346
FXUS64 KFWD 111055
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
555 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN LOWER TO MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
/ISSUED 101 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025/
/THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S ACROSS THE BOARD. THE
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WE'VE BEEN TRACKING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS IS CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR THE MIDLAND AREA, SLOWLY MIGRATING
TO THE EAST. BY THIS AFTERNOON, THE CENTER OF THE MID-LEVEL HIGH
WILL BE NEAR ABILENE WITH A CONTINUED SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION
INTO FRIDAY.
GIVEN THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE ALOFT, PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
OUTSIDE OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON
FRIDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S WITH EARLY MORNING
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 101 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025/
/SATURDAY ONWARD/
THE AXIS OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE ALIGNED NORTH/SOUTH ON
SATURDAY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. THIS WILL ENSURE CONTINUED
STRONG SUBSIDENCE ATOP OUR REGION.
SENSIBLE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED EACH DAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S AND MORNING
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S. THE TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS GIVEN THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE
OF THE RIDGE.
A PATTERN SHIFT IS LOOMING IN THE HORIZON AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS
TO BUILD BACK ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL
RETURN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS, ALLOWING
FOR DISTURBANCES TO PASS ATOP OUR REGION. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES AT
THIS TIME REMAIN BELOW 15% IN THE 8-10 DAY PERIOD, WE'LL CONTINUE
TO ASSESS THE PATTERN FOR ANY ADDITIONAL RISES IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR PRECIPITATION.
HERNANDEZ
AVIATION
/NEW/
/12Z TAFS/
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TOMORROW ACROSS NORTH
OR CENTRAL TEXAS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL STREAM ACROSS THE TEXAS SKY
TODAY WITH LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BELOW 8 KTS. NO
PRECIPITATION, LOW CLOUDS OR WIND SHIFTS ARE EXPECTED.
HERNANDEZ
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 94 73 95 74 94 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 93 70 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 92 69 93 71 92 / 0 0 0 0 5
DENTON 94 69 95 71 95 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 94 70 95 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 95 74 95 75 95 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 93 70 93 71 93 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 94 72 95 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 93 69 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 95 67 95 69 95 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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