972
FXUS63 KGLD 100740
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
140 AM MDT FRI JUL 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGHS LARGELY IN THE 90S ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK.
- A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70.
- INCREASING SIGNAL FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS STARTING THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 140 AM MDT FRI JUL 10 2026
THE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE COMING TO AN END IN THE AREA AS THE MAIN
LINE HAS PUSHED WELL EAST OF THE AREA. THIS IS FORECAST TO ALLOW FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TO HAVE LIGHT WINDS AND
SLOWLY CLEARING SKIES. TEMPERATURES SHOULD DROP INTO THE 50S IN
EASTERN COLORADO AND IN THE 60S FOR THE REST OF THE AREA.
THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS ARE FORECAST TO BE SLIGHTLY MORE
MILD TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY WITH TEMPERATURES MORE IN THE 80S
WITH SLIGHT UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE PLAINS. OTHERWISE, NOT MUCH IS
FORECAST TO BE DIFFERENT FROM THE PRIOR DAYS WITH WEAK FLOW LEADING
TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WHILE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE DAY.
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP JUST WEST OF THE AREA AND TRY AND PUSH INTO THE AREA.
HOWEVER, WITH RIDGING FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALOFT AND THE SURFACE LOW
FORECAST TO BE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH, COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD BE
LOWER. THE CURRENT FORECAST FAVORS STORMS STAYING SOUTH OF I-70 AND
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT STORMS MISS THE AREA COMPLETELY IF THE LOW
SHIFTS TOO FAR SOUTH OR THE STORMS CAQN'T SUSTAIN THEMSELVES. IF
THEY DO SUSTAIN, SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AGAIN, MAINLY IN THE
FORM OF LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS. THE HAIL SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THE
LAST FEW DAYS, MAINLY AROUND AN INCH BUT POTENTIALLY UP TO GOLF BALL
IN SIZE IF A STORM CAN STAY ISOLATED ENOUGH. WIND GUSTS ARE FORECAST
TO BE MORE IN THE 40-60 MPH RANGE WITH A MAX AROUND 70 MPH AND ARE
MORE LIKELY IF STORMS CLUSTER. EITHER WAY, THIS WOULD LIKELY BE A
QUICK EVENT WITH STORMS ENTERING KIT CARSON AND CHEYENNE [CO]
COUNTIES AROUND 4-5PM MT, MOVING SOUTHEAST, AND EXITING THE AREA
AROUND WICHITA/LOGAN/GOVE COUNTIES AROUND 7-10PM CT. THIS IS ALL
DEPENDENT ON STORMS MAKING IT INTO THE AREA IN THE FIRST PLACE.
ONCE ANY STORMS CLEAR THE AREA, PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIGHT WINDS
IS FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THIS TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
DROP INTO THE 60S AGAIN, WITH 50S POSSIBLE IN EASTERN COLORADO.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY EXTENDING WEST FROM THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION AND SHIFT/EXPAND NORTH DURING THIS PART OF THE
FORECAST. ANY STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE DIRECTED
TO THE NORTH INSTEAD OF THE EAST. THIS WILL PUT THE PLAINS AND
GREAT BASIN UNDER THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE. THE RIDGE WILL
CAUSE AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO BE DEFLECTED TO
SOUTHERN CANADA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 90S AND LOWS WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S, WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL. HOWEVER LOWS IN
THE LOW 70S MAY MOVE IN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
HOWEVER HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY INCREASE OVER THE EAST TOWARD THE
END OF NEXT WEEK IF LOWS DO ONLY COOL INTO THE LOW 70S.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20% OVER EAST
CENTRAL CO BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES TO THE EAST. THIS IS STILL ABOVE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS, BUT SOMETHING TO BE AWARE OF GIVEN THE DRYING FUELS IN
COLORADO.
WILDFIRE SMOKE MAY AFFECT THE EASTERN PART OF COLORADO
DEPENDING ON WHERE THE RIDGE IS CENTERED.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1125 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2026
FOR KMCK, SHOWERS WILL LINGER IN THE AREA UNTIL AROUND 07Z. FOR
BOTH TERMINALS, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL WITH
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 6-8 KNOTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE TAF PERIOD.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SHORT TERM...KAK
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...KAK/RHOADES
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page