565
FNUS74 KSHV 171425
FWSSHV
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELL ROCK WF...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
925 AM CDT THU SEP 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SURFACE WINDS TODAY WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON, MOSTLY LESS THAN 5 MPH. CONDITIONS WILL GET DRY AS
DAYTIME MIXING GETS GOING, WITH RH'S DROPPING INTO THE 30% RANGE
BY MID AFTERNOON. NO WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE
BURN AREA TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........85 AT FORECAST START...MAX 97.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 7200
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO
5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST 1 TO 2 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 7 15 34 44 40 37 33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............85 88 92 94 95 96 97 95
RH..............61 54 46 41 39 36 34 36
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE SE
20 FT WIND MPH..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 5 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.6 5.9 7.0 7.2 6.5 6.4 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 3 5 5 5
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
DISPERSION IDX..15 23 32 38 41 40 36 25
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........31 31 25 21 14 9 10 13 14 11 8 10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............94 91 87 84 82 80 79 77 76 75 74 74
RH..............37 42 50 57 63 67 69 74 76 79 82 82
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND MPH..3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 5 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 6
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
DISPERSION IDX..13 3 0 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 97.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 46 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 65 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 43.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 7 6 6 9 8 13 19 20 18 15 11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 72 74 79 85 88 91 93 95 96 96 97
RH..............84 87 82 69 55 48 42 37 33 30 29 28
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE
20 FT WIND MPH..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 8 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.9 5.1 6.7 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.1 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
DISPERSION IDX..5 6 6 6 12 27 46 61 68 68 61 43
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...CRUMBACHER
REQUESTED BY...K WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622067.0/SHV
.DELDT 09/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV
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