807
FXUS64 KFWD 250737
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
237 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THE WORKWEEK AND WEEKEND,
WITH HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES COULD REACH OR EXCEED 105 DEGREES AT
TIMES THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 215 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
THE LAST OF THE MORE ACTIVE NORTHWEST-FLOW PATTERN SHOULD STAY
NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING, WITH ANY ONGOING STORM
COMPLEXES ACROSS OKLAHOMA EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE RED
RIVER. A STRAY SHOWER OR STORM CAN’T BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT NEAR
THE RED RIVER IF THIS ACTIVITY BUILDS FARTHER SOUTH, BUT MOST OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WILL REMAIN DRY AS UPPER RIDGING EXPANDS
EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGHS TODAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE
LOW TO MID 90S AREAWIDE, WHICH IS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
FOR LATE JUNE. SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITY SHOULD KEEP HEAT INDEX
VALUES MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES.
LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING, MAINTAINING WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH LIMITED
OVERNIGHT RELIEF, ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS AND LOCATIONS WHERE
WINDS STAY ELEVATED. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR MORE MEANINGFUL
HEAT CONCERNS FRIDAY AND BEYOND AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE
AND DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 60S AND 70S. THE HEAT WILL NOT BE
RECORD-SETTING, BUT IT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY NOTICEABLE
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 215 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, KEEPING NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
MOSTLY DRY, HOT, AND HUMID. HIGHS WILL INCREASE FROM THE MID AND
UPPER 90S FRIDAY TO THE UPPER 90S AND LOWER 100S THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD PUT PARTS OF THE REGION NEAR THEIR
FIRST 100-DEGREE DAY OF THE YEAR, WHICH CLIMATOLOGICALLY TENDS TO
OCCUR DURING THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF JULY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL LIKELY PEAK NEAR 105 DEGREES AT TIMES, BUT THE MOST
FAVORED AREAS MAY VARY EACH DAY BASED ON MIXING DEPTH AND MOISTURE
POOLING. THIS WILL MAKE HEAT HEADLINES MORE OF A DAILY EVALUATION
RATHER THAN A SLAM-DUNK PROLONGED ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY, WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES, MAY MAKE THE HEAT FEEL A LITTLE LESS
STAGNANT DURING THE AFTERNOON, BUT THEY WILL ALSO HELP KEEP
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ELEVATED BY MAINTAINING MIXING AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE RIDGE MAY SHIFT FARTHER EAST
WHILE A WESTERN U.S. TROUGH DEEPENS, BUT CONFIDENCE IN ANY
MEANINGFUL RAIN CHANCES REMAINS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 215 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY SCATTERED HIGH
CLOUDS EXPECTED. THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE THE INCREASINGLY
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 KTS
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE METROPLEX
TERMINALS AND KACT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1233 AM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 96 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 93 75 94 76 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 91 75 91 77 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 94 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 92 76 94 78 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 94 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 93 75 94 77 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 93 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 94 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 95 76 96 77 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...12
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