676  
FXUS64 KSHV 131123  
AFDSHV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
623 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025  
 
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES LOW AND TEMPERATURES HIGH  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE FOUR STATE  
REGION.  
 
- OUTDOOR HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO LIMIT MORE  
DANGEROUS HEAT, BUT TEMPORARILY ENHANCE WILDFIRE AND DROUGHT  
DEVELOPMENT RISKS FURTHER INTO SEPTEMBER.  
 
- INCREASED RAIN CHANCES WILL SLOWLY RETURN TO PORTIONS OF THE  
REGION BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025  
 
PERSISTENT RIDGING ALOFT WILL CONTROL WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS  
THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP  
THE ATMOSPHERE SUPPRESSED ENOUGH FOR ALMOST NO RAINFALL THROUGH  
THE SAME PERIOD WITH VARIABLY LIGHT WINDS AND ABOVE-NORMAL  
TEMPERATURE MAXIMUMS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR (UPPER 90S). THE  
ONLY REPRIEVE FROM MORE DANGEROUS HEAT WILL COME FROM DEW POINTS  
REMAINING IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S WITH MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE  
SUGGESTING LOWER 60S INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO  
BREAK DOWN ACROSS THE MIDWEST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
VALLEY AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THAT SAID, THIS GRADUALLY  
DRIER AIR WILL BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER  
AND DROUGHT DEVELOPMENT INTO NEXT WEEK. LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE  
SUGGESTS FURTHER DEGRADATION OF THIS RIDGING THAT OPENS THE DOOR  
FOR A SYNOPTIC PATTERN CHANGE TO TROUGHING ACROSS THE GREAT  
PLAINS, AND ENHANCES OUR CHANCES OF RAIN INTO LATE SEPTEMBER. /16/  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025  
 
FOR THE 13/12Z TAF UPDATE...RADAR IMAGERY HAD A LONE STORM  
TRACKING THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS MORNING WELL TO THE  
SOUTH OF KMLU AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT ANY TERMINALS AT THIS  
TIME. THAT BEING SAID, KMLU HAS BEEN OUR ONLY TERMINAL THIS  
MORNING TO DROP IN VISIBILITY FROM BR THIS MORNING. STILL NOT  
THINKING IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO CARRY IT FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF  
TIME SO I HAVE PREVAILED SKC FOR ALL TERMINALS THIS MORNING. BY  
13/16Z WE SHOULD HAVE ANOTHER CU FIELD DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION,  
SO I HAVE MAINTAINED MENTION OF SCT050 FOR THE LATE MORNING AND  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT  
THIS TAF PERIOD. /33/  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
SHV 97 73 96 73 / 0 0 0 0  
MLU 96 68 95 68 / 0 0 0 0  
DEQ 93 68 92 68 / 0 0 0 0  
TXK 96 71 95 71 / 0 0 0 0  
ELD 96 67 94 67 / 0 0 0 0  
TYR 93 72 91 71 / 0 0 0 0  
GGG 94 70 94 70 / 0 0 0 0  
LFK 95 70 94 70 / 0 0 0 0  
 
 
   
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...16  
AVIATION...33  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab LA Page
The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab AR Page
The Nexlab OK Page
Main Text Page