094
FXUS64 KFWD 071015
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
515 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID HEAT
RELATED ILLNESSES.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
UPDATE:
THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
HEAT INDEX VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN 105-107 IN NORTH TEXAS.
THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED; HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD.
HERNANDEZ
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
/THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS, TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL BE THE HOTTEST AS THE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER NM. WITH MID-LEVEL
HEIGHTS ON THE RISE, TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE UPPER 90S TO
104 ACROSS THE REGION. COMBINING THE HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WITH A MODERATELY MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL YIELD HEAT INDEX VALUES
BETWEEN 102-109 ACROSS THE REGION. THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF
105+ HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS, WHERE A HEAT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE REGION.
REMEMBER TO TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID HEAT RELATED
ILLNESS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY HYDRATED, TRY TO STAY IN AIR
CONDITIONED PLACES AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IF YOU HAVE TO BE
OUTDOORS.
HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 1237 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025/
/SATURDAY ONWARD/
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL LOOSEN ITS GRIP ATOP NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS AS AN INVERTED TROUGH ADVANCES FROM THE EAST. THIS TROUGH
WILL LOWER TEMPERATURES BY A FEW DEGREES - NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.
WITH THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE OVER OUR REGION, AFTERNOON SEA
BREEZE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF
COAST EACH AFTERNOON BEYOND TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DRIVE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES CLOSER TO OUR REGION, HOWEVER, THE RAINFALL
PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN BELOW 15%. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES LARGELY BELOW
105 DEGREES.
HERNANDEZ
AVIATION
/NEW/
/12Z TAFS/
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION WITH CLEAR SKIES IN
PLACE. THANKS TO THE HIGH PRESSURE JUST WEST OF OUR REGION, NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED OVER NORTH OR CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH THIS TAF CYCLE.
HERNANDEZ
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 98 79 99 79 98 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 96 76 97 75 95 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 97 75 98 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON 99 76 100 76 99 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 98 76 99 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 99 79 100 79 99 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 98 75 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 0 5
CORSICANA 98 76 100 76 98 / 0 0 0 0 5
TEMPLE 97 74 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 101 74 100 74 100 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-131>135-146.
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