947
FXUS64 KFWD 110601
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
101 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN LOWER TO MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
/THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S ACROSS THE BOARD. THE
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WE'VE BEEN TRACKING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS IS CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR THE MIDLAND AREA, SLOWLY MIGRATING
TO THE EAST. BY THIS AFTERNOON, THE CENTER OF THE MID-LEVEL HIGH
WILL BE NEAR ABILENE WITH A CONTINUED SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION
INTO FRIDAY.
GIVEN THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE ALOFT, PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
OUTSIDE OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON
FRIDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S WITH EARLY MORNING
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM
/NEW/
/SATURDAY ONWARD/
THE AXIS OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE ALIGNED NORTH/SOUTH ON
SATURDAY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. THIS WILL ENSURE CONTINUED
STRONG SUBSIDENCE ATOP OUR REGION.
SENSIBLE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED EACH DAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S AND MORNING
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S. THE TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS GIVEN THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE
OF THE RIDGE.
A PATTERN SHIFT IS LOOMING IN THE HORIZON AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS
TO BUILD BACK ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL
RETURN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS, ALLOWING
FOR DISTURBANCES TO PASS ATOP OUR REGION. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES AT
THIS TIME REMAIN BELOW 15% IN THE 8-10 DAY PERIOD, WE'LL CONTINUE
TO ASSESS THE PATTERN FOR ANY ADDITIONAL RISES IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR PRECIPITATION.
HERNANDEZ
AVIATION
/NEW/
/06Z TAFS/
CONTINUED TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN
4-7 KTS WILL PERSIST WITH OCCASIONAL PASSING HIGH CLOUDS AOB FL200.
HERNANDEZ
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 68 94 73 95 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 66 93 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 65 92 68 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON 65 95 69 95 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 65 93 70 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 70 95 73 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 65 92 69 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 68 93 71 95 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 65 93 68 94 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 63 95 68 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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