923
FXUS64 KFWD 111717
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1117 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL STREAM ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING CHILLY TEMPERATURES
BACK TO THE REGION HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
PLEASANT WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TOMORROW AS A SURFACE
RIDGE SPREADS INTO THE AREA. A NORTHERLY BREEZE WILL CONTINUE
TODAY BUT WILL BE MUCH MORE TOLERABLE THAN YESTERDAY, WITH WIND
SPEEDS REMAINING BETWEEN 5 TO 15 MPH. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL PEAK IN
THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S, WITH A STEADY STREAM OF PACIFIC MOISTURE
BRINGING SOME HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.
ANOTHER SEASONABLY COOL NIGHT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. DESPITE HAVING
OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING, HIGH CLOUDS WILL KEEP
MOST LOCATIONS NEAR OR A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE SLATED TO RETURN
OVERNIGHT BUT WILL REMAIN RATHER LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY.
EVEN STILL, THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES,
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WORK
WEEK, WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. THE
MAIN EXCEPTION WILL BE OUR FAR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES WHERE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER COULD SKIRT THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AS A
DISTURBANCE IN NORTHERN MEXICO BEGINS TO EJECT TO THE
EAST/NORTHEAST. OTHERWISE, A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY,
KNOCKING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN A FEW DEGREES THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A SECOND STRONGER COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO ARRIVE SOMETIME
FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT, BRINGING CHILLY WEATHER BACK TO THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. WHILE SOME DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE
ADVERTISES RAIN CHANCES WITH THE FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEKEND, THE
MAJORITY OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS KEEP US RAIN-FREE, SO WE WILL
CONTINUE WITH NBM'S DRY FORECAST FOR NOW.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS,
WITH SCT TO BKN HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION. A STEADY
NORTH BREEZE AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY, WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT (AROUND 5 KT OR LESS) THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS TERMINALS OVERNIGHT BUT WILL LIKELY BE
VARIABLE AT KACT FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING DUE TO
LIGHT WIND SPEEDS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 5 KNOTS OR LESS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 38 62 41 66 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 35 61 40 62 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 30 59 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 32 63 35 67 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 33 61 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 37 62 42 66 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 33 61 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 37 61 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 35 62 39 62 / 0 0 0 10
MINERAL WELLS 33 66 36 67 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM....BARNES
AVIATION...BARNES
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