444
FXUS64 KFWD 042336
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
536 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK RESULTING IN QUIET
WEATHER AND ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- A COLD FRONT MAY BRING BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION
TOWARDS THE END OF THIS WEEKEND AND THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
TRANQUIL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK AS MID-
LEVEL RIDGING TRANSITIONS INTO MORE ZONAL FLOW. UNDERNEATH
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS, WE'LL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE A GRADUAL WARM UP WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S BOTH
TODAY AND TOMORROW AND OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S. A LEE-
SIDE SURFACE LOW EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL KEEP THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENED THROUGH MIDWEEK, LEADING TO BREEZY
AFTERNOONS BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
RED RIVER LATE TOMORROW, BUT WILL UNFORTUNATELY STALL TO OUR
NORTH AS ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT RACES OFF INTO NEW ENGLAND.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK IN THE
PRESENCE OF ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. MID-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL DEEPEN
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A STOUT SHORTWAVE
WILL SWING ACROSS THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTER AS WE GO
INTO THIS NEXT WEEKEND, SENDING A STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME, FROPA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY DUE TO THE LACK OF MOISTURE ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE BIGGEST EFFECT WILL BE THE DROP
IN TEMPERATURES, GOING FROM THE 70S/80S ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO
THE 50S/60S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 533 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 12 KTS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT ALL NORTH TEXAS TERMINALS.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT SCT-BKN MVFR CIGS WILL SURGE INTO
PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS APPROACHING KACT AFTER 11Z WEDNESDAY
MORNING, BUT CHANCES ARE TOO LOW (LESS THAN 20% CHANCE) AT THIS
MOMENT FOR A MENTION IN THE TAF.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 57 81 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 55 82 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 53 78 55 80 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 53 81 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 54 80 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 57 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 54 80 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 56 81 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 52 82 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 52 85 53 85 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...55
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