027
FXUS64 KFWD 092305
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
605 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS (10-20% CHANCE) ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH
OF US-84 TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND PEAK HEAT INDICES IN THE
100-107 RANGE.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (50-60% CHANCE) LOOK TO
RETURN TO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
HOT AND MUGGY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO
TOMORROW WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW AND MID-90S. DEW POINTS
IN THE LOW TO MID-70S WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES RANGING FROM
98-105 BOTH AFTERNOONS. DESPITE AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD,
VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION OFF THE SEA-BREEZE (10-20% COVERAGE),
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
TODAY AND TOMORROW. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE RAIN WILL BE SOUTH
OF US-84 AND EAST OF I-35.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
THURSDAY WILL SEE A SLIGHT UPTICK IN HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID-90S AND PEAK HEAT INDICES RANGING FROM
100-107. THURSDAY NIGHT, A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE NORTH. WHILE THE FRONT ITSELF LIKELY WON'T PUSH
SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY MOVE INTO LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-20
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE GREATEST RAIN CHANCES
(50-60%) WILL BE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 380. BY FRIDAY, EVEN THOUGH A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY PART
OF THE AFTERNOON (10-30% CHANCE), MOST WILL SEE ANOTHER HOT AND
HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND HEAT INDICES RANGING FROM
98-107 (GREATEST AROUND THE DFW METROPLEX AND THE BRAZOS VALLEY).
..SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
A MORE ROBUST TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIG SOUTHWARDS ACROSS THE
GREAT PLAINS THIS WEEKEND AS A LATE-SEASON COLD FRONT PLUNGES
SOUTH INTO THE AREA. THOUGH THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THIS FRONT AND
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BEHIND IT ARE STILL UNCERTAIN,
THERE IS GENERAL CONSENSUS AMONGST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE THAT A
MORE UNSETTLED PERIOD OF WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FURTHERMORE, THE WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN CONJUNCTION WITH
SLIGHTLY STRONGER SHEAR THAN WHAT IS NORMAL THIS TIME OF YEAR
MAY YIELD A FEW STRONGER/SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND/OR
STRONG WINDS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, MOISTURE POOLING (DEW POINTS IN
THE MID-70S) IN CONJUNCTION WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER-90S MAY
ALSO RESULT IN HEAT INDICES IN THE 100-110 DEGREE RANGE. AS SUCH,
THOSE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD CONTINUOUSLY MONITOR BOTH THE
HEAT AND STORM POTENTIAL THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
A NARROW PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A BERMUDA HIGH AND A STORM
SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN BREEZY SOUTH WINDS THROUGH
MIDWEEK. A 35KT 925MB JET WILL USHER IN ANOTHER DECK OF
STRATOCUMULUS WEDNESDAY MORNING, ARRIVING AT KACT 09-10Z AND THE
DFW METROPLEX 10-12Z, WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR BY MIDDAY.
RIDGING ALOFT WILL OTHERWISE PROVIDE OVERALL QUIET AVIATION
WEATHER AREA-WIDE. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THE SMALL AREA OF
CONVECTION OVER THE BRAZOS VALLEY, BUT NO DIRECT IMPACTS TO AREA
TAF SITES ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 76 94 77 95 / 0 10 0 0
WACO 75 91 76 93 / 0 10 10 0
PARIS 75 92 77 91 / 0 10 10 0
DENTON 77 93 77 94 / 0 10 10 0
MCKINNEY 77 92 77 94 / 0 10 10 0
DALLAS 77 93 77 96 / 0 10 0 0
TERRELL 75 91 76 93 / 0 10 10 0
CORSICANA 76 92 76 92 / 0 10 10 0
TEMPLE 76 91 76 93 / 0 20 10 0
MINERAL WELLS 74 94 75 96 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DARRAH
LONG TERM....DARRAH
AVIATION...30
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