220
FXUS64 KFWD 121914
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
114 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A DRY COLD FRONT WILL HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TUESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC
AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND, WITH MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE PART OF THE FOLLOWING
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
/ISSUED 1038 AM CST SUN JAN 12 2025/
/THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY/
A REINFORCEMENT OF COOL AND DRY AIR WILL WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE
ENTIRE REGION THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT. FULL SUN
WILL OFFSET WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 50S FOR MOST. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS ABOUT
THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES WHERE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S WILL
BE MORE COMMON. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS ALL BUT THE SOUTHEAST ZONES. A BREEZY NORTH WIND WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS AND TWENTIES WHICH WILL MAKE FOR A
CHILLY START TO THE WORK WEEK IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS MONDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS MONDAY. THE WEAKENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT
IN LIGHTER WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LINGERING COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL KEEP COOL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO GET
OUT OF THE 40 MONDAY AFTERNOON.
79
LONG TERM
/NEW/
/MONDAY NIGHT ONWARD/
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE ON TUESDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
RETURN. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES LARGELY RETURNING TO THE 60S ON THURSDAY.
FRIDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH SOME LOCATIONS WARMING INTO
THE LOW 70S. WE'LL CONTINUE TO SEE COOL MORNINGS EACH DAY AS
MOISTURE REMAINS SCOURED BEHIND SUNDAY'S COLD FRONT. SUB-FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST LOCATIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT WILL BECOME LESS COMMON BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ON FRIDAY AS A POWERFUL SYSTEM
DIVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN AHEAD OF
A STRONG COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY, WITH THE FRONT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
EARLY NEXT WEEKEND. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT ANOTHER BLAST OF
ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THE FRONT, ALLOWING MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO THE REGION. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
THAT WE MAY HAVE PRECIPITATION CHANCES BEHIND THIS FRONT, BUT
LOCATION, TIMING, AND WHETHER THIS WILL ENTAIL ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE ALL UP IN THE AIR AT THIS TIME. ENSURE
YOU MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK.
BARNES
AVIATION
/ISSUED 1038 AM CST SUN JAN 12 2025/
/18Z TAFS/
VFR ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH MONDAY WITH ONLY A FEW
PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
A NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING AT SPEEDS BETWEEN 7 AND 14 KNOTS.
79
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 52 29 47 29 53 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 54 32 50 28 53 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 49 25 43 24 48 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON 51 24 45 25 53 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 52 25 45 26 51 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 53 30 48 29 53 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 52 28 47 28 52 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 54 32 50 30 53 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 56 32 51 28 54 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 55 25 49 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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