398
FXUS64 KFWD 191045
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
545 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PROLONGED DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S TO LOW 100S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 120 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
HOT AND MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS IN THE MID 90S AND HEAT INDICES PEAKING IN THE UPPER 90S TO
LOW 100S. A FINAL, SUBTLE SHORTWAVE WILL ROUND ABOUT THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW SITUATED OVER WEST TEXAS LATER
TODAY BEFORE STRONG RIDGING FULLY SHUNTS THESE LOWER HEIGHTS WEST
INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW VERY ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND A COUPLE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING NORTH OF I-20 IN A POOL OF 2+" PWATS. THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN DRY. A WARM SUNDAY NIGHT IS
EXPECTED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 120 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
AS THE UPPER RIDGE TAKES HOLD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO
THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WORK WEEK. EXPECT WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON
HIGHS IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS BY TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR-RECORD
HIGH OVERNIGHT LOWS BY WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE
TO FALL BELOW 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS DURING THE
NIGHTTIME. WE WILL BE MONITORING THE CURRENT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
INVEST-91L OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS SOME OF THE MESOSCALE
HURRICANE MODELS HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED
UPPER RIDGE TO STEER THIS DISTURBANCE TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. NONE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS
ARE PICKING UP ON THIS SCENARIO YET, SO FOR NOW, IT IS JUST
SOMETHING TO WATCH. IF TROPICAL MOISTURE DOES PUSH INTO PARTS OF
THE TEXAS COAST, HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST AND RAINFALL CHANCE
ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR THURSDAY INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 545 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD.
HOWEVER, A COUPLE HOURS OF INTERMITTENT MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY AT
KACT AFTER 12Z-13Z THIS MORNING. ANY LINGERING LOW CIGS WILL LIFT
AND SCATTER BY 15Z-16Z. THERE IS A VERY LOW 10-15% CHANCE THAT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND MAYBE A COUPLE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP NORTH OF
I-20 LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN FAR TOO LIMITED FOR A THUNDER MENTION IN THE TAF AT THIS
MOMENT. OTHERWISE, EXPECT SOUTH WINDS AT 8-15 KTS AT ALL NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 98 79 101 80 / 10 0 0 0
WACO 95 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 95 76 97 77 / 10 0 0 0
DENTON 98 77 101 78 / 10 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 97 78 99 79 / 10 0 0 0
DALLAS 99 80 101 81 / 10 0 0 0
TERRELL 96 76 98 77 / 10 0 0 0
CORSICANA 97 76 98 77 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 94 73 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 95 73 99 74 / 10 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...LANGFELD
LONG TERM....LANGFELD
AVIATION...LANGFELD
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