905  
FNUS74 KSHV 171436  
FWSSHV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CIRCLE C...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
936 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GOOD MORNING, TOUGH FORECAST FOR YOU ALL CURRENTLY UP THERE IN  
RED RIVER. LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS RIGHT ON TOP OF YOU  
ALL WHICH SHOULD MAKE WIND CONDITIONS QUITE SWIRLY FOR YOU THIS  
MORNING. WINDS IN SOUTHWEST MCCURTAIN COUNTY NEAR IDABEL ARE OUT  
OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH WHILE WINDS IN LAMAR COUNTY NEAR  
PARIS ARE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5-8 MPH. WINDS WILL  
EVENTUALLY SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST SHORTLY AS THE FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SAG SOUTH OF YOU. THIS WILL ALSO BRING A  
SLIGHT INCREASE IN WIND SPEED BUT WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. RH  
VALUES BEHIND THE FRONT ARE UP TO AROUND 85 TO 90 PERCENT OPPOSED  
TO BEING AROUND 50-60 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. RADAR IMAGERY  
IS SHOWING SOME SHOWERS TO THE NORTH OF YOUR LOCATION IN SOUTHEAST  
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING THAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY WORK INTO YOUR AREA  
BY LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. QUICK RECAP,  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY (IF THEY  
HAVE NOT ALREADY), INCREASING RH VALUES AND AN INCREASE IN  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON  
HOURS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........88 AT FORECAST START...MAX 98.  
RH..................52 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 6700  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 36 42 45 45 45 45 44  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 10 10 40 40 40 50 50  
TEMP............88 91 94 95 95 96 96 93  
RH..............52 47 44 43 43 40 40 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14 16 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 4.3 5.5 6.2 6.7 6.5 6.3 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 8 8 8 8 8 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...THORNE  
REQUESTED BY...STEPHANIE ELLEDGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2216841.0/SHV  
.DELDT 08/17/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL ZACHARY.WILKERSON@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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