086
FXUS64 KFWD 190004
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
704 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PROLONGED DRIER AND HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING INTO THE 90S AND LOWER-100S.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
HIGHER HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING IN FROM EAST TO WEST THIS AFTERNOON,
RESULTING IN MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.
HIGHS TODAY WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR LATE JULY, IN THE LOW TO MID-
90S, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN
DRY, BUT THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL (10-20%) FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM WEST OF HWY 281. ANYTHING THAT DOES MANAGE TO DEVELOP
SHOULD TAPER OFF AFTER SUNSET, WITH A WARM AND DRY NIGHT EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURES CLIMB ANOTHER COUPLE OF DEGREES TOMORROW AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID-TO-UPPER 90S WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE LOW 100S, AND
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DROP TO NEAR-ZERO.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REST OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD,
KEEPING THINGS DRY AND WARM. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD, AND TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB DAY BY DAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES OF 100+, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105+ WILL START TO
BECOME WIDESPREAD ON TUESDAY. NIGHT WON'T OFFER MUCH IN THE WAY OF
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT EITHER, AS NEAR-RECORD WARM LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW TO MID-80S ARE EXPECTED. A HEAT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED BY MIDWEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 656 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH SOUTH
WINDS NEAR 15 KT EARLY THIS EVENING DECREASING TO AROUND 5-10 KT
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LOW CLOUDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS LATE TONIGHT, WITH A PERIOD
OF MVFR CEILINGS REMAINING POSSIBLE AT KACT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
DAYBREAK. ANY LOW CLOUDS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD SCATTER BY MID-
MORNING.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 78 99 79 101 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 76 96 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 74 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 77 98 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 77 97 78 100 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 80 99 80 102 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 76 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 75 97 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 74 96 73 97 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 74 97 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BEALO
LONG TERM....BEALO
AVIATION...12
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