143  
FNUS54 KJAN 161923  
FWFJAN  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS,  
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE FORECAST  
PERIOD. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO MID AFTERNOON, DIMINISHING  
LATER TODAY AND SIGNIFICANTLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. WHILE DAYTIME  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL INTO THE 30-35% RANGE DURING THE DAY  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WEAKENING WINDS WILL KEEP THE FIRE THREAT  
LOW. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
USE THE FOLLOWING LINK FOR A GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF LVORI INDICES:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/FIRE_WEATHER_LVORI  
 
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-171015-  
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CROSSETT, NORTH CROSSETT, HAMBURG,  
WEST CROSSETT, DERMOTT, LAKE VILLAGE, EUDORA, BASTROP, OAK GROVE,  
EPPS, AND LAKE PROVIDENCE  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-10) 73 (+1) 46 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+2) 26 (-4) 84 32  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 61 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1861 1667  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 6105 5468  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 SE 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 SE 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 5755 3436  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 42125 25153  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
STABILITY F B F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 8 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 47 1 26  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-171015-  
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-  
HOLMES-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLEVELAND, INDIANOLA, RULEVILLE,  
GREENWOOD, GRENADA, VAIDEN, NORTH CARROLLTON, CARROLLTON,  
GREENVILLE, BELZONI, ISOLA, DURANT, TCHULA, LEXINGTON, PICKENS,  
AND GOODMAN  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-10) 73 (+3) 45 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-3) 27 (-4) 88 34  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 60 64  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1852 1596  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 6076 5236  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 SE 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 SE 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 6682 3291  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 48912 24086  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
STABILITY F B F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 8 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 52 1 28  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ028>033-037>039-171015-  
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-  
NOXUBEE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WINONA, EUPORA, MATHISTON, WEST POINT,  
COLUMBUS, ACKERMAN, WEIR, STARKVILLE, KOSCIUSKO, LOUISVILLE,  
MACON, AND BROOKSVILLE  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-15) 70 (+1) 44 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+1) 31 (-2) 87 36  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 59 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1700 1506  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5576 4942  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 E 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 E 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 7885 3106  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 57712 22733  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
STABILITY F B F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 9 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 57 1 27  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ040>044-047>050-171015-  
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-  
SCOTT-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MAYERSVILLE, ROLLING FORK, ANGUILLA,  
YAZOO CITY, RIDGELAND, MADISON, CANTON, CARTHAGE, VICKSBURG,  
JACKSON, PEARL, BRANDON, RICHLAND, FOREST, AND MORTON  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-14) 72 (+1) 45 74  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+3) 28 (-3) 84 33  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 62 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1818 1614  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5963 5294  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 E 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 E 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 7495 3327  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 54860 24352  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
STABILITY F C F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 9 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 57 1 27  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ045-046-051-052-057-058-171015-  
NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PHILADELPHIA, PEARL RIVER, DE KALB,  
SCOOBA, NEWTON, UNION, DECATUR, CONEHATTA, MERIDIAN, BAY SPRINGS,  
HEIDELBERG, QUITMAN, STONEWALL, AND SHUBUTA  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-17) 70 (+1) 44 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-2) 31 (-1) 79 37  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 60 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1666 1443  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5465 4734  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 E 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 E 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 8586 2975  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 62848 21776  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
STABILITY F C F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 8 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 57 1 25  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
LAZ015-016-023>026-171015-  
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RAYVILLE, DELHI, TALLULAH, WINNSBORO,  
JONESVILLE, HARRISONBURG, NEWELLTON, ST. JOSEPH, WATERPROOF,  
VIDALIA, FERRIDAY, AND WEST FERRIDAY  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-12) 72 (+1) 48 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-5) 28 (-3) 78 33  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 63 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1815 1670  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5954 5479  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 E 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 E 3  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 8419 2583  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 61624 18903  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
STABILITY F C F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 6 4  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 59 1 23  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ053-054-059>062-171015-  
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT GIBSON, CRYSTAL SPRINGS, HAZLEHURST,  
WESSON, FAYETTE, NATCHEZ, BUDE, ROXIE, MEADVILLE, AND BROOKHAVEN  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-13) 72 (+1) 48 74  
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-9) 32 (0) 75 38  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 63 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1709 1580  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5606 5185  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 E 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 E 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 7927 3259  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 58022 23851  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
STABILITY F C F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 8 4  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 59 1 22  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ055-056-063>066-072>074-171015-  
SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-  
LAMAR-FORREST-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MAGEE, MENDENHALL, TAYLORSVILLE, RALEIGH,  
MONTICELLO, NEW HEBRON, PRENTISS, BASSFIELD, COLLINS,  
MOUNT OLIVE, LAUREL, COLUMBIA, WEST HATTIESBURG, LUMBERTON,  
PURVIS, AND HATTIESBURG  
223 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-14) 71 (0) 48 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-10) 31 (-1) 75 38  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
RAIN DURATN(HRS)  
RAIN AMOUNT(INS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SILT/500M MLT (F) 62 63  
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1676 1495  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5499 4905  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 E 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 E 5  
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 8640 3083  
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 63239 22563  
STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
STABILITY F C F B  
WIND SHIFTS  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MAXIMUM LVORI 8 4  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 68 1 24  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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