990
FXUS64 KFWD 072358
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
558 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
STARTING SATURDAY NIGHT. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT.
- THERE ARE NO RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS NOW MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS, HOWEVER, NO MAJOR SENSIBLE WEATHER CHANGE IS
EXPECTED FROM THIS FRONT. WINDS ARE SWITCHING FROM SOUTHWESTERLY
TO NORTHWESTERLY WITH WIND SPEEDS THE REST OF TODAY AROUND 10 MPH.
EVEN WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS IN PLACE, TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
MANAGE TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. GIVEN THE SHALLOW
NATURE OF THIS FRONT, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHERLY ONCE
AGAIN TOMORROW AND REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA STARTING TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, LEADING TO A STARK CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE
FRONT. WITH MINIMAL MOISTURE RETURN OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT, THIS
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL REMAIN PRECIPITATION-FREE WITH JUST A FEW
CLOUDS ACCOMPANYING THE COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE WIND SHIFT WILL
ARRIVE DURING AFTERNOON HOURS, THE TRUE COLD AIR WILL BE SLIGHTLY
DELAYED, ARRIVING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING. LOWS
SUNDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO MID 50S WITH THE
COOLEST TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTH.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
IN THE ROCKIES AND THE TROUGH NEAR THE GREAT LAKES WILL LEAD TO
INCREASING COLD AIR ADVECTION DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. HIGHS
WILL ONLY BE IN THE MID 50S ALONG THE RED RIVER, NEAR 60 DEGREES
ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR, AND THE MID 60S IN CENTRAL TEXAS. ALONG
WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES, BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30-35 MPH WILL MAKE FOR A CHILLY DAY FOR ANYONE
THAT PLANS ON SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS.
AS THE WINDS SUBSIDE SUNDAY EVENING, CLEAR SKIES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE NIGHT, PROVIDING EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR EFFICIENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING. A LARGE PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
WILL EXPERIENCE THEIR FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON, MARKING THE END
OF THE GROWING SEASON. TEMPERATURES IN NORTH TEXAS WILL BE IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S WITH CENTRAL TEXAS RANGING FROM 30 TO 35
DEGREES.
THE WELL-BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION REMAIN IN THE 50S. WIND
SPEEDS ON MONDAY WILL BE MUCH LOWER COMPARED TO SUNDAY WITH WINDS
BELOW 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
IN TYPICAL TEXAS FASHION, ANOTHER TRANSITION WILL TAKE PLACE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS WINDS RESPOND TO AN APPROACHING SYSTEM
ALONG THE ROCKIES. THE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY, AND GIVEN THE RAPID TIGHTENING OF THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT, ANOTHER WINDY DAY IS EXPECTED. WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST WILL PUSH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-UPPER 70S
WEST OF I-35 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING BETWEEN 15-20%. THE
COMBINATION OF WARM WEATHER, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL YIELD TO AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON
TUESDAY FOR AREAS WEST OF I-35. WIND SPEEDS WILL SUBSIDE DURING
THE EVENING HOURS, MARKING A DIMINISHING THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL
FIRE STARTS/SPREAD.
THE REST OF NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
CONTINUED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S
AND 60S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT AIRPORTS THIS TAF PERIOD WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 6 KNOTS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
VEER TO SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY ON SATURDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN LIGHT AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS. ANOTHER
FROPA WILL BRING NORTHWEST/NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS TO D10
AIRPORTS IN THE 20-21Z TIMEFRAME AND ACT AROUND 22Z, WITH NORTH
WINDS INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS SATURDAY EVENING/NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 54 80 49 58 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 54 81 53 62 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 49 78 47 56 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 47 79 44 57 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 49 79 47 57 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 55 81 51 60 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 52 81 48 60 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 56 83 52 62 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 52 83 50 64 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 49 83 44 60 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...SHAMBURGER
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