144
FXUS64 KFWD 081030
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
530 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF I-35 TODAY WITH
COVERAGE OF 10% OR LESS.
- WARM AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
SHORT TERM
/ISSUED 1237 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025/
/THROUGH TONIGHT/
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST MAY SUPPORT ADDITIONAL DIURNALLY DRIVEN
RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH COVERAGE OF 10% OR LESS,
AND THIS WILL BE MOST LIKELY ACROSS EAST TEXAS WHERE POOLED
MOISTURE REMAINS. OTHERWISE, THE PRESENCE OF ANOMALOUSLY STRONG
MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
-STALLEY
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 1237 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025/
/THURSDAY ONWARD/
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS RETURN TO ESE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WORKWEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN A FETCH OF DRIER AIR AND LOWER
DEWPOINTS, SO DESPITE PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, LOW
HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN FAIRLY PLEASANT CONDITIONS WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS STILL FALLING INTO THE 60S AND EVEN UPPER 50S. LOWER RH MAY
RESULT IN AN UPTICK IN WILDFIRE ACTIVITY HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE RECENT DRY SPELL AND INCREASINGLY
AVAILABLE CURED FUELS. SOUTHERN PLAINS RIDGING WILL PREVAIL INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH RAIN CHANCES REMAINING BELOW 10% THROUGH THE ENTIRE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS NO SIGN OF A SIGNIFICANT
PATTERN CHANGE IN THE NEXT ~10 DAYS.
-STALLEY
AVIATION
/NEW/
/12Z TAFS/
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE A CIRRUS CANOPY THICKENS
OVERHEAD. EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5-10 KTS WITH A FEW
DAYTIME GUSTS TO 15 KTS. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF
D10 THIS AFTERNOON, BUT NO PRECIP IS FORECAST AT ANY OF THE TAF
SITES THEMSELVES.
-STALLEY
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 90 67 88 61 87 / 5 5 0 0 0
WACO 92 67 89 60 87 / 5 5 0 0 0
PARIS 87 60 84 55 84 / 10 5 0 0 0
DENTON 88 62 87 55 86 / 5 5 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 89 63 87 56 86 / 5 5 0 0 0
DALLAS 91 67 89 62 88 / 5 5 0 0 0
TERRELL 90 62 87 55 86 / 10 5 0 0 0
CORSICANA 92 66 89 59 88 / 10 5 0 0 0
TEMPLE 92 65 90 59 88 / 5 5 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 90 63 90 58 90 / 5 5 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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