797
FXUS64 KSHV 022330 AAA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
630 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
- HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK, AS
UPPER RIDGING BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA.
- SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN ACROSS OUR EASTERN FORECAST
ZONES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
SUPER NICE SUMMER DAY GOING WITH A FAIR WEATHER CU FIELD AREAWIDE
AND 1PM TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND 90 DEGREES. THE NORTHERLY WIND
HAS RH FALLING THROUGH THE 40% RANGE AND STILL A FEW HOURS FROM
MAYBE SOME 30% MINS. THE DEW POINTS HAVE RUN AWAY FROM THE NBM IN
THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S NOW AND RANG IN A BIG MISS ON LAST
NIGHT'S LOWS WITH EVERY SITE COOLER THAN EXPECTED. HIGHS WILL END
UP IN THE LOW TO MID 90S AS THE CU FIELD THINS LATER AND THEN
OVERNIGHT MAYBE A REPEAT PERFORMANCE WITH VERY COMFORTABLE LOWS.
LITTLE CHANGE FOR US IN THE WAKE OF THIS WESTERLIES UPPER TROUGH
LIFTING ACROSS THE OH RIVER VALLEY. THE MODELS LAG THE BASE OVER
THE APPALACHIANS AND ACTUALLY CLOSE OFF A WEAK CORE THAT WILL
DRIFT OVER GA/NC/SC FOR MIDWEEK. THIS EFFECTIVELY WILL KEEP THE
INTERMOUNTAIN UPPER RIDGE APART FROM THE BERMUDA RIDGE, WHICH THE
MODELS HAVE EXPRESSED IN VARIOUS OTHER WAYS OVER THE LAST FEW
DAYS. AND THE GOOD NEWS FOR US IS THAT GENTLY SINKING AIR WILL
KEEP US DRY, BUT AVERAGE HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL SLOWLY BUMP OUR MAX
TEMPS THROUGH THE MID AND INTO THE UPPER 90S DURING THE WEEK
AHEAD.
MEANWHILE, THE DRY AIR WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX IN CHECK
THROUGH MONDAY WITH A FEW CALCULATIONS IN DEEP E TX LEANING TO OR
SLIGHTLY MORE THAN 105 BY TUESDAY. INCREASINGLY, MORE OF OUR
COUNTIES AND PARISHES WILL SEE LIKEWISE THE SAME WITH HEAT
HEADLINES AGAIN PART OF OUR FORECAST BY MIDWEEK. ALL DUE TO THE
WINDS SHIFTING FROM NE ON MONDAY TO E AND SE LATE DAY, AND THEN
PREVAILING SOUTHERLY, SLOWLY TRANSPORTING THE MUGGY GULF AIR BACK
WELL INLAND FOR MID TO LATE WEEK. EVENTUALLY WE WILL SEE ENOUGH
MOISTURE BACK IN PLAY FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION BY FRIDAY
AND NEXT WEEKEND. /24/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 03/00Z TAF PERIOD. WRAP-
AROUND CU CIGS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SW AR/N LA AND INTO PORTIONS OF ADJACENT EXTREME
ERN TX, BUT SHOULD SCATTER OUT TO SOME EXTENT, WITH MUCH OF E TX
EXPECTED TO BECOME SKC. THE CIGS THAT DO PERSIST MAY LOWER
BY/SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK MONDAY, BEFORE LIFTING AGAIN WITH THE
ONSET OF DIURNAL HEATING, WHILE ALSO SPREADING WNW BY MID TO LATE
MORNING ACROSS E TX. THE CU SHOULD EVENTUALLY DIMINISH SHORTLY
AFTER THE END OF THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT WILL
REMAIN VRB AROUND 5KTS BY MID-MORNING, BUT TAKE ON MORE OF A SSE
COMPONENT AROUND 5KTS ACROSS E TX. /15/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK. /24/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 71 97 74 98 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 69 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 66 95 69 98 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 69 95 73 97 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 66 94 70 96 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 71 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 71 97 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 69 97 73 97 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...15
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page