617
FXUS64 KFWD 130032
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
632 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE TOMORROW, HOWEVER, A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND COMMENCES ON TUESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC
AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND, WITH MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE PART OF THE FOLLOWING
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
/THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
IN THE WAKE OF TODAY'S COLD FRONT, BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT HELPING TO ADVECT COOLER AIR INTO OUR
REGION. EARLY MONDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 20S FOR A
LARGE PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WITH LOWER 30S LIMITED TO
AREAS SOUTH OF A WACO TO CORSICANA LINE.
WITH CONTINUED WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION TOMORROW, HIGHS ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS WILL STAY IN THE 40S WITH LOWER 50S ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE HIGH, WINDS TOMORROW
WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 5-10 MPH. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLOWLY MIGRATE EAST MONDAY NIGHT, HELPING TO TURN OUR WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTHEAST BY SUNRISE TUESDAY. AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN, A
WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE WEEK. MORE DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION BELOW.
HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 114 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2025/
/MONDAY NIGHT ONWARD/
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE ON TUESDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
RETURN. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES LARGELY RETURNING TO THE 60S ON THURSDAY.
FRIDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH SOME LOCATIONS WARMING INTO
THE LOW 70S. WE'LL CONTINUE TO SEE COOL MORNINGS EACH DAY AS
MOISTURE REMAINS SCOURED BEHIND SUNDAY'S COLD FRONT. SUB-FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST LOCATIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT WILL BECOME LESS COMMON BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ON FRIDAY AS A POWERFUL SYSTEM
DIVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN AHEAD OF
A STRONG COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY, WITH THE FRONT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
EARLY NEXT WEEKEND. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT ANOTHER BLAST OF
ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THE FRONT, ALLOWING MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO THE REGION. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
THAT WE MAY HAVE PRECIPITATION CHANCES BEHIND THIS FRONT, BUT
LOCATION, TIMING, AND WHETHER THIS WILL ENTAIL ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE ALL UP IN THE AIR AT THIS TIME. ENSURE
YOU MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK.
BARNES
AVIATION
/NEW/
/00Z TAFS/
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE 00Z FORECAST CYCLE
AT ANY OF THE NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS TAF SITES. NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE AROUND 10-12 KNOTS THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS TRAVERSING THE TEXAS SKY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE INCHES
CLOSER TO OUR REGION. LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TOMORROW
NIGHT BEFORE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS RETURN TUESDAY MORNING.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 28 47 30 53 33 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 33 50 29 53 35 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 25 43 26 48 27 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON 24 46 25 52 27 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 25 46 26 52 29 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 30 48 30 54 33 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 28 48 28 53 30 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 32 51 31 55 35 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 32 52 28 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 25 50 26 56 28 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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