583  
FNUS71 KGYX 282227  
FWSGYX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LEAD MINE FIRE...CARROLL COUNTY COMMUNICATIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME  
627 PM EDT SUN JUN 28 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON JUNE 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (207) 688-3224, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF  
SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS  
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET. IT WILL STAY MOSTLY CLOUDY  
WITH MODERATE TO HIGH RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME N-NE AT 5-10 MPH MONDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY  
MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............64.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...71.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................15 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
CEILING (KFT).......3.0 DECREASING TO 0.3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........93 93 93 96 96 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE NO NO NO NO NO  
CWR.............90 100 100 100 100 100  
LAL.............3 2 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............71 69 67 65 64 63  
DEWPOINT........66 66 65 64 63 62  
RH..............84 90 93 97 97 97  
APARNT TMP (F)..71 69 67 65 64 63  
20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 2 E 2 E 2 NE 2 NE 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 600 1100 1100 900 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SE 6 E 7 E 7 E 6 NE 7  
LVORI...........3 6 6 8 8 8  
ADI.............15 4 3 4 3 4  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 3 7 7 5 5  
CEILING (KFT)...3.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 38 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200, THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL  
1400, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............63.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...72.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7000-31600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6 UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................7 INCREASING TO 22 UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
CEILING (KFT).......0.3 DECREASING TO 0.2 EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 0.3 LATE IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO 1.0 LATE IN THE MORNING  
DECREASING TO 0.3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........93 93 93 85 85 85  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NO NO NO SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CWR.............100 40 40 40 40 40  
LAL.............1 1 1 2 3 3  
TEMP............62 65 68 70 71 72  
DEWPOINT........62 64 63 63 63 63  
RH..............100 97 84 78 76 73  
APARNT TMP (F)..62 65 68 70 71 72  
20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 8 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1400 1400 1400 1600 2000  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 12 NE 14 NE 15 NE 16 NE 18  
LVORI...........8 5 4 3 M M  
ADI.............7 22 22 24 M M  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/10007 14 17 19 23 32  
CEILING (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.3  
 

 
FORECASTER...CEMPA  
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER WENTWORTH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2008662.0/GYX  
.DELDT 06/28/20  
.EMAIL DISPATCH@CARROLLCOUNTYNH.NET  
 
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