068
FXUS64 KFWD 312304
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
604 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET AND WARM WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY. LOW RAIN
CHANCES RETURN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- SCATTERED STORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA-WIDE THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY (30-50% COVERAGE).
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
WEAK RIDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS PRECIPITATION FREE THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. MOISTURE REMAINS
CONFINED TO THE UPPER-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, THEREFORE, HIGH
CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
UNLIKE YESTERDAY, A MORE RELAXED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
KEEP WIND SPEEDS BELOW 12 MPH WITH NO SIGNIFICANT GUSTS EXPECTED.
OVERNIGHT, THE TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AS THE
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES MORE AMPLIFIED. THE SLIGHT STRENGTHENING
OF THE RIDGE WILL YIELD A 1-2 DEGREE UPTICK IN TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY COMPARED TO TODAY WITH HIGHS BETWEEN 92-98 DEGREES ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE 3-6
DEGREES WARMER.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS A
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. THIS TROUGH WILL CONTAIN
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES WHICH WILL MAKE THEIR WAY TOWARDS OUR REGION.
SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD AS HIGHS
REMAIN IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS.
WITH PERIODIC SHORTWAVES MOVING OVERHEAD, RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN
TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR. AS THE TROUGH SLOWLY INCHES CLOSER TO OUR REGION, WE'LL
CONTINUE TO SEE DAILY SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOP ATOP OUR REGION
WITH THE HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAINLY WEST OF I-35.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK WILL BE
SCATTERED AT BEST. NOT ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE RAIN EVERY DAY,
HOWEVER, ANY AREAS THAT DO EXPERIENCE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAIN MAY BE AT RISK FOR FLOODING. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. TIMING
AND LOCATION OF SPECIFIC HAZARDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ASSESSED AS
WE APPROACH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 601 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
THERE ARE NO AVIATION CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH VFR SKIES
AND PREDOMINANTLY SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS PREVAILING. WIND SPEEDS
WILL MOSTLY BE NEAR OR BELOW 10 KTS, WITH OCCASIONAL DAYTIME
GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS AGAIN TOMORROW.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 77 96 78 97 / 0 0 0 10
WACO 75 93 75 94 / 0 0 0 20
PARIS 74 93 73 93 / 0 0 0 10
DENTON 76 95 75 94 / 0 0 0 10
MCKINNEY 76 94 75 94 / 0 0 0 10
DALLAS 78 98 79 98 / 0 0 0 10
TERRELL 75 95 75 96 / 0 0 0 20
CORSICANA 75 96 75 97 / 0 10 10 30
TEMPLE 74 93 75 95 / 0 0 0 20
MINERAL WELLS 73 94 72 93 / 0 0 0 10
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...STALLEY
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