825
FXUS64 KFWD 101811
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1211 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A FEW
SNOW FLURRIES WILL LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS UNTIL
MID AFTERNOON. SOME SLICK SPOTS WILL REMAIN ON ROADWAYS WITH
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING ABOVE FREEZING.
- THERE IS SOME LOW POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING FOG TO DEVELOP TONIGHT
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE SNOW REMAINS ON THE GROUND. FREEZING
FOG CAN RESULT IN ICE DEPOSITS ON ROADS AND BRIDGES.
- LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S TONIGHT.
BLACK ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS WHERE ROADS REMAIN WET.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
/THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY/
THE PASSING UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SQUEEZE OUT A FEW SNOW
FLAKES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NO ADDITIONAL
SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED, SO WE WILL LET THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY EXPIRE AT NOON. HOWEVER, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
SOME SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY CREEPING ABOVE
FREEZING.
THE SKY WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH
A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY EXPECTED ACROSS ALL BE THE EASTERN ZONES
TONIGHT. RAPID RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING,
ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT STILL HAVE SNOW ON THE GROUND (MUCH
OF NORTH TEXAS GENERALLY NORTH OF I-20). THIS WILL SEND
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S. THESE COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR FREEZING OF RESIDUAL LIQUID ON
ROADWAYS, RESULTING IN PATCHES OF ICE. THEREFORE, TRAVEL WILL
REMAIN HAZARDOUS TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THOSE LOCATIONS THAT
STILL HAVE SNOW ON THE GROUND. THESE ICY PATCHES WILL REMAIN ON
THE ROADS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY UNTIL TEMPERATURES
WARM ABOVE FREEZING BY MIDDAY.
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FREEZING FOG OVERNIGHT, MAINLY
NORTH OF I-20 AND NEAR AND EAST OF I-35. HOWEVER, DRY AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHWEST AND WEST OVERNIGHT WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT THE FREEZING FOG POTENTIAL FOR MOST. THEREFORE, WE HAVE
OPTED TO LEAVE THE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO WATCH THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING FOG CLOSELY THROUGH
THE EVENING SINCE ITS FORMATION WOULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL TRAVEL
IMPACTS.
79
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 233 AM CST FRI JAN 10 2025/
/SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO MUCH OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS LIKE
IT WILL BE GENERALLY QUIET WITH A REINFORCING COLD FRONT ARRIVING
ON SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL LACK ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND
SHOULD COME THROUGH DRY WITH A PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
EXTENDING INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 40S ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH A STEADY SLOW WARMUP INTO THE 50S THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE COLDEST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHTS WHERE TEMPERATURES DIP INTO THE LOW/MID 20S WARMING
SLIGHTLY THROUGH MID WEEK. SEVERAL NIGHTS OF SUB FREEZING
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
/NEW/
/18Z TAFS/
CEILINGS/VISIBILITY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH MVFR CEILINGS SCATTERING OUT BY LATE
AFTERNOON AND CLEARING THIS EVENING. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE METROPLEX TAF SITES,
WITH SNOW REMAINING ON THE GROUND HELPING TO SATURATE THE NEAR
SURFACE AIR. IF ANY FOG DOES DEVELOP IT WILL LEAVE A LIGHT GLAZE
SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW FREEZING. FOR NOW WE HAVE
OPTED TO KEEP THE VISIBILITY 2 MILE OR BETTER EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AND JUST MENTION MIST SINCE CONFIDENCE IN FREEZING FOG IS
LOW DUE TO THE ADVECTION OF DRY AIR FROM THE WEST/NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. ANY FREEZING FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY
DISSIPATE ONCE THE SUN MAKES ITS VALIANT RETURN SATURDAY.
A NORTHWEST WIND WILL REMAIN IN THE 8 TO 13 KNOT RANGE THROUGH THE
EVENING, BECOMING LIGHT WEST/NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND SOUTHERLY
AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LESS
THAN 12 KNOTS ON SATURDAY.
79
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 36 23 43 32 45 / 20 0 0 0 0
WACO 38 24 51 33 51 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 34 16 40 27 42 / 20 0 0 0 0
DENTON 35 17 42 27 44 / 30 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 35 18 42 29 43 / 20 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 36 21 43 32 45 / 20 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 36 21 45 31 45 / 20 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 37 25 49 35 51 / 10 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 39 23 51 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 36 18 45 29 48 / 20 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>134-141.
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