910
FXUS64 KFWD 082350
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
550 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20 TOWARDS CENTRAL AND EAST
TEXAS.
- A COLD FRONT ARRIVES TOMORROW, TAKING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO
MORE SEASONAL NORMS BY THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A WELL
DEFINED SURFACE LOW MOVING NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER WITH A TRAILING
PACIFIC FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TOWARD WEST TX. AT THE SAME
TIME, A THIN LINE OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST OF I-35
TOWARDS NORTHEAST TX. AS THE FRONT MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON, WINDS
WILL REMAIN BREEZY/GUSTY FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH CLEARING
SKIES. GUSTS NEAR 25-30MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 5-6PM BEFORE THEY
DIMINISH THIS EVENING. THE LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL KEEP FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ELEVATED MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF I-35 THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, THE THIN LINE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE TOWARD EAST TEXAS WITH RAIN CHANCES ENDING EARLY THIS
EVENING. WHILE WE CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO, THE
BEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF OUR AREA.
THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEPART TO THE NORTHEAST
TONIGHT, BUT ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL EJECT FROM THE FOUR
CORNERS. THIS WILL SEND THE NEXT SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT INTO OUR
AREA OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY AS
IT MOVES NEAR OUR RED RIVER COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT, BUT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING
THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE MAINLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-20
TOWARDS CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS WHERE SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH CLOUDS AND
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL KEEP THE TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER
ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S IN NORTH TEXAS AND
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S IN CENTRAL TEXAS.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS OUR REGION FRIDAY
EVENING, BRINGING THE MUCH ANTICIPATED COOLER AIRMASS SOUTH.
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 40S AND LOW 50S BY
MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID/UPPER 30S WEST OF I-35 TO THE LOW 40S ALONG AND EAST OF I-35.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
THIS WEEKEND WILL FEATURE MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER WITH HIGHS TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S. HOWEVER, THE MORNING
LOWS WILL BE ON THE CHILLY SIDE WITH MANY LOCATIONS SEEING BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES EACH NIGHT. AT THIS TIME, IT LOOKS LIKE
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST DUE TO LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WE'RE CURRENTLY LOOKING AT WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO NEAR 34 DEGREES. BE SURE TO BUNDLE UP AS YOU HEAD
OUT THE DOOR MONDAY MORNING.
A SLIGHT WARM UP TO THE LOW/MID 60S WILL FOLLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST AND ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT. FOR THE EXTENDED, MODEL GUIDANCE IS SHOWING ANOTHER FRONT
BY MID-LATE WEEK WHICH COULD BRING SOME OF THE COOLER WEATHER
BACK TO THE REGION.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED WITH PREVAILING WINDS IN A
SIMILAR DIRECTION GENERALLY BELOW 12 KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE
06Z-07Z FRAME SHIFTING LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH IN THE
METROPLEX. THIS WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED IN CENTRAL TEXAS, INCLUDING
KACT, A FEW HOURS LATER. VFR CONDITIONS WITH PASSING HIGH CLOUDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD FOR ALL NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE
FRIDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON, PRIMARILY ACROSS THE BRAZOS
VALLEY AND EAST TEXAS AWAY FROM ANY METROPLEX TAF SITES. PASSING VIRGA,
AND POTENTIALLY EVEN A FEW SPRINKLES, REMAIN THE MORE LIKELY
SOLUTION FOR THE D10 TERMINALS. KACT HAS A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE
TO OBSERVE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY DURING THE
DAY (20-30% CHANCE), AND A PRECIP MENTION MAY BE NEEDED IN A
FUTURE TAF UPDATE. THE LIGHTNING POTENTIAL IS LOW AT KACT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 80 48 68 40 / 30 0 10 10
WACO 80 50 69 42 / 10 0 30 10
PARIS 78 46 68 41 / 40 0 20 20
DENTON 79 42 67 35 / 40 0 10 0
MCKINNEY 79 44 67 38 / 40 0 20 10
DALLAS 80 49 68 41 / 30 0 20 10
TERRELL 79 47 69 40 / 30 0 30 10
CORSICANA 81 53 71 44 / 20 0 40 20
TEMPLE 82 52 71 40 / 10 0 40 10
MINERAL WELLS 79 42 71 35 / 40 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SANCHEZ
LONG TERM....SANCHEZ
AVIATION...LANGFELD
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