349
FXUS64 KFWD 050552
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1252 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND,
WITH LOW STORM CHANCES (15-30%) NEAR THE RED RIVER EACH NIGHT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
- AN UNSETTLED PATTERN RETURNS TO THE REGION BEGINNING SATURDAY
NIGHT, WITH DAILY CHANCES (40-60%) FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
/THROUGH FRIDAY/
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT BACK OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST LATER THIS
MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY SETTLED OVER PARTS OF EAST AND
CENTRAL TEXAS LIFTS NORTHWARD. THIS WILL BEGIN A PERIOD OF
IMPRESSIVE BOUNDARY LAYER WARM/MOIST ADVECTION WITH WIDESPREAD LOW
CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PATCHY FOG/MIST WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW
HOURS AROUND SUNRISE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLEST TONIGHT ACROSS
OUR NORTHWEST IN THE LOW TO MID 60S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S ELSEWHERE.
A DECAYING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX CURRENTLY SITUATED OVER THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE WILL MAKE A RUN FOR OUR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES
AFTER DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING, BUT SHOULD ADVANCE VERY LITTLE
INTO OUR CWA BEFORE FALLING APART. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
MOST OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN BENEATH LOW CLOUDS MUCH OF THE DAY
THURSDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERING AND SOME SUNSHINE AFTER
3-4PM. ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY ALSO DEVELOP ON THE NOSE OF WARM/MOIST
ADVECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S, BUT IF DENSE CLOUD
COVER REMAINS OVERHEAD ALL DAY, ACTUAL TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER.
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARM AND HUMID WITH ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX SKIRTING OUR FAR NORTHERN RED RIVER COUNTIES EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO FRIDAY AS
MID-/UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER SOUTH TEXAS WITH WIDESPREAD
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S EXPECTED FRIDAY.
LANGFELD
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 131 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025/
/THURSDAY EVENING ONWARD/
WE WILL WRAP UP THE WEEK WITH MOSTLY DRY BUT WARMER CONDITIONS AS
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE BEST RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
NORTH OF OUR AREA, BUT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY CLIP SOME OF OUR
RED RIVER COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO
THE 90S BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
PERIODIC STORM CHANCES WILL RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS AND NORTHWEST FLOW TAKES
CONTROL OF THE WEATHER PATTERN. A STORM COMPLEX IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SOUTHWARD FROM OKLAHOMA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH THE
BEST RAIN/STORM CHANCES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. MOST OF THE EXTENDED
GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO OUR AREA
ON SUNDAY AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH
AT LEAST MID WEEK. NOT ONLY WE WILL SEE DAILY RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES ACROSS OUR AREA, BUT ALSO NEAR OR BELOW SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS STAYING IN THE 80S.
SANCHEZ
AVIATION
/NEW/
/06Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE OVERSPREADING MUCH OF THE METROPLEX AT THIS HOUR
WITH MORE WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CIGS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IFR CIGS SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR OVER CENTRAL TEXAS IN THE
10Z-15Z TIMEFRAME, HOWEVER THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT IFR BRIEFLY INCHES
OVER THE D10 TERMINALS AROUND DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. PATCHY
FOG/MIST WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW
HOURS LATER THIS MORNING. BKN/OVC MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
AT LEAST 18Z-19Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY, BUT MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
WEST AND SOUTH OF THE D10 TERMINALS.
LANGFELD
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 75 92 77 94 74 / 5 5 5 10 40
WACO 74 91 74 94 74 / 5 0 0 0 10
PARIS 72 89 73 90 70 / 10 20 10 30 50
DENTON 73 92 73 93 69 / 5 5 10 20 50
MCKINNEY 74 91 74 92 72 / 5 5 10 20 50
DALLAS 75 93 76 95 74 / 5 0 5 10 40
TERRELL 74 90 74 92 72 / 5 5 5 10 30
CORSICANA 75 91 76 94 75 / 0 0 0 5 20
TEMPLE 73 93 74 95 74 / 0 0 0 0 5
MINERAL WELLS 73 93 72 95 71 / 5 0 5 10 30
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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