623
FXUS64 KFWD 100556
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1256 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS (10-20% CHANCE) ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PARTS OF THE BRAZOS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND PEAK HEAT INDICES IN THE
100-107 RANGE.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (50-60% CHANCE) LOOK TO
RETURN TO THE AREA THE SECOND HALF OF THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WILL REMAIN BENEATH THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A 590-592 DAM RIDGE THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP MOSTLY DRY, HOT, MUGGY CONDITIONS OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. LEE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WILL KEEP BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OVER OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY AS WELL, GUSTING TO 25-30 MPH AT TIMES. VERY ISOLATED
SEABREEZE CONVECTION MAY PUSH INTO OUR BRAZOS VALLEY COUNTIES
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING (10-20% CHANCE), BUT MOST
LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO
MID 90S BOTH DAYS WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 100-107
DEGREES EACH DAY (MORE WIDESPREAD 105+ DEGREES ON THURSDAY). IT
IS POSSIBLE THAT A HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE NECESSARY BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY IF THE CURRENT FORECASTED HEAT INDEX VALUES REMAIN ON
TRACK.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
BY EARLY FRIDAY, STRONG TROUGHING OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT SOUTH TOWARD NORTH TEXAS. THIS FRONT WILL
LIKELY STALL NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER BY SUNRISE FRIDAY
MORNING, BUT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF I-20 THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY FRIDAY. MOST
OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN DRY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER
HOT AND HUMID DAY ON TAP WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 100-107
DEGREES. MAKE SURE THAT YOU ARE TAKING THE PROPER PRECAUTIONS TO
KEEP YOU AND YOUR LOVED ONES SAFE FROM HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES,
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE PLANS THAT REQUIRE YOU TO BE OUTSIDE FOR
PROLONGED PERIODS OF TIME. TAKE BREAKS IN THE SHADE OR A/C AND
REMEMBER TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER!
SATURDAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS AS THE REGION
REMAINS BENEATH SUBTLE RIDGING BETWEEN TWO UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCES. HOWEVER, BY SUNDAY A MORE ROBUST SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO DIVE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INCREASING THE CHANCE FOR
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO AT LEAST
TUESDAY. A VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT AND MODEST WIND SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AND EVEN AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT,
SO MAKE SURE YOU ARE FOLLOWING THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS UNTIL A SCT
TO BKN DECK OF 1-2 KFT CIGS OVERSPREADS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS GENERALLY AFTER 09Z-10Z. MVFR CIGS WILL LIKELY REMAIN MORE
INTERMITTENT WITHIN THE METROPLEX, THUS HAVE KEPT A TEMPO BKN018
GROUP FROM 12Z-15Z IN THE CURRENT TAF. ALL CIGS SHOULD LIFT AND
SCATTER OUT TO VFR STATUS BY 16Z-17Z WEDNESDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO ~15 KTS LATER THIS MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25
KTS DURING THE DAY. ISOLATED SEABREEZE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL APPROACH PARTS OF THE BRAZOS VALLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING BUT SHOULD LARGELY REMAIN SOUTHEAST OF KACT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 94 77 95 79 / 10 0 0 20
WACO 91 76 93 77 / 10 10 0 0
PARIS 92 77 91 77 / 10 10 0 50
DENTON 93 77 94 79 / 10 10 0 30
MCKINNEY 92 77 94 79 / 10 10 0 20
DALLAS 93 77 96 79 / 10 0 0 20
TERRELL 91 76 93 77 / 10 10 0 10
CORSICANA 92 76 92 77 / 10 10 0 0
TEMPLE 91 76 93 77 / 20 10 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 94 75 96 77 / 0 0 0 20
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...LANGFELD
LONG TERM....LANGFELD
AVIATION...LANGFELD
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