283
FXUS64 KSHV 300639
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1239 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
- PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- A LOW-END CHANCE OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE I-30 CORRIDOR INTO SOUTH ARKANSAS ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY MORNINGS.
- ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BY THE END OF NEXT
WEEK WITH PRECIPITATION TOTALS OF 1-2 INCHES LIKELY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
PRECIPITATION IS ONGOING AS RAINFALL ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
AT THIS TIME, SHIFTING GRADUALLY EASTWARD WITH MOST THUNDERSTORMS
WELL SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. SUBSEQUENT FRONTAL PASSAGE BY
TOMORROW WILL INTRODUCE THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON SO FAR.
COMBINED WITH PACIFIC MOISTURE ALOFT, GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
INDICATE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION ON , MOST
LIKELY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN (SLEET CANNOT BE RULED OUT).
WHILE SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS, IT IS MORE IN REGARDS TO THE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TYPE INSTEAD OF ODDS OF ITS OCCURRENCE AT ALL
(WHICH IS NOW UP TO THE 40-50% RANGE NORTH OF I-30). TEMPERATURES
BY SUNDAY, AS THE NEXT AIR MASS IS USHERED IN WITH FRONTAL
PASSAGE, WILL BE BACK BELOW NORMAL INTO THE FIRST DAYS OF DECEMBER
WITH MAXIMUMS IN THE 50S, AND MINIMUMS IN THE 20S-30S AT THE
COLDEST ON MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE REBOUNDING BACK TO NEAR-NORMAL BY
MID-WEEK. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE PATTERN CONTINUING WITH
YET ANOTHER TROUGH TRAVERSING THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST, EXITING TO A
CONFLUENCE OF PACIFIC MOISTURE FOR PRECIPITATION RETURNING BY
LATE WEDNESDAY. /16/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
FOR THE 30/06Z TAF PERIOD...A MIX BAG OF FLIGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION, AS LOW CIGS, ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. THE FRONT HAS DIPPED SOUTH OF THE I-30 CORRIDOR AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT,
EXPECT GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS TO BRING IN COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS, WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING DURING THE MORNING AT
MOST SITES. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL PROBABLY BE AT KLFK, AND POSSIBLY
KMLU, WHERE PROGS ARE KEEPING LOW CIGS FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD.
LIGHT RAIN WILL RETURN AT KLFK BY THE END OF THE PERIOD, ALONG
WITH MVFR CIGS AT THE REMAINING SITES. /20/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 117 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2025
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN
EAST TEXAS.
/19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 49 38 43 34 / 10 20 70 50
MLU 49 35 42 33 / 40 20 80 70
DEQ 46 28 38 24 / 0 10 60 40
TXK 47 32 39 29 / 0 10 60 40
ELD 44 30 37 26 / 0 10 70 60
TYR 47 37 42 31 / 0 20 60 30
GGG 48 35 43 30 / 0 20 70 40
LFK 51 38 47 33 / 20 30 80 50
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...20
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