804
FXUS64 KFWD 271750
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1250 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT, DRY AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH HEAT INDICES BETWEEN
100-105 DEGREES.
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY WITH INTERMITTENT
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT A BIT EASTWARD BY
SUNDAY. A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL RESULT IN
PERSISTENT LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS THROUGH SUNDAY MAINTAINING A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST AS A RESULT ALONG WITH LOW TO MID 70S DEWPOINTS. HOT,
HUMID, AND GENERALLY PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S
AND HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100-105 DEGREES. WIND GUSTS MAY
INTERMITTENTLY APPROACH 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY
ALTHOUGH THE RANGE IN SUSTAINED SPEEDS AND INTERMITTENT NATURE OF
THE GUSTS PRECLUDES THE NEED FOR A WIND ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK
ALTHOUGH THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT OVER THE EASTERN CONUS BY
TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST LOW AND MID
LEVEL FLOW INTO NORTH TEXAS WHICH SHOULD HELP MAINTAIN THE
HUMIDITY WITH ANY MEANINGFUL CONVECTION REMAINING WELL TO OUR
WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH
HEAT INDEX VALUES TOPPING OUT AROUND 105 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON.
MID AND LATE WEEK NBM HIGH TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE TOO WARM
AND WE HAVE TRIMMED THOSE BACK SEVERAL DEGREES MORE IN LINE WITH
THE BROADER GLOBAL GUIDANCE. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 KT AT TIMES. A PLUME OF
MVFR CIGS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AND SPREAD NORTH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT,
PRIMARILY IMPACTING WACO, BUT WE'LL ADD A FEW HOURS OF TEMPO
BKN022 AT GKY, DAL, AND DFW FROM 11-13Z ON SUNDAY. OTHERWISE, NO
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED.
DUNN
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 78 97 78 98 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 78 97 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 74 93 75 94 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 76 97 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 77 95 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 79 98 79 99 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 77 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 77 97 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 76 96 77 98 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 75 98 75 98 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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