882
FNUS74 KSHV 151948
FWSSHV
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRIENDSHIP TRAIL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
248 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (318) 631-3669 EXT. 241, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
DISCUSSION
A POWERFUL DRY COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN AREA FIRE DISTRICTS
OVERNIGHT INTO THE DAY FRIDAY, WITH UNSEASONABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
TO FOLLOW. THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE EXTREMELY DRY,
PLUNGING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY,
REACHING AND MAINTAINING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH
THE DAY, WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THE PASSAGE OF THIS
FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT WETTING RAINFALL
TO IMPROVE OUR ALREADY CRITICALLY DRY FUELS. ON TOP OF THE
PROLONGED AND WORSENING DROUGHT, THESE CONDITIONS MERIT AN
AREAWIDE RED FLAG WARNING, IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT FORECAST START...MAX 77.
RH..................97 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 13
TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 3900
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20
TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 57
DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41 51 55 51 72 69 71 73 72 67 60 56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 70 68 67 68 69 70 71 72 75 74 73
RH..............97 90 97 100 93 84 73 66 57 45 43 40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND MPH..3 13 13 13 15 15 15 17 17 17 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.12 17 22 23 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 16 20 20 22 22 23 22 22 22 23
DISPERSION IDX..5 10 19 31 41 48 53 57 60 60 58 50
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 23 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 22.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........47 29 18 14 16 19 31 40 19 13 23 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 70 66 65 65 63 63 61 60 59 57 55
RH..............35 38 42 43 43 44 44 50 51 51 55 59
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND MPH..18 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 29 29 29 29 30 29 30 30 29 29
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.6 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 21 21 21 20 20 18 20 20 18
DISPERSION IDX..39 29 24 20 19 17 17 18 18 19 22 26
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
DISPERSION INDEX....35 INCREASING TO 49 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 15 0 0 0 1 4 5 4 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 54 52 54 55 58 60 63 65 67 69 68
RH..............61 61 69 66 66 60 58 52 48 45 42 44
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N
20 FT WIND MPH..16 15 15 15 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.28 26 24 25 23 22 21 20 20 20 20 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.1 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 20 20 21 20 18 16 15 15 14 13
DISPERSION IDX..32 38 44 50 53 52 49 46 46 46 43 31
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...PENDLETON
REQUESTED BY...D. MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623851.0/SHV
.DELDT 10/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.MORRIS@USDA.GOV
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