074  
FNUS74 KSHV 161056  
FWSSHV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH TOLEDO BEND WMA...TPWD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
556 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON JULY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT  
THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE, COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT, SHOULD  
GENERALLY RESULT IN RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.  
BUT, A STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT. ALSO, IT  
WILL BE HOT AND HUMID, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER  
90S OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD CLIMB OVER  
4000 FT, WITH MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 40 TO 50 PERCENT. ONE THING OF  
NOTE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND IS THE  
POSSIBILITY OF RAIN CHANCES RETURNING FROM THE EAST, AS MODELS  
HINT AT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTHERN GULF.  
   
TODAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 22 2 2 2 0 1 1 0 11 12 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 77 79 80 83 86 87 90 91 91 93 92  
RH..............88 90 88 85 77 68 63 56 54 52 49 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.0 6.2 5.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..W SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 7 15 25 35 45 53 59 65 66 61 43  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 24 21 24 21 24 19 19 26 24 52 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............92 91 87 84 83 82 81 81 79 79 78 78  
RH..............51 54 63 70 70 74 74 74 79 79 85 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND MPH..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..21 3 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 42 17 22 25 24 22 23 24 25 25 32  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............78 77 79 81 84 86 89 91 92 92 93 92  
RH..............82 88 85 79 72 68 59 56 54 52 51 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NE NE NE S S  
20 FT WIND MPH..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.5 5.0 6.2 7.0 7.2 6.6 5.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW N NE E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 6 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW N NE E E E SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
DISPERSION IDX..6 7 6 7 10 18 27 35 39 40 37 26  
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...PENDLETON  
REQUESTED BY...BOB BAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2518105.0/SHV  
.DELDT 07/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT.BAKER@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV  
 
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