466
FXUS64 KSHV 261902
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
102 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
- HIGHS WILL CLIMB BACK ABOVE FREEZING TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
MOST, BUT FALL BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR SOME
REFREEZE.
- LOW END PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN LATE THURSDAY AND INTO
FRIDAY AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
A MOSTLY CLOUD FREE PRESENTATION ON GOES VISIBLE SHOWCASES THE
WIDESPREAD IMPACTS OF THE WEEKEND WINTER STORM AS SNOW AND ICE IS
PRESENT FROM CENTRAL NEW MEXICO ALL THE WAY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND NORTHEAST STATES. BACK AT HOME, A COLD AFTERNOON IS UNDERWAY
WITH HIGHS BARELY REACHING FREEZING THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE IS QUICKLY FILLING IN OVERHEAD, ALLOWING FOR AMPLE
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THAT BEING SAID, THIS SAME HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS TO GO MOSTLY CALM OVERNIGHT, WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO
GO COLDER TONIGHT WHEN COMPARED TO THIS MORNING AS THE LAST NIGHT
OF OUR EXTREME COLD WARNING FINISHES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS. COMBINE THIS AIRMASS WITH THE PRESENT ICE PACK ON THE
GROUND AND THIS WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPS
OVERNIGHT. THE GOOD NEWS HOWEVER IS THAT A QUICK LOOK OUTSIDE THIS
AFTERNOON SHOWS THAT SOME MELTING IS OCCURING, BUT GIVEN THAT
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING, ANY SIGNIFICANT MELTING
WON'T OCCUR UNTIL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE 40'S TO NEAR 50 DEG F. WE CLIMB EVEN FURTHER INTO
THE 50'S BY THURSDAY, WHICH WILL HELP TO EAT AWAY AT THE PRESENT
ICE PACK.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT, LOW END POPS DO RETURN TO THE FORECAST AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTH ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. GIVEN A
WEAK MOISTURE SIGNATURE AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE FORCING, THINKING
WAS THAT THE BASE NBM PROBS FOR PRECIP WERE A BIT OVERDONE. AS A
RESULT, THESE HAVE BEEN CUT DOWN TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME UNCERTAINTY
AND LIMITED CONFIDENCE. GIVEN THE SENSITIVITY FROM RECENT EVENTS
OVER THE WEEKEND, CONFIDENCE IN FURTHER WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS
REMAIN LOW AT THIS TIME. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL KICK OUT OF THE
REGION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, AS ANOTHER COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS SPILLS
SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE REGION FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS OF
RIGHT NOW, THE INFLUENCE OF THE AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT
OVERNIGHT LOWS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20'S
ONCE AGAIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO MODERATE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RK
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
DEALING WITH SOME MVFR CEILING IMPACTS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN AIRSPACE INVOLVING THE MLU AND LFK TERMINALS ONLY ATTM.
THIS CU FIELD SHOULD BEGIN DISSIPATING AND/OR LIFTING AS WE GO
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND
VERY COLD CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT BUT VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
LOOK FOR INCREASING CIRRUS AS WE GO THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY
SPREADING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS OUR AIRSPACE. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY NEAR 10KTS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT. LOOK FOR SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS POST SUNRISE ON
TUESDAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 10KTS.
13
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 536 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK. /15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 32 13 42 21 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 30 15 44 24 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 31 5 39 14 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 30 11 39 19 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 31 11 42 16 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 30 15 40 20 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 33 13 40 19 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 35 14 43 20 / 0 0 0 0
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR ARZ050-051-
059>061-070>073.
LA...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR LAZ001>006-
010>014-017>022.
OK...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR OKZ077.
TX...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...13
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