494
FXUS64 KFWD 090012
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
612 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO
THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY BEHIND THE
FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
- FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT. A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
- THERE ARE NO RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1146 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
A PLEASANT BUT WARM NOVEMBER DAY IS UNFOLDING ACROSS THE REGION AS
WE AWAIT THE ARRIVAL OF A STRONG COLD FRONT LATER TODAY.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 70S
NEAR THE RED RIVER TO MID 80S IN CENTRAL TEXAS. LIGHT WINDS WILL
PREVAIL MUCH OF DAY, WITH A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT EXPECTED EARLY
TO MID AFTERNOON WHICH WILL PRECEDE THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
THIS EVENING, CLEARING OUR SOUTHERN BORDER AROUND MIDNIGHT OR SO
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY BEHIND THE FRONT OVERNIGHT, WITH
WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 10-20 MPH AND GUSTS AROUND 20-25 MPH.
HOWEVER, THE STRONGEST WINDS AREN'T EXPECTED UNTIL TOMORROW.
COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE MID 40S TO MID 50S.
SUNDAY WILL FEATURE CHILLY AND RATHER BLUSTERY CONDITIONS AS WINDS
REMAIN QUITE BREEZY AND TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO WARM OUT OF THE
50S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER WILL RESULT IN
AN INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS SUNDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS NEAR 15-20
MPH ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE DAY, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN CENTRAL TEXAS WHERE A FEW
AREAS COULD BRIEFLY REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER, THIS
WOULD BE BOTH ISOLATED AND INTERMITTENT, SO WE WILL HOLD OFF ON
ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.
HEADING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT, BREEZY WINDS WILL WEAKEN RATHER QUICKLY
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND LOW
HUMIDITY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A CHILLY NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION.
MANY LOCATIONS WILL SEE THEIR FIRST FREEZE OF THE FALL, WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S. A FEW
RURAL, LOW-LYING AREAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DIP INTO THE
MID 20S. A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ONLY CHANGE WITH TODAY'S PACKAGE WAS TO ADD
HAMILTON COUNTY TO THE WATCH AREA.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1146 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK, WITH NO
CHANCES FOR RAIN OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. CHILLY TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE WEEKEND FRONT, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 50S AREAWIDE. UNLIKE SUNDAY, WINDS WILL
REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY, SO THE COOL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A BIT MORE TOLERABLE.
ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING IS EXPECTED TUESDAY, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
MOSTLY IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S. A FEW SPOTS ACROSS EAST TEXAS
MAY DIP JUST BELOW FREEZING IN THE LOW 30S, BUT THIS WILL BE
RATHER ISOLATED. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL RETURN TO THE 60S/70S
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED BOTH
DAYS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S/LOW 80S FROM THURSDAY ONWARD WITH
COOL MORNINGS IN THE 50S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH JUST A
FEW SCATTERED CIRRUS CLOUDS ANTICIPATED. FROPA CURRENTLY NEARING
KAFW WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD THROUGH D10 AND KACT THIS EVENING,
BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS OF 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS
OVERNIGHT. N TO NNW WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER AFTER 15Z SUNDAY
MORNING WITH SPEEDS AROUND 20 KTS AND GUSTS OVER 30 KTS AT TIMES.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SUNDAY EVENING TO NEAR OR BELOW 10 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 50 59 35 54 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 53 64 35 56 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 47 56 29 51 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 45 59 27 53 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 47 59 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 51 61 36 55 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 49 61 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 53 64 35 55 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 51 65 33 58 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 45 63 29 58 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZE WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
TXZ091>095-101>107-116>123-130>135-143>148-159>162-175.
SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM....BARNES
AVIATION...SHAMBURGER
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