 38 39
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE E E E SE E NE N NE
20 FT WIND MPH..1 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 7 8 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 3.2 4.6 6.1 9.6 9.8 8.4 7.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E NE W W N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E NE W W N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
DISPERSION IDX..3 6 8 12 19 28 40 51 75 63 56 53
LVORI...........6 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...KOVACIK
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY MCKINNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620241.0/SHV
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WESLEY.MCKINNEY@ARKANSAS.GOV
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