907  
FXUS63 KGLD 230935  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
335 AM MDT MON SEP 23 2019  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 335 AM MDT MON SEP 23 2019  
 
TODAY-TONIGHT...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO  
MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD LAS VEGAS DURING THE DAY THEN INTO ARIZONA  
DURING THE NIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER OUR AREA. SOME  
MOISTURE IN THE 850-700MB LAYER MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN 1/3 OR SO  
OF THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT BUT A RATHER DRY LAYER FROM  
700-500MB SHOULD PREVENT PRECIPITATION FROM DEVELOPING, WHICH IS  
ALSO THE TREND THE PAST FEW DAYS FROM THE MODELS. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOUT 6F TO 9F AT 850MB SUPPORTING READINGS IN  
THE LOW TO MID 80S UNDER SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS. LOW TEMPERATURES  
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S IN FAR EASTERN COLORADO TO THE  
MID 50S TO LOW 60S EAST OF THE CO/KS BORDER.  
 
TUESDAY-TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FORECAST AREA IS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW  
ALOFT AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER MENTIONED MONDAY DIVES SOUTH  
INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. LOW  
TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S IN FAR EASTERN  
COLORADO TO THE LOW TO MID 50S EAST OF THE CO/KS BORDER.  
 
WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA  
LOWERING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80. LOW  
TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50 IN FAR EASTERN  
COLORADO, LOW 50S EAST OF THE CO/KS BORDER. NO PRECIPITATION IS  
EXPECTED.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 147 AM MDT MON SEP 23 2019  
 
NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT IS ANTICIPATED THURSDAY MORNING, WITH A  
TROUGH ENTERING NEW ENGLAND AND ANOTHER MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN  
ROCKIES. MEANWHILE, A CLOSED LOW PERSISTS OVER WESTERN ARIZONA.  
 
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DISTURBANCE PUSHES EAST TO THE PLAINS DURING  
THE DAY, AND THE ARIZONA CLOSED LOW BEGINS TO EJECT FROM THE DESERT  
SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT,  
LEADING TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE  
NORTHWESTERN ZONES.  
 
ON FRIDAY, THE CLOSED LOW BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE AS AN OPEN WAVE,  
NEARING THE REGION AND GENERATING LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS  
AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. VARYING GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO MAKE THE FORECAST  
DIFFICULT AT THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. WILL NEED TO MONITOR OVER THE  
NEXT FEW DAYS TO SEE IF THINGS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON TIMING  
AND EVOLUTION OF THE WAVE.  
 
DRY CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED FOR THE WEEKEND, WITH A  
LARGE TROUGH DEEPENING ALONG THE WEST COAST AND A RIDGE AMPLIFYING  
FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS PATTERN  
PLACES THE REGION UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. IT APPEARS THE  
THURSDAY NIGHT COLD FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE REGION ON  
SATURDAY AND RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY.  
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES FLUCTUATE DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD, FALLING FROM  
THE 80S ON THURSDAY TO THE 70S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN BACK  
INTO THE 80S ON SUNDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES RANGE WITHIN THE 40S TO LOW  
60S THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES IN EASTERN  
COLORADO.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 335 AM MDT MON SEP 23 2019  
 
FOR KGLD AND KMCK, VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS INCREASE THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS (KGLD) TO 25KTS OR SO  
THROUGH ABOUT 19Z. FROM 20Z THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD WINDS  
SLOWLY BACK TO A SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST DIRECTION AT SPEEDS UNDER  
12KTS. ONLY MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...99  
LONG TERM...JBH  
AVIATION...99  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KS Page
The Nexlab CO Page
The Nexlab NE Page Main Text Page