348
FXUS64 KFWD 120538
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1238 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT BUT TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEK WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN LOWER TO MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
/NEW/
/THROUGH SATURDAY/
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER STORY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS A STRONG MID/UPPER RIDGE REMAINS PLANTED OVER TEXAS
AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S WITH LOWS IN THE
70S WILL BE 5 OR SO DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID SEPTEMBER. A
SURFACE RIDGE SITUATED TO OUR EAST WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. LITTLE TO NO CLOUDS WILL BE
PRESENT, BUT A THIN LAYER OF SMOKE ALOFT ORIGINATING FROM NUMEROUS
WILDFIRES ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL MAKE FOR PICTURESQUE
SUNSETS AND SUNRISES.
30
LONG TERM
/NEW/
/NEXT WEEK/
THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
LIFTS NORTHEAST FROM THE FOUR CORNERS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
SOUTHWEST FLOW AND THE RESULTING CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD SHUT
DOWN ANY CONVECTIVE ATTEMPTS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS,
THOUGH ISOLATED STORMS MAY APPROACH THE BIG COUNTRY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING. HIGH CLOUDS MAY ALSO KNOCK A DEGREE
OR TWO OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THE RIDGE WILL RE-
STRENGTHEN ON MONDAY, KEEPING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE WILL RETREAT
SOUTHWEST LATE NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE PLAINS. THE RESULTING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT MAY EVENTUALLY
BRING SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES NEXT WEEKEND, OTHERWISE SEASONABLY HOT
WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED.
30
AVIATION
/NEW/
/06Z TAFS/
SOUTH WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT WILL CONTINUE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE MS VALLEY. RIDGING ALOFT WILL OTHERWISE
PROVIDE VFR AND OVERALL QUIET AVIATION WEATHER ACROSS THE BOARD.
30
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 75 94 74 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO 72 93 72 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS 71 92 72 91 69 / 0 0 0 5 0
DENTON 71 94 72 94 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 72 94 72 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 75 94 76 94 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 72 93 72 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 72 94 72 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 69 94 69 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 69 94 69 94 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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