671
FXUS64 KFWD 091016
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
516 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
SHORT TERM
/ISSUED 101 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025/
/THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW RETURNS TO EASTERLY TODAY DUE TO A REPOSITIONING
OF THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS, A FETCH OF DRIER LOW-LEVEL AIR WILL
ENSUE WHICH WILL NULLIFY OUR RAIN CHANCES. HIGHS WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH LESS CLOUD COVER
PRESENT COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, WHILE AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY TO OUR WEST. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 60S WITH A SMATTERING OF 50S IN OUTLYING AREAS.
-STALLEY
LONG TERM
/ISSUED 101 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025/
/FRIDAY ONWARD/
DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT IN FROM THE EAST HEADING INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, SENDING DEWPOINTS IN THE THE 50S AND EVEN
UPPER 40S. THIS COULD CULMINATE IN AN INCREASE IN WILDFIRE
ACTIVITY GIVEN THE RESULTANT LOW HUMIDITY AND INCREASINGLY DRIED
FUELS. WHILE MODEST WIND SPEEDS MAY TEMPER THIS THREAT ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY, BREEZIER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ON SUNDAY WHILE RH
REMAINS LOW AND TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE NORMAL. AN INCREASE IN
HUMIDITY AND CLOUD COVER SHOULD OCCUR HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT
RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN ABSENT AS UPPER RIDGING PREVAILS ALOFT.
NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT 10 DAYS.
-STALLEY
AVIATION
/NEW/
/12Z TAFS/
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
E/ENE WITH HEADINGS OSCILLATING BETWEEN 060-110 FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SPEEDS WILL REMAIN AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS.
-STALLEY
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 64 88 63 90 66 / 5 0 0 0 0
WACO 62 88 60 88 62 / 5 0 0 0 0
PARIS 56 84 57 86 62 / 10 0 0 0 0
DENTON 57 87 58 89 61 / 5 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 58 87 59 88 62 / 5 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 64 88 65 90 67 / 5 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 57 87 58 88 61 / 5 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 61 88 61 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 60 89 58 89 60 / 5 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 59 90 58 92 60 / 5 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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