762
FXUS64 KFWD 120005
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
605 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE WITH SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD
FRONT ON FRIDAY, USHERING COOLER TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
PLEASANT WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TOMORROW AS A SURFACE
RIDGE SPREADS INTO THE AREA. A NORTHERLY BREEZE WILL CONTINUE
TODAY BUT WILL BE MUCH MORE TOLERABLE THAN YESTERDAY, WITH WIND
SPEEDS REMAINING BETWEEN 5 TO 15 MPH. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL PEAK IN
THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S, WITH A STEADY STREAM OF PACIFIC MOISTURE
BRINGING SOME HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.
ANOTHER SEASONABLY COOL NIGHT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. DESPITE HAVING
OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING, HIGH CLOUDS WILL KEEP
MOST LOCATIONS NEAR OR A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE SLATED TO RETURN
OVERNIGHT BUT WILL REMAIN RATHER LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY.
EVEN STILL, THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES,
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WORK
WEEK, WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. THE
MAIN EXCEPTION WILL BE OUR FAR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES WHERE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER COULD SKIRT THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AS A
DISTURBANCE IN NORTHERN MEXICO BEGINS TO EJECT TO THE
EAST/NORTHEAST. OTHERWISE, A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY,
KNOCKING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN A FEW DEGREES THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A SECOND STRONGER COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO ARRIVE SOMETIME
FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT, BRINGING CHILLY WEATHER BACK TO THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. WHILE SOME DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE
ADVERTISES RAIN CHANCES WITH THE FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEKEND, THE
MAJORITY OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS KEEP US RAIN-FREE, SO WE WILL
CONTINUE WITH NBM'S DRY FORECAST FOR NOW.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 540 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WITH A RATHER DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, ALL
CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN AOA 20,000 FEET THROUGH THE DURATION OF THIS
TAF. ACROSS NORTH TEXAS, WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AFTER 05Z.
MEANWHILE, WACO'S WINDS WILL BE MORE WESTERLY OVERNIGHT, BECOMING
SOUTHERLY LATE TOMORROW MORNING. ADDITIONAL HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST, HOWEVER, SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS TO NORTH/CENTRAL TEXAS TAF SITES IS NOT EXPECTED.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 38 64 41 67 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 35 61 41 61 / 0 0 0 10
PARIS 31 60 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 31 64 35 68 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 33 62 38 67 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 38 64 43 66 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 33 61 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 37 63 41 67 / 0 0 0 10
TEMPLE 35 63 40 63 / 0 0 0 10
MINERAL WELLS 32 66 35 68 / 0 0 0 10
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM....BARNES
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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