680
FNUS73 KDVN 101516
FWSDVN
SPOT FORECAST FOR VIRGINIA GROVE POND PRAIRIE...LOUISA COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL
1016 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES AT (563) 386-3815.
DISCUSSION
THERE IS HIGH CHANCES (50 TO 97%) FOR A WETTING RAIN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2+ INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. ACCOMPANYING THIS RAIN CHANCE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING, MAINLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. COLDER AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS WITH RAIN AND
SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY.
THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...ANYTIME AFTER 3 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...73.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY 3 PM.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (35400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................5.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 73 77 65 56 49 41
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 20 20 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 20 20 30 30
TEMP............64 66 68 70 71 73 73
RH..............81 78 76 68 68 64 64
APARNT TMP (F)..64 66 68 70 71 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 9 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 15 16 16 15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE SE SE S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 6 6 5
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 8 9 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 13 17 21 18
GFDI............3 3 4 5 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/100011 14 16 18 27 35 24
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...48 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...ENDING BRIEFLY 1-3 AM BUT REDEVELOP BETWEEN
4 AND 7 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...39.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST UP TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHEAST BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12
TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
GFDI................3.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........46 67 54 80 84 92
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 40 30 30 40
CHC OF THDR (%).50 50 40 30 30 10
TEMP............70 64 58 54 51 48
RH..............68 81 93 96 93 93
APARNT TMP (F)..70 64 58 54 51 43
20 FT WIND......S 9 S 6 SW 5 NW 7 NW 9 N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15 9 7 12 15 18
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5 S 4 SW 3 NW 4 NW 5 N 7
EYE LVL WND GST.9 5 4 7 9 11
MIX HGT (FT)....900 700 1100 1200 1200 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 W 13 NW 14 N 12 N 14 N 16
GFDI............5 2 1 2 3 4
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 8 14 12 14 14
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...ENDING AROUND 1 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 36
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (113400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (116300
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GFDI................9 INCREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........91 91 88 88 77 56
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 60 60 60 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 40 41 42 44 44
RH..............96 92 89 79 68 62
APARNT TMP (F)..36 31 32 33 35 36
20 FT WIND......N 14 N 17 NW 18 NW 21 NW 22 NW 21
20 FT WIND GUST.22 28 28 29 31 31
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 8 N 10 NW 11 NW 13 NW 13 NW 13
EYE LVL WND GST.13 17 17 17 19 19
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1500 1900 2800 3800 4800
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 NW 21 NW 21 NW 28 NW 35 NW 35
GFDI............4 7 7 10 13 14
SDSPL KT-FT/100019 27 35 67 113 144
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...JACOB EWART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605319.0/DVN
.DELDT 03/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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