307  
FXUS64 KFWD 291805  
AFDFWD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
105 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- SEASONABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH DAILY HIGHS  
IN THE 90S AND HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 99 TO 103 DEGREES.  
 
- THERE ARE LOW CHANCES FOR STORMS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THIS  
WEEK, WITH BEST CHANCES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.  
 
- TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS ARE MORE LIKELY THAN NOT THIS WEEKEND, WITH  
CHANCES OF 40 TO 70 PERCENT IN NORTH TEXAS STARTING SATURDAY.  
 
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
/NEW/  
/TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON/  
 
A WARM END TO THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL  
TEXAS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK IN THE 90S, WITH HEAT  
INDICES TOPPING OUT BETWEEN 95-103. SIMILAR TO DAYS PAST, THERE  
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A DIURNALLY-DRIVEN CHANCE FOR ISOLATED-  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS IN  
RESPONSE TO AN INLAND-MOVING SEA BREEZE. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT  
ANTICIPATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY, THOUGH ANY MORE ROBUST STORM COULD  
PRODUCE GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING. NEBULOUS  
ASCENT AND NO REAL FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT WILL KEEP STORM COVERAGE  
VERY SPOTTY, WITH MOST (IF NOT ALL) OF THE REGION LIKELY REMAINING  
DRY. NONETHELESS, FOR THOSE OF YOU IN CENTRAL TEXAS - IF YOU HAVE  
OUTDOOR PLANS TODAY, MAKE SURE TO STAY WEATHER AWARE IN CASE YOU  
FIND YOURSELF UNDER/NEAR A STORM. ANY LINGERING ACTIVITY WILL WANE  
OVER THE EVENING HOURS WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.  
 
OVERNIGHT CONDITIONS WILL BE WARM AND HUMID, WITH TEMPERATURES  
ONLY DROPPING INTO THE MID 70S BY DAYBREAK. OVER THE DAY  
TOMORROW, A DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ITS TREK EAST  
ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST. IN RESPONSE, AN ATTENDANT  
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD THROUGH KANSAS AND  
OKLAHOMA. OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT, EXPECT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES  
ONCE AGAIN IN THE 90S, WITH HEAT INDICES PEAKING IN THE MID 90S TO  
AROUND 103. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTH WE'LL BEGIN TO SEE AN  
UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE BOUNDARY NEAR AND NORTH  
OF THE RED RIVER LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH MOST ACTIVITY  
REMAINING IN OKLAHOMA DURING THIS TIME. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT  
EXPECTED WITH ANY ACTIVITY IN OUR AREA, THOUGH ANY STRONGER STORM  
COULD PRODUCE GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS, AND LIGHTNING.  
 
PRATER  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
/NEW/  
/MONDAY NIGHT ONWARD/  
 
THE FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE RED RIVER, WITH CONTINUED SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND STORMS IN NORTH TEXAS AS WE HEAD INTO TUESDAY. SEVERE  
WEATHER REMAINS UNLIKELY, WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LIGHTNING THE  
MAIN HAZARDS. RIDGING WILL BUILD IN OVER MIDWEEK, FORCING THE  
FRONT TO RETREAT NORTH. HOWEVER, A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WILL KEEP  
LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST OUT WEST, AND WE'LL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE  
ON THE POTENTIAL FOR INTERRUPTIONS TO JULY 4TH ACTIVITIES. LOOKING  
AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK, WE MAY FINALLY SEE MORE WIDESPREAD TRIPLE  
DIGIT TEMPERATURES AS NBM PROBABILITIES OF 100+ BETWEEN 40-70%  
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS (20-40% IN CENTRAL TEXAS).  
 
PRATER  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
/NEW/  
/18Z TAFS/  
 
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST  
OF TODAY, WITH A SMATTERING OF AFTERNOON CU. ISOLATED SEA BREEZE  
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY IMPACT OUR CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES THIS  
AFTERNOON, BUT COVERAGE WILL REMAIN TOO SPOTTY TO INCLUDE IN THE  
ACT TAF AT THIS TIME. ANY LINGERING STORM WILL DISSIPATE WITH THE  
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT,  
BUT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT A BIT MORE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TOMORROW  
MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH TOWARDS THE RED RIVER  
TOMORROW, PROMOTING INCREASED CHANCES FOR STORMS ALONG THE  
BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE D10  
AIRPORTS, BUT MAY IMPACT THE BOWIE AND BONHAM CORNERPOSTS.  
 
PRATER  
 
 
   
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  
 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 96 78 96 77 95 / 0 0 5 20 10  
WACO 95 75 95 75 95 / 5 0 5 5 5  
PARIS 93 74 94 73 92 / 5 0 5 20 20  
DENTON 96 76 97 74 94 / 0 0 10 20 20  
MCKINNEY 96 77 96 76 94 / 0 0 5 20 20  
DALLAS 97 78 98 78 97 / 0 0 5 20 10  
TERRELL 94 75 95 75 95 / 0 0 5 10 10  
CORSICANA 95 76 95 76 96 / 5 5 5 5 10  
TEMPLE 96 74 95 74 95 / 10 5 5 5 5  
MINERAL WELLS 98 75 97 73 95 / 0 0 10 30 20  
 
 
   
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
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